Author Archives: Tom Richards

Opinion: A rousing campaigning message from Lord Ashcroft (of all people)

Lord Ashcroft has done another enormous piece of polling, this time into the Lib Dem vote. A few of the more encouraging findings:

    • More people want a coalition including the Lib Dems (31%) than a Conservative majority (30%)
    • 30% of people could see themselves voting Lib Dem at the next general election
    • Only 1 in 5 think the Lib Dems have no real influence
    • Lib Dems outpoll the Conservatives on:
    o“Represents the whole country, not just some”(24% v 21%),
    o “Its heart is in the right place”(47% v 35%),
    o “stands for fairness”(41% v 30%)
    o “Stands for equal opportunity for all”(39% v 28%)
    o “Wants to help ordinary

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged , and | 7 Comments

Why the UKIP surge is good for Liberal Democrats

Party activists should be cheering on UKIP’s rise in the polls. Why? Because a UKIP surge would most likely end up making it easier for Liberal Democrats to win in Conservative marginals. By my reckoning, every 1% on UKIP’s popularity increases the Lib Dem majority over the Conservatives in these areas by about 90 votes. If last weekend’s polling, putting UKIP at 14%, is correct, that gives Lib Dems in Con-Lib marginals about a 1000 vote head start.

Where do these numbers come from? A recent ComRes poll found that, of people who said they were going to vote for …

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged | 43 Comments

Opinion: We should be making the positive case for immigration

The Economist’s front page this week signals its leader on immigration – which says that the Government is getting it wrong on immigration.

The Economist is right. The Government is getting it wrong. All the evidence points towards skilled migrants having a positive impact on the economy for everyone that’s already in the country. And the evidence for unskilled workers having any negative impact on wages or jobs is at best ambiguous. As the article points out (give it a read if you haven’t), making it near on impossible for …

Posted in Op-eds | Tagged | 33 Comments



Recent Comments

  • User AvatarStevan Rose 21st Sep - 4:53pm
    This is a fake by-election designed as a publicity coup for UKIP and their first elected MP. We should not be taking part, just as...
  • User AvatarGareth 21st Sep - 4:52pm
    Just to say this has nothing to do with the Conference Committee.
  • User Avatarmack 21st Sep - 4:45pm
    It is completely disingenuous to suggest that Labour are trying to renege on the pledge made by Ed Miliband, Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling for...
  • User AvatarLittle Jackie Paper 21st Sep - 4:29pm
    From Ashdown's remarks - 'We have got to start taking this issue out of the hands of the elite in Westminster who have shown for...
  • User AvatarJayne Mansfield 21st Sep - 4:15pm
    Sorry the above is as garbled as ever.
  • User AvatarJayne Mansfield 21st Sep - 4:12pm
    @ Rebecca Hanson, Rebecca as someone who was brought up in the mining communities of South Yorkshire, I would only ask that you propose to...