Author Archives: Tom Richards

Opinion: A rousing campaigning message from Lord Ashcroft (of all people)

Lord Ashcroft has done another enormous piece of polling, this time into the Lib Dem vote. A few of the more encouraging findings:

    • More people want a coalition including the Lib Dems (31%) than a Conservative majority (30%)
    • 30% of people could see themselves voting Lib Dem at the next general election
    • Only 1 in 5 think the Lib Dems have no real influence
    • Lib Dems outpoll the Conservatives on:
    o“Represents the whole country, not just some”(24% v 21%),
    o “Its heart is in the right place”(47% v 35%),
    o “stands for fairness”(41% v 30%)
    o “Stands for equal opportunity for all”(39% v 28%)
    o “Wants to help ordinary

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged , and | 7 Comments

Why the UKIP surge is good for Liberal Democrats

Party activists should be cheering on UKIP’s rise in the polls. Why? Because a UKIP surge would most likely end up making it easier for Liberal Democrats to win in Conservative marginals. By my reckoning, every 1% on UKIP’s popularity increases the Lib Dem majority over the Conservatives in these areas by about 90 votes. If last weekend’s polling, putting UKIP at 14%, is correct, that gives Lib Dems in Con-Lib marginals about a 1000 vote head start.

Where do these numbers come from? A recent ComRes poll found that, of people who said they were going to vote for …

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged | 43 Comments

Opinion: We should be making the positive case for immigration

The Economist’s front page this week signals its leader on immigration – which says that the Government is getting it wrong on immigration.

The Economist is right. The Government is getting it wrong. All the evidence points towards skilled migrants having a positive impact on the economy for everyone that’s already in the country. And the evidence for unskilled workers having any negative impact on wages or jobs is at best ambiguous. As the article points out (give it a read if you haven’t), making it near on impossible for …

Posted in Op-eds | Tagged | 33 Comments



Recent Comments

  • User AvatarStevan Rose 22nd Oct - 11:19pm
    "Firstly because you are saying UKIP are essentially right to blame immigration for our problems and secondly no set of measures you come up with...
  • User AvatarMark Valladares 22nd Oct - 11:15pm
    @ Stevan Rose, Having spent a very pleasant evening in the company of our Parliamentary Party in the Lords, I am confident not only that...
  • User AvatarRabi Martins 22nd Oct - 11:04pm
    I have deliberately refrained from responding to the comments in the hope somebody would pick up the central point of my article - namely that...
  • User AvatarDenis Mollison 22nd Oct - 10:54pm
    Absolutely. The closure of Parliament Square to protesters, in 2005 I think, was part of the "war on terror" restriction of civil liberties; it would...
  • User AvatarMalcolm Todd 22nd Oct - 10:54pm
    Yes, Jedi, it sure is a shame. It's also a shame that the NHS is at creaking point, that wages (both public and private sector)...
  • User AvatarStuart 22nd Oct - 10:48pm
    Horrified to see the creep who did this popping up on a certain popular BBC1 programme earlier. He should be contemplating a criminal record instead...