Author Archives: Tom Richards

Opinion: A rousing campaigning message from Lord Ashcroft (of all people)

Lord Ashcroft has done another enormous piece of polling, this time into the Lib Dem vote. A few of the more encouraging findings:

    • More people want a coalition including the Lib Dems (31%) than a Conservative majority (30%)
    • 30% of people could see themselves voting Lib Dem at the next general election
    • Only 1 in 5 think the Lib Dems have no real influence
    • Lib Dems outpoll the Conservatives on:
    o“Represents the whole country, not just some”(24% v 21%),
    o “Its heart is in the right place”(47% v 35%),
    o “stands for fairness”(41% v 30%)
    o “Stands for equal opportunity for all”(39% v 28%)
    o “Wants to help ordinary

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged , and | 7 Comments

Why the UKIP surge is good for Liberal Democrats

Party activists should be cheering on UKIP’s rise in the polls. Why? Because a UKIP surge would most likely end up making it easier for Liberal Democrats to win in Conservative marginals. By my reckoning, every 1% on UKIP’s popularity increases the Lib Dem majority over the Conservatives in these areas by about 90 votes. If last weekend’s polling, putting UKIP at 14%, is correct, that gives Lib Dems in Con-Lib marginals about a 1000 vote head start.

Where do these numbers come from? A recent ComRes poll found that, of people who said they were going to vote for …

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged | 43 Comments

Opinion: We should be making the positive case for immigration

The Economist’s front page this week signals its leader on immigration – which says that the Government is getting it wrong on immigration.

The Economist is right. The Government is getting it wrong. All the evidence points towards skilled migrants having a positive impact on the economy for everyone that’s already in the country. And the evidence for unskilled workers having any negative impact on wages or jobs is at best ambiguous. As the article points out (give it a read if you haven’t), making it near on impossible for …

Posted in Op-eds | Tagged | 33 Comments
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  • User AvatarRichard Underhill 4th Sep - 5:29pm
    Is there still is a quiet period after exams and before end of term?
  • User AvatarRichard Underhill 4th Sep - 5:26pm
    John Tilley 4th Sep '15 - 4:54pm Thank you.The article states that Vince Cable's opinions changed over time, but the man himself said that as...
  • User Avatarsally haynes-preece 4th Sep - 5:21pm
    I can see rights and wrongs on both sides of this argument. I took my son out of primary school on one occasion for the...
  • User AvatarCaron Lindsay 4th Sep - 5:10pm
    @John Tilley: Next May the SNP will be standing on their record which is pretty shameful in many ways. In this parliament the Liberal Democrats...
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    Stiil waiting for the evidence about weddings and funerals. Surely it can't have been censored by the moderators ????
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    Liberalism is a way of life, not a political creed. The problem is that, when push comes to shove, the percentage of 'Liberals' in the...