Author Archives: Ethan Roeder

The Independent View: A reply to Mark Pack from Obama’s Director of Data

The Crystal Ball chart blogged by Mark Pack highlights the interesting cases of Alaska and Utah. These outliers make sense given the dynamics of the race (the large Mormon population in UT provided a boost to Romney while the absence of Sarah Palin from the ballot hurt Republican performance in AK relative to 2008). But why do we not see more turbulence in the battleground states?  Surely the gobs of money spent in these states along with the monumental ground efforts of the Obama campaign would push these states away from the crowd? The answer to this apparent disconnect …

Posted in LDVUSA, Op-eds and The Independent View | Tagged , and | 5 Comments



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  • User AvatarJohnTilley 18th Sep - 1:28am
    David Evans You are absoutely right to highlight the facts that Clegg (and the cul de sac of Orange Bookery ) was already a vote...
  • User AvatarMark Argent 18th Sep - 1:28am
    I can see this re-opening the question of regional government. The Labour provision of regional assemblies in England seemed to enable this well, but didn't...
  • User AvatarRichard Dean 18th Sep - 1:15am
    The majority of Scots are sensible. The sensible thing is to do everything you can to get more power before the vote, i.e. to make...
  • User AvatarJohnTilley 18th Sep - 1:05am
    John Barrett "...Regardless of the result, from tomorrow the Labour and Conservative parties will turn their guns to point towards Liberal Democrats defending seats in...
  • User AvatarJohnTilley 18th Sep - 12:57am
    Sesenco mainly older urban Labour voters drawn back to “NO” by Gordon Brown’s appeal to working-class solidarity Did Gordon Brown actually make an " appeal...
  • User AvatarJohn Barrett 18th Sep - 12:31am
    Whatever the result today, in 10 years time the majority of Scots will say that they made the wrong decision on September 18th 2014. That...