Author Archives: Tom Richards

Opinion: A rousing campaigning message from Lord Ashcroft (of all people)

Lord Ashcroft has done another enormous piece of polling, this time into the Lib Dem vote. A few of the more encouraging findings:

    • More people want a coalition including the Lib Dems (31%) than a Conservative majority (30%)
    • 30% of people could see themselves voting Lib Dem at the next general election
    • Only 1 in 5 think the Lib Dems have no real influence
    • Lib Dems outpoll the Conservatives on:
    o“Represents the whole country, not just some”(24% v 21%),
    o “Its heart is in the right place”(47% v 35%),
    o “stands for fairness”(41% v 30%)
    o “Stands for equal opportunity for all”(39% v 28%)
    o “Wants to help ordinary

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged , and | 7 Comments

Why the UKIP surge is good for Liberal Democrats

Party activists should be cheering on UKIP’s rise in the polls. Why? Because a UKIP surge would most likely end up making it easier for Liberal Democrats to win in Conservative marginals. By my reckoning, every 1% on UKIP’s popularity increases the Lib Dem majority over the Conservatives in these areas by about 90 votes. If last weekend’s polling, putting UKIP at 14%, is correct, that gives Lib Dems in Con-Lib marginals about a 1000 vote head start.

Where do these numbers come from? A recent ComRes poll found that, of people who said they were going to vote for …

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged | 43 Comments

Opinion: We should be making the positive case for immigration

The Economist’s front page this week signals its leader on immigration – which says that the Government is getting it wrong on immigration.

The Economist is right. The Government is getting it wrong. All the evidence points towards skilled migrants having a positive impact on the economy for everyone that’s already in the country. And the evidence for unskilled workers having any negative impact on wages or jobs is at best ambiguous. As the article points out (give it a read if you haven’t), making it near on impossible for …

Posted in Op-eds | Tagged | 33 Comments
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Recent Comments

  • User AvatarTonyJ 23rd Feb - 7:01am
    Thankyou and Best of Luck to both campaigns.
  • User AvatarCatherine Jane Crosland 23rd Feb - 6:39am
    John Hall, you say that in saying that, when Kishwer Falkner says that Leaving the EU is "what the people want", she is ignoring various...
  • User AvatarCatherine Jane Crosland 23rd Feb - 5:56am
    Lorenzo, thank you :)
  • User AvatarMark Goodrich 23rd Feb - 4:03am
    Lorenzo The difference is between a "deep" free trade area such as the EU and a shallow free trade area of the past. Given our...
  • User AvatarLorenzo Cherin 23rd Feb - 2:15am
    Mark The only reason we cannot have free trade without free movement is some bright spark, I think most definitely , certainly, surely, not, said...
  • User AvatarMichael BG 23rd Feb - 1:56am
    @ Paul I think you may have misunderstood me. I think Germany is the biggest problem in achieving reform, I didn’t mean that there should...