After the polls, some perhaps more welcome news for the Liberal Democrats.
I’ve recently started running a series of articles on the allthatsleft.co.uk website that set out how the boundary changes in 2015 could play out and what this would mean for the political parties.
On Tuesday, I looked at the impact of changes for Devon and Cornwall. These two counties will be linked in the next review, creating a controversial trans-Tamar seat linking parts of both counties. The two counties are set to lose one seat between them, falling from 18 to 17.
It looks as if the changes could be to the Liberal Democrats’ benefit. I calculate that the likely impact of changes would increase their number of seats from these counties by one, taking the party from its current tally of MPs from five to six based on the results at the last general election. The Conservatives would fall by two, from 11 to 9 on those same results whilst Labour would have retained both their seats there.
The reason is the need to recreate a Falmouth and Camborne seat, held by Julia Goldsworthy in the last parliament.
The Liberal Democrats would also look likely to hold the trans-Tamar North Cornwall and Torridge.
The changes to St Ives would have left it in Lib Dem hands and both North Devon and Torbay would keep their current boundaries.
The St Austell seat is likely to extend northwards to take in parts of the current North Cornwall seat and would have remained Lib Dem on those results.
More details can be found here.
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