Author Archives: Ethan Roeder

The Independent View: A reply to Mark Pack from Obama’s Director of Data

The Crystal Ball chart blogged by Mark Pack highlights the interesting cases of Alaska and Utah. These outliers make sense given the dynamics of the race (the large Mormon population in UT provided a boost to Romney while the absence of Sarah Palin from the ballot hurt Republican performance in AK relative to 2008). But why do we not see more turbulence in the battleground states?  Surely the gobs of money spent in these states along with the monumental ground efforts of the Obama campaign would push these states away from the crowd? The answer to this apparent disconnect …

Posted in LDVUSA, Op-eds and The Independent View | Tagged , and | 5 Comments



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    We have always had to run 2 parallel campaigns in General Elections - one to get MPs & the other to get Vote share. Its...
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    i completely agree with caractatus. Coalition has been an unmitigated disaster for the libdems as a political force. The party has been hollowed out to...
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    Caracatus but we did used to manage to have a party line on say – opposing the war in Iraq (depite some people like Emma...
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    It's the wrong tactic and not a strategy - but it is the Lib Dem leadership strategy :-((((( It doesn't work and it's not going...
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    Guidon, gotta say I would rather focus on the city region than Yorkshire - and we cross the boundaries into Derbyshire and Nottinghamshire. Yorkshire stuff...
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    Joshua Dixon Whilst previous generation enjoyed a free education, the Sutton Trust revealed that current graduates will be saddled with enough debt that their repayments...