Author Archives: Tom Richards

Opinion: A rousing campaigning message from Lord Ashcroft (of all people)

Lord Ashcroft has done another enormous piece of polling, this time into the Lib Dem vote. A few of the more encouraging findings:

    • More people want a coalition including the Lib Dems (31%) than a Conservative majority (30%)
    • 30% of people could see themselves voting Lib Dem at the next general election
    • Only 1 in 5 think the Lib Dems have no real influence
    • Lib Dems outpoll the Conservatives on:
    o“Represents the whole country, not just some”(24% v 21%),
    o “Its heart is in the right place”(47% v 35%),
    o “stands for fairness”(41% v 30%)
    o “Stands for equal opportunity for all”(39% v 28%)
    o “Wants to help ordinary

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged , and | 7 Comments

Why the UKIP surge is good for Liberal Democrats

Party activists should be cheering on UKIP’s rise in the polls. Why? Because a UKIP surge would most likely end up making it easier for Liberal Democrats to win in Conservative marginals. By my reckoning, every 1% on UKIP’s popularity increases the Lib Dem majority over the Conservatives in these areas by about 90 votes. If last weekend’s polling, putting UKIP at 14%, is correct, that gives Lib Dems in Con-Lib marginals about a 1000 vote head start.

Where do these numbers come from? A recent ComRes poll found that, of people who said they were going to vote for …

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged | 43 Comments

Opinion: We should be making the positive case for immigration

The Economist’s front page this week signals its leader on immigration – which says that the Government is getting it wrong on immigration.

The Economist is right. The Government is getting it wrong. All the evidence points towards skilled migrants having a positive impact on the economy for everyone that’s already in the country. And the evidence for unskilled workers having any negative impact on wages or jobs is at best ambiguous. As the article points out (give it a read if you haven’t), making it near on impossible for …

Posted in Op-eds | Tagged | 33 Comments



Recent Comments

  • User AvatarPrateek Buch 30th Sep - 12:39pm
    "Economic policy written by Prateek Buch? The person who thinks inflation doesn’t really matter?" I'm sorry, what? Who is this namesake of mine...?! Congratulations Nigel...
  • User AvatarPeter Watson 30th Sep - 12:34pm
    @RC "According to Yougov, one of the reasons we are languishing with 7% of the vote is that 16% of our 2010 voters have gone...
  • User AvatarJohn Roffey 30th Sep - 12:24pm
    I suspect that there are many views on how the Party should develop after it is free of the Coalition. However, given Cameron's apparent determination...
  • User AvatarRC 30th Sep - 12:15pm
    The problem is that the Conservatives are stealing 2010 Lib Dem votes precisely on the back of the economic recovery. According to Yougov, one of...
  • User AvatarTony Rowan-Wicks 30th Sep - 12:07pm
    As a left-leaning LD, I welcome articles like this. I'm not clever enough to sort out the economy - as none of us on LDV...
  • User AvatarRoland 30th Sep - 11:58am
    Perhaps the biggest and simplest change is to give much more encouragement to the development of organisational learning! The example of "Chinese strategies for maths...