Author Archives: Tom Richards

Opinion: A rousing campaigning message from Lord Ashcroft (of all people)

Lord Ashcroft has done another enormous piece of polling, this time into the Lib Dem vote. A few of the more encouraging findings:

    • More people want a coalition including the Lib Dems (31%) than a Conservative majority (30%)
    • 30% of people could see themselves voting Lib Dem at the next general election
    • Only 1 in 5 think the Lib Dems have no real influence
    • Lib Dems outpoll the Conservatives on:
    o“Represents the whole country, not just some”(24% v 21%),
    o “Its heart is in the right place”(47% v 35%),
    o “stands for fairness”(41% v 30%)
    o “Stands for equal opportunity for all”(39% v 28%)
    o “Wants to help ordinary

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged , and | 7 Comments

Why the UKIP surge is good for Liberal Democrats

Party activists should be cheering on UKIP’s rise in the polls. Why? Because a UKIP surge would most likely end up making it easier for Liberal Democrats to win in Conservative marginals. By my reckoning, every 1% on UKIP’s popularity increases the Lib Dem majority over the Conservatives in these areas by about 90 votes. If last weekend’s polling, putting UKIP at 14%, is correct, that gives Lib Dems in Con-Lib marginals about a 1000 vote head start.

Where do these numbers come from? A recent ComRes poll found that, of people who said they were going to vote for …

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged | 43 Comments

Opinion: We should be making the positive case for immigration

The Economist’s front page this week signals its leader on immigration – which says that the Government is getting it wrong on immigration.

The Economist is right. The Government is getting it wrong. All the evidence points towards skilled migrants having a positive impact on the economy for everyone that’s already in the country. And the evidence for unskilled workers having any negative impact on wages or jobs is at best ambiguous. As the article points out (give it a read if you haven’t), making it near on impossible for …

Posted in Op-eds | Tagged | 33 Comments
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  • User AvatarMatthew Huntbach 9th Dec - 11:32am
    Fiona On the subject of council houses, I think that in grand terms, selling off some of them was a good thing. It wasn’t just...
  • User AvatarHuw Dawson 9th Dec - 11:18am
    TL;DR, we don't have much of a chance in Walton unless Labour actually does collapse. But if they do, we're definitely posed to take advantage!...
  • User AvatarHuw Dawson 9th Dec - 11:14am
    @expats Yup, the vote in Walton was very low at the GE. The Liverpool Lib Dems concentrated on holding Richard Kemps's council seat in Church....
  • User AvatarCassieB 9th Dec - 11:00am
    expats: it's all about perception. As is much of life. Had our vote fallen, it would have been used as ammunition against us. It's also...
  • User AvatarDavid Raw 9th Dec - 10:57am
    I'm sure this article is well intentioned, but I'm afraid the author is correct in implying it's a vote loser. The public and employers are...
  • User AvatarCassieB 9th Dec - 10:47am
    Peter>Lib Dems seem surprisingly happy to use an unrepresentative House of Commons and an unelected House of Lords What exactly do you suggest we use...