Author Archives: Tom Richards

Opinion: A rousing campaigning message from Lord Ashcroft (of all people)

Lord Ashcroft has done another enormous piece of polling, this time into the Lib Dem vote. A few of the more encouraging findings:

    • More people want a coalition including the Lib Dems (31%) than a Conservative majority (30%)
    • 30% of people could see themselves voting Lib Dem at the next general election
    • Only 1 in 5 think the Lib Dems have no real influence
    • Lib Dems outpoll the Conservatives on:
    o“Represents the whole country, not just some”(24% v 21%),
    o “Its heart is in the right place”(47% v 35%),
    o “stands for fairness”(41% v 30%)
    o “Stands for equal opportunity for all”(39% v 28%)
    o “Wants to help ordinary

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged , and | 7 Comments

Why the UKIP surge is good for Liberal Democrats

Party activists should be cheering on UKIP’s rise in the polls. Why? Because a UKIP surge would most likely end up making it easier for Liberal Democrats to win in Conservative marginals. By my reckoning, every 1% on UKIP’s popularity increases the Lib Dem majority over the Conservatives in these areas by about 90 votes. If last weekend’s polling, putting UKIP at 14%, is correct, that gives Lib Dems in Con-Lib marginals about a 1000 vote head start.

Where do these numbers come from? A recent ComRes poll found that, of people who said they were going to vote for …

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged | 43 Comments

Opinion: We should be making the positive case for immigration

The Economist’s front page this week signals its leader on immigration – which says that the Government is getting it wrong on immigration.

The Economist is right. The Government is getting it wrong. All the evidence points towards skilled migrants having a positive impact on the economy for everyone that’s already in the country. And the evidence for unskilled workers having any negative impact on wages or jobs is at best ambiguous. As the article points out (give it a read if you haven’t), making it near on impossible for …

Posted in Op-eds | Tagged | 33 Comments
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  • User AvatarAdrian PR 29th Jan - 12:09am
    paul barker writes: > Right now more than a third of voters say they want Parties other than The Big Two, > I dont see...
  • User AvatarMatthew Huntbach 28th Jan - 11:43pm
    Glenn Matthew, the arguments about what could have happened had the coalition not been formed in 2010 are little pointless. My view is that the...
  • User AvatarStevo 28th Jan - 11:33pm
    ATF- your last comment got garbled. Carney said that deficits should be able to rise in downturns (like any good Keynesian would tell you), what...
  • User AvatarAdrian PR 28th Jan - 11:29pm
    Roland writes: > It would seem that the 65 candidates being totally party appointee’s have no real democratic mandate They are elected from a party...
  • User AvatarMatthew Huntbach 28th Jan - 11:07pm
    Alex Sabine In the privacy of the polling booths, voters evidently decided that the substantial tax hikes proposed by Labour risked prolonging the recession and...
  • User AvatarStephen Donnelly 28th Jan - 11:00pm
    Tony Greaves : "Anyway you cannot be right wing on economics an left wing on welfare. The two are closely linked." What a gross simplification...