Author Archives: Tom Richards

Opinion: A rousing campaigning message from Lord Ashcroft (of all people)

Lord Ashcroft has done another enormous piece of polling, this time into the Lib Dem vote. A few of the more encouraging findings:

    • More people want a coalition including the Lib Dems (31%) than a Conservative majority (30%)
    • 30% of people could see themselves voting Lib Dem at the next general election
    • Only 1 in 5 think the Lib Dems have no real influence
    • Lib Dems outpoll the Conservatives on:
    o“Represents the whole country, not just some”(24% v 21%),
    o “Its heart is in the right place”(47% v 35%),
    o “stands for fairness”(41% v 30%)
    o “Stands for equal opportunity for all”(39% v 28%)
    o “Wants to help ordinary

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged , and | 7 Comments

Why the UKIP surge is good for Liberal Democrats

Party activists should be cheering on UKIP’s rise in the polls. Why? Because a UKIP surge would most likely end up making it easier for Liberal Democrats to win in Conservative marginals. By my reckoning, every 1% on UKIP’s popularity increases the Lib Dem majority over the Conservatives in these areas by about 90 votes. If last weekend’s polling, putting UKIP at 14%, is correct, that gives Lib Dems in Con-Lib marginals about a 1000 vote head start.

Where do these numbers come from? A recent ComRes poll found that, of people who said they were going to vote for …

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged | 43 Comments

Opinion: We should be making the positive case for immigration

The Economist’s front page this week signals its leader on immigration – which says that the Government is getting it wrong on immigration.

The Economist is right. The Government is getting it wrong. All the evidence points towards skilled migrants having a positive impact on the economy for everyone that’s already in the country. And the evidence for unskilled workers having any negative impact on wages or jobs is at best ambiguous. As the article points out (give it a read if you haven’t), making it near on impossible for …

Posted in Op-eds | Tagged | 33 Comments
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Recent Comments

  • User AvatarDavid Evans 23rd Nov - 10:45am
    Danny, the public at large don't believe you. You may have done a lot, but they wanted and needed you to do more. You allowed...
  • User AvatarRC 23rd Nov - 10:43am
    @ Technical Ephemera "On the one hand we have a rigorous reviewed academic analysis that shows the coalition have systematically transferred money from the poor...
  • User AvatarStuart 23rd Nov - 10:24am
    @Sarah Noble I don't think Yvette Copper's comments were aimed at defending Tory election posters. However the Tory billboard you refer to actually said :-...
  • User AvatarJohn Dixon 23rd Nov - 10:23am
    This is good debate though and perhaps unlike a lot of other areas it isn't just one side talking to themselves.
  • User AvatarJohn Dixon 23rd Nov - 10:21am
    If you feel better informed it is perhaps informed with some rather dubious information. A few things quickly as there's a lot up above. 1....
  • User AvatarAnne 23rd Nov - 10:19am
    Interesting article in the Gyardian today http://www.theguardian.com/society/2014/nov/23/food-banks-low-income-families-record-demand You were saying about low income families Mr Alexander?