Author Archives: Tom Richards

Opinion: A rousing campaigning message from Lord Ashcroft (of all people)

Lord Ashcroft has done another enormous piece of polling, this time into the Lib Dem vote. A few of the more encouraging findings:

    • More people want a coalition including the Lib Dems (31%) than a Conservative majority (30%)
    • 30% of people could see themselves voting Lib Dem at the next general election
    • Only 1 in 5 think the Lib Dems have no real influence
    • Lib Dems outpoll the Conservatives on:
    o“Represents the whole country, not just some”(24% v 21%),
    o “Its heart is in the right place”(47% v 35%),
    o “stands for fairness”(41% v 30%)
    o “Stands for equal opportunity for all”(39% v 28%)
    o “Wants to help ordinary

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged , and | 7 Comments

Why the UKIP surge is good for Liberal Democrats

Party activists should be cheering on UKIP’s rise in the polls. Why? Because a UKIP surge would most likely end up making it easier for Liberal Democrats to win in Conservative marginals. By my reckoning, every 1% on UKIP’s popularity increases the Lib Dem majority over the Conservatives in these areas by about 90 votes. If last weekend’s polling, putting UKIP at 14%, is correct, that gives Lib Dems in Con-Lib marginals about a 1000 vote head start.

Where do these numbers come from? A recent ComRes poll found that, of people who said they were going to vote for …

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged | 43 Comments

Opinion: We should be making the positive case for immigration

The Economist’s front page this week signals its leader on immigration – which says that the Government is getting it wrong on immigration.

The Economist is right. The Government is getting it wrong. All the evidence points towards skilled migrants having a positive impact on the economy for everyone that’s already in the country. And the evidence for unskilled workers having any negative impact on wages or jobs is at best ambiguous. As the article points out (give it a read if you haven’t), making it near on impossible for …

Posted in Op-eds | Tagged | 33 Comments
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  • User AvatarCaron Lindsay 5th Jul - 8:17pm
    David, you think that people leaving war zones are anything but refugees? If you get on one of those boats, you are desperate, and I...
  • User Avatarrichard boyd OBE DL 5th Jul - 8:14pm
    Having just retired, after 15 years on Employment Tribunal, and sitting on over 100 cases in the past 3 years, I am and was ashamed...
  • User Avatarrichard boyd OBE DL 5th Jul - 8:12pm
    Having just retired, after 15 years on Employment Tribunal, and sitting on over 100 cases in the past 3 years, I am and was ashamed...
  • User AvatarAndrew 5th Jul - 7:58pm
    The main problem with AV was that many people like me who have been wanting electoral reform for many decades just could not work up...
  • User AvatarJayne Mansfield 5th Jul - 7:30pm
    @ Paul Walter, Paul, Nicola Horlick was given the nickname 'Superwoman' by the media , because she was such a rarity.
  • User AvatarMark Valladares 5th Jul - 7:05pm
    Hmmm... new Regions formed from the ground up, which leaves the question of what those Local Parties that are left behind do, and how you...
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