Author Archives: Tom Richards

Opinion: A rousing campaigning message from Lord Ashcroft (of all people)

Lord Ashcroft has done another enormous piece of polling, this time into the Lib Dem vote. A few of the more encouraging findings:

    • More people want a coalition including the Lib Dems (31%) than a Conservative majority (30%)
    • 30% of people could see themselves voting Lib Dem at the next general election
    • Only 1 in 5 think the Lib Dems have no real influence
    • Lib Dems outpoll the Conservatives on:
    o“Represents the whole country, not just some”(24% v 21%),
    o “Its heart is in the right place”(47% v 35%),
    o “stands for fairness”(41% v 30%)
    o “Stands for equal opportunity for all”(39% v 28%)
    o “Wants to help ordinary

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged , and | 7 Comments

Why the UKIP surge is good for Liberal Democrats

Party activists should be cheering on UKIP’s rise in the polls. Why? Because a UKIP surge would most likely end up making it easier for Liberal Democrats to win in Conservative marginals. By my reckoning, every 1% on UKIP’s popularity increases the Lib Dem majority over the Conservatives in these areas by about 90 votes. If last weekend’s polling, putting UKIP at 14%, is correct, that gives Lib Dems in Con-Lib marginals about a 1000 vote head start.

Where do these numbers come from? A recent ComRes poll found that, of people who said they were going to vote for …

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged | 43 Comments

Opinion: We should be making the positive case for immigration

The Economist’s front page this week signals its leader on immigration – which says that the Government is getting it wrong on immigration.

The Economist is right. The Government is getting it wrong. All the evidence points towards skilled migrants having a positive impact on the economy for everyone that’s already in the country. And the evidence for unskilled workers having any negative impact on wages or jobs is at best ambiguous. As the article points out (give it a read if you haven’t), making it near on impossible for …

Posted in Op-eds | Tagged | 33 Comments
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    Richard Butler No, it is the Leave faction (s) who are afraid of change. They just fail to get hold of the notion that in...
  • User AvatarSimone Reynolds 17th Jan - 7:03pm
    I would like to say that in the London Executive only 5/19 people who are standing identify themselves as women. Lib Dems want to be...
  • User Avatarpaul barker 17th Jan - 6:59pm
    This is great, Thank You. Our opposition to Brexit is why we have been taking a steadily increasing proportion of Remain Voters, why our polling...
  • User Avatarmatt 17th Jan - 6:46pm
    "But Grayling believes that the people have not spoken, at least not in sufficient numbers to force MPs to capitulate and wave through Brexit. He...
  • User Avatartheakes 17th Jan - 6:25pm
    Actually I am more worried about Trump wanting to pull the plug on NATO. He will go for this very quickly, it is his style....
  • User AvatarRichard Elliott 17th Jan - 6:25pm
    Well well, a batch of annoyed brexiteers - all four in quick response - something must have them rattled them. Possibly its the lifting of...