Author Archives: Tom Richards

Opinion: A rousing campaigning message from Lord Ashcroft (of all people)

Lord Ashcroft has done another enormous piece of polling, this time into the Lib Dem vote. A few of the more encouraging findings:

    • More people want a coalition including the Lib Dems (31%) than a Conservative majority (30%)
    • 30% of people could see themselves voting Lib Dem at the next general election
    • Only 1 in 5 think the Lib Dems have no real influence
    • Lib Dems outpoll the Conservatives on:
    o“Represents the whole country, not just some”(24% v 21%),
    o “Its heart is in the right place”(47% v 35%),
    o “stands for fairness”(41% v 30%)
    o “Stands for equal opportunity for all”(39% v 28%)
    o “Wants to help ordinary

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged , and | 7 Comments

Why the UKIP surge is good for Liberal Democrats

Party activists should be cheering on UKIP’s rise in the polls. Why? Because a UKIP surge would most likely end up making it easier for Liberal Democrats to win in Conservative marginals. By my reckoning, every 1% on UKIP’s popularity increases the Lib Dem majority over the Conservatives in these areas by about 90 votes. If last weekend’s polling, putting UKIP at 14%, is correct, that gives Lib Dems in Con-Lib marginals about a 1000 vote head start.

Where do these numbers come from? A recent ComRes poll found that, of people who said they were going to vote for …

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged | 43 Comments

Opinion: We should be making the positive case for immigration

The Economist’s front page this week signals its leader on immigration – which says that the Government is getting it wrong on immigration.

The Economist is right. The Government is getting it wrong. All the evidence points towards skilled migrants having a positive impact on the economy for everyone that’s already in the country. And the evidence for unskilled workers having any negative impact on wages or jobs is at best ambiguous. As the article points out (give it a read if you haven’t), making it near on impossible for …

Posted in Op-eds | Tagged | 33 Comments
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Recent Comments

  • User AvatarCatherine Jane Crosland 13th Feb - 10:48am
    But Tony Benn always refused to listen to any criticism of his son Hilary, and I am sure that Vera Britain would similarly have continued...
  • User AvatarCatherine Jane Crosland 13th Feb - 10:42am
    A fascinating interview, which for many of us will bring back so many memories, and a whole mixture of emotions. If you closed your eyes,...
  • User AvatarJohn Barrett 13th Feb - 10:36am
    Paul Holmes - You could add Edinburgh West in 2010 to that list, where a "safe" Lib-Dem seat was available, when I stood down in...
  • User AvatarStuart 13th Feb - 10:28am
    Not far from me, another car full of teenagers being driven way too fast ended up wrapped round a tree the other night; one killed....
  • User AvatarStuart 13th Feb - 9:55am
    @Ann Stoker "In view of the composition of the ‘expert panel’ appointed by the LibDems which consists of five known individuals who have campaigned publicly...
  • User AvatarPeter Parsons 13th Feb - 9:49am
    Another twist. It seems Foundation Trusts in England are under no obligation to use the new contract: http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/junior-doctors-hospitals-could-refuse-to-impose-jeremy-hunts-new-contract-a6871401.html "During this transition period, I suspect a...