Author Archives: Ethan Roeder

The Independent View: A reply to Mark Pack from Obama’s Director of Data

The Crystal Ball chart blogged by Mark Pack highlights the interesting cases of Alaska and Utah. These outliers make sense given the dynamics of the race (the large Mormon population in UT provided a boost to Romney while the absence of Sarah Palin from the ballot hurt Republican performance in AK relative to 2008). But why do we not see more turbulence in the battleground states?  Surely the gobs of money spent in these states along with the monumental ground efforts of the Obama campaign would push these states away from the crowd? The answer to this apparent disconnect …

Posted in LDVUSA, Op-eds and The Independent View | Tagged , and | 5 Comments
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  • User AvatarEddie Sammon 25th Sep - 2:34am
    Thanks Little Jackie. Cameron got some a concession on free movement - there are ways to twist arms if we are imaginative. We could even...
  • User AvatarStevan Rose 25th Sep - 1:33am
    @Dennis Loretta. Thanks for making that point. How many people out if the 75,000 members and 2.4 million voters were at the conference? 2,000 /...
  • User AvatarLittle Jackie Paper 25th Sep - 1:12am
    Eddie Sammon - I think you are spot on right. But... 1 - The EU institutions can think and say what they want. There are...
  • User Avatarmalc 25th Sep - 12:53am
    Simon Shaw "It’s only when we get close to the next GE that they’ll really let rip with 30 years of facts with which to...
  • User AvatarDenis Loretto 25th Sep - 12:36am
    Was Stevan Rose at the conference? Surely he knows that the Lib Dems are the only party democratically deciding or endorsing policy - definitely not...
  • User AvatarEddie Sammon 25th Sep - 12:17am
    We need soft brexit with a concession on free-movement. This is what is pushing people towards hard brexit - they think a concession without serious...