Elizabeth Truss and Lucy Parsons Author Archive
Opinion: Shifting the unequal state
Written by Elizabeth Truss and Lucy Parsons on 21st April 2008 – 1:27 pmRaising social mobility: an opportunity to empower individuals to improve their own capability
There is a cross-party consensus that the UK has a social mobility problem. Gordon Brown has called it “the great mission of the next decade”. Recent discussion has focused on the abolition of the 10p tax rate which is seen as a blow to those on low incomes. The Liberal Democrats have called it a “betrayal of the most needy in our society”. However, income taxes are just one piece of the vast tax and benefits jigsaw puzzle.
What is required to improve social mobility is a comprehensive review of the system and a new and co-ordinated policy approach across government. If Gordon Brown does not take the opportunity to do this, he will leave the way open for the Opposition parties, and the Liberal Democrats could capitalise on the demand for a new approach.
A new report published today by the independent think tank Reform argues that successive governments have sought to address the problems of poverty and low social mobility through higher spending on poverty relief and public services. These policies have largely failed to deliver the desired long-term effects. The unintended consequence has been a “why bother” economy in which a significant proportion of the adult population have neither the capability nor the motivation to succeed.
While European counterparts have seen significant improvements in social mobility in recent years, in the UK it has remained worryingly static - the moniker of Europe’s “divided society” is fitting. Globalisation and technological advance have meant that education and skills have become vital for workers to be able to share in the growing prosperity. But top-down programmes implemented by successive governments have focused on direct intervention in individuals’ lives, and have largely failed to take advantage of the increased return to skills.
Public services are biased towards the affluent who are better able to shape the nature of public spending to their own advantage. The complex system of benefits and high marginal tax rates is reducing incentives to increase work hours and earnings, and to come off benefits. Increases in the tax burden are disproportionately falling on incomes and the upper rate threshold is a key “mobility block” discouraging people from taking more responsibility at a managerial and professional level. And increased central direction of state education has perpetuated inequity in attainment and preserved the divide between elite and inner city education.
The result is not only a negative social impact but a large economic cost of wasted talent - up to £32 billion per year or £1,300 for each household. A new approach is needed, starting from the point of raising personal capability and radical education reform. The key determinants of future success will be motivation and attitude as much as hard skills. The high social mobility countries in Scandinavia provide a better model of decentralised education systems based on choice and diversity.
A serious review of the vastly complex tax and benefit system is needed to shift the focus to incentivising work rather than trapping people with high marginal tax rates. A move towards lower government intervention and taxes would enable the development of the “capability margin” – the resources available to individuals to invest in themselves.
Over recent years the Liberal Democrats have moved in this direction. In January, the Liberal Democrats established a Commission on Social Mobility to investigate the causes of low social mobility and recommend policy changes to address these. In his key speech on social mobility in the twenty-first century earlier this year, Nick Clegg said that the solution lay in a more decentralised and diverse education system which “harnessed the energy and enthusiasm of private individuals” to drive up standards and choice.
At a time of global change, when all parties are considering their approaches to tackling poverty and the skills shortage, a party who adopts these ideas will become the most credible advocate of removing the blocks on mobility.
* Elizabeth Truss is Reform’s Deputy Director and Lucy Parsons is Reform’s Economics Research Officer. Shifting the unequal state: From public apathy to personal capability is available at Reform’s website.
Posted in Op-eds | 20 Comments »
Opinion: The Budget - an opportunity for a new approach to fiscal policy
Written by Elizabeth Truss and Lucy Parsons on 10th March 2008 – 1:53 pmThe economic debate of recent weeks has centred around the credit crunch and the changing times of Northern Rock. The Liberal Democrats have shown leadership with Vince Cable’s well-respected comments on the nationalisation issue.
This week, the focus will shift to the Government’s plans for fiscal policy for the coming years. In Wednesday’s Budget, the Chancellor has the opportunity to set out a new model for government spending, based on long term sustainable public spending policies. If he does not take it, he will leave the field open for the Opposition parties, and the Liberal Democrats could capitalise on their recent successful economic commentary.
A new report published today by the independent think tank Reform argues that the programme of public sector expansion begun in April 1999 – the largest and longest spending increase of the last 35 years – has been unsuccessful on all fronts. It has failed to achieve its stated aims, it has restricted rather than boosted economic growth, and it has left the UK ill-placed to face the challenges of the coming years.
The Government has justified its programme of spending increases on the grounds that it would transform public services and boost the UK’s productivity (the celebrated post neoclassical endogenous growth theory), but these aims have not been realised. The scale of spending increases and the absence of reform means that they have acted as a flash flood rather than the planned irrigation that was needed. Entrepreneurial activity, business start ups and private spending on research and development have all declined over the period.
The picture of strong economic growth during this period is misleading. The report shows that 29% of GDP growth from 1999 to 2006 has been generated by public sector expansion. And while the UK has been increasing levels of public spending and borrowing - its ‘fiscal footprint’ - competitor countries have been moving towards fiscal consolidation. Government spending is now well above the average for OECD countries, the budget deficit is amongst the largest in the OECD and the UK has moved from having the fourth lowest gross public debt in the Euro 19 Area to the ninth. The UK has missed out on the opportunity given by a period of benign global economic conditions to reduce its fiscal footprint and taxation has risen to fund this. The UK is therefore no longer a leading low-tax economy and its competitive position in the global economy has declined.
As a result the UK Government and the wider UK political debate now need a change of attitude as well as policy. Above all, there is a need to move beyond the Pavlovian reflex of committing more public money whereever there is a problem. We commend the words of the Cabinet Secretary, Sir Gus O’Donnell, who in a recent speech called on the UK Government to start “to do more with less”. Partly this is realism – in a globalised world it will be increasingly hard for governments to raise taxes. And partly it is optimism – greater productivity in the public sector will enable reductions in the tax burden, increasing incentives to work and save and making the UK a more attractive business environment.
Over recent years the Liberal Democrats have moved decisively in this direction. Higher tax policies have been passed over. In his first major speech on the economy, last month, Nick Clegg went so far as to say that controlling public spending is his “top priority”, and to say that “improving public services … means focusing on “how”, not “how much”. At a time of economic change, when all parties are reviewing their positions, these ideas are a strong foundation for the Party to become the most authoritative advocate of a sustainable fiscal policy for the UK’s future.
* Elizabeth Truss is Reform’s Deputy Director and Lucy Parsons is Reform’s Economics Research Officer. A Lost Decade: Counting the opportunity cost of public spending 1999-2008 is available here.
Posted in The Independent View | 19 Comments »
