Author Archives: Tom Richards

Opinion: A rousing campaigning message from Lord Ashcroft (of all people)

Lord Ashcroft has done another enormous piece of polling, this time into the Lib Dem vote. A few of the more encouraging findings:

    • More people want a coalition including the Lib Dems (31%) than a Conservative majority (30%)
    • 30% of people could see themselves voting Lib Dem at the next general election
    • Only 1 in 5 think the Lib Dems have no real influence
    • Lib Dems outpoll the Conservatives on:
    o“Represents the whole country, not just some”(24% v 21%),
    o “Its heart is in the right place”(47% v 35%),
    o “stands for fairness”(41% v 30%)
    o “Stands for equal opportunity for all”(39% v 28%)
    o “Wants to help ordinary

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged , and | 7 Comments

Why the UKIP surge is good for Liberal Democrats

Party activists should be cheering on UKIP’s rise in the polls. Why? Because a UKIP surge would most likely end up making it easier for Liberal Democrats to win in Conservative marginals. By my reckoning, every 1% on UKIP’s popularity increases the Lib Dem majority over the Conservatives in these areas by about 90 votes. If last weekend’s polling, putting UKIP at 14%, is correct, that gives Lib Dems in Con-Lib marginals about a 1000 vote head start.

Where do these numbers come from? A recent ComRes poll found that, of people who said they were going to vote for …

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged | 43 Comments

Opinion: We should be making the positive case for immigration

The Economist’s front page this week signals its leader on immigration – which says that the Government is getting it wrong on immigration.

The Economist is right. The Government is getting it wrong. All the evidence points towards skilled migrants having a positive impact on the economy for everyone that’s already in the country. And the evidence for unskilled workers having any negative impact on wages or jobs is at best ambiguous. As the article points out (give it a read if you haven’t), making it near on impossible for …

Posted in Op-eds | Tagged | 33 Comments



Recent Comments

  • User AvatarJohnTilley 16th Apr - 7:51am
    RC, if we take your "5" first in June 2014 . Then we might achieve your "1" in May 2015. 5) We ditch Clegg and...
  • User AvatarJohnTilley 16th Apr - 7:31am
    Helen Tedcastle "...On other taboos, all societies have them – they’re not just religious but social, so I wouldn’t just single them out for criticism...
  • User AvatarRC 16th Apr - 7:07am
    The absolute best scenario for us in 2015 is: 1) We maintain, against all current odds, a "respectable" quota of 40+ MPs; 2) Labour gets...
  • User AvatarJayne Mansfield 16th Apr - 7:04am
    @ Simon Shaw, Simon, do you really wonder why the 'political establishment' is currently held in such low esteem? If you look back to as...
  • User AvatarAlistair 16th Apr - 6:17am
    Solicitors should be forced to explain how much legal services will cost and what impact the outcome has if any. Whilst its unfortunate that he...
  • User AvatarRichard Dean 16th Apr - 3:03am
    Agreed, David-1, that's a good reason to have good training, as well as scrutiny and updates. In the young girl incident, the do nothing option...