Comments on: Follow the yellow brick road? The Liberal Democrats’ general election campaign http://www.libdemvoice.org/follow-the-yellow-brick-road-the-liberal-democrats-general-election-campaign-16707.html Our place to talk - an independent website for supporters of the Liberal Democrat party in the UK. Sat, 11 Feb 2012 08:55:56 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Book review: Total Politics Guide to the 2010 General Election http://www.libdemvoice.org/follow-the-yellow-brick-road-the-liberal-democrats-general-election-campaign-16707.html#comment-103168 Book review: Total Politics Guide to the 2010 General Election Tue, 08 Dec 2009 12:38:31 +0000 http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=16707#comment-103168 [...] Dems’ post-merger history in which Chris Rennard will be absent. (Mark published his article here on Lib Dem Voice recently). Paul Richards’ article on Labour is less revealing, but he still makes a better [...] [...] Dems’ post-merger history in which Chris Rennard will be absent. (Mark published his article here on Lib Dem Voice recently). Paul Richards’ article on Labour is less revealing, but he still makes a better [...]

]]> By: MatGB http://www.libdemvoice.org/follow-the-yellow-brick-road-the-liberal-democrats-general-election-campaign-16707.html#comment-102631 MatGB Sat, 28 Nov 2009 14:44:45 +0000 http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=16707#comment-102631 David--what that chart doesn't show is the correlation between turnout and majority. The lowest turnout is in the seats with the biggest majorities--we're not campaigning hard in non-targets (we can't afford to), and theother two are putting all their resources into marginals. I had an analysis of this online, but sadly that domain is dead, but it's deceptive to think we can simply capture the apathetic vote--most of it is in seats where the incumbent has a massive majority. David–what that chart doesn’t show is the correlation between turnout and majority. The lowest turnout is in the seats with the biggest majorities–we’re not campaigning hard in non-targets (we can’t afford to), and theother two are putting all their resources into marginals.

I had an analysis of this online, but sadly that domain is dead, but it’s deceptive to think we can simply capture the apathetic vote–most of it is in seats where the incumbent has a massive majority.

]]> By: David http://www.libdemvoice.org/follow-the-yellow-brick-road-the-liberal-democrats-general-election-campaign-16707.html#comment-102482 David Wed, 25 Nov 2009 21:45:31 +0000 http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=16707#comment-102482 There is a third way. The number of people voting was only 61% in 2005 from 77% in 1992, do we know the reason for this? This means there is a market out there of 16%, and how many seats could we win with just 5% of this 16%. If you look on this link it will show you the % in all areas of the UK. http://www.ukpolitical.info/Turnout45.htm General election turnout since 1945, by region Year UK England Wales Scotland N.Ireland 2005 61.4 2001 59.4 1997 71.4 1992 77.7 1987 75.3 1983 72.7 1979 76 75. Source: House of Commons Research Papers 01/54 & 05/33 There is a third way. The number of people voting was only 61% in 2005 from 77% in 1992, do we know the reason for this? This means there is a market out there of 16%, and how many seats could we win with just 5% of this 16%. If you look on this link it will show you the % in all areas of the UK.

http://www.ukpolitical.info/Turnout45.htm
General election turnout since 1945, by region Year UK England Wales Scotland N.Ireland
2005 61.4
2001 59.4
1997 71.4
1992 77.7
1987 75.3
1983 72.7
1979 76 75.

Source: House of Commons Research Papers 01/54 & 05/33

]]> By: Mark Pack http://www.libdemvoice.org/follow-the-yellow-brick-road-the-liberal-democrats-general-election-campaign-16707.html#comment-102480 Mark Pack Wed, 25 Nov 2009 21:34:09 +0000 http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=16707#comment-102480 Thanks Jane. Thanks Jane.

]]> By: Jane Leaper http://www.libdemvoice.org/follow-the-yellow-brick-road-the-liberal-democrats-general-election-campaign-16707.html#comment-102451 Jane Leaper Wed, 25 Nov 2009 15:57:02 +0000 http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=16707#comment-102451 Hi Mark. Your link to Amazon needs mending. It isn't working because it is reading hhttp:. You need to drop an aitch :) Hi Mark. Your link to Amazon needs mending. It isn’t working because it is reading hhttp:. You need to drop an aitch :)

]]> By: plumbus http://www.libdemvoice.org/follow-the-yellow-brick-road-the-liberal-democrats-general-election-campaign-16707.html#comment-102432 plumbus Wed, 25 Nov 2009 13:02:09 +0000 http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=16707#comment-102432 A really good piece but it raises some questions about our strategic aims for 2010. Of course we want as many seats as we can win but there are 2 things that matter more- stopping the Tories getting a majority & pushing Labour into 3rd place in the vote-share. This is an Election where every Libdem vote will count, in every seat. Imagine a result where we get more votes than Labour but only a quarter of the seats, that would make the case for reform better than any campaign. A hung Parliament with the Libdems 2nd in the real world would put us in a great position to lead the demands for real change, root & branch. A really good piece but it raises some questions about our strategic aims for 2010. Of course we want as many seats as we can win but there are 2 things that matter more- stopping the Tories getting a majority & pushing
Labour into 3rd place in the vote-share. This is an Election where every Libdem vote will count, in every seat.
Imagine a result where we get more votes than Labour but only a quarter of the seats, that would make the case for reform better than any campaign. A hung Parliament with the Libdems 2nd in the real world would put us in a great position to lead the demands for real change, root & branch.

]]> By: Liberal Neil http://www.libdemvoice.org/follow-the-yellow-brick-road-the-liberal-democrats-general-election-campaign-16707.html#comment-102415 Liberal Neil Wed, 25 Nov 2009 10:52:17 +0000 http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=16707#comment-102415 Very good article Mark. Very good article Mark.

]]>