Four pieces of mostly unconnected news

One: Mark Penn, formerly of Hilary Clinton’s Presidential campaign, tells people in US that it was he who ran Labour’s 2005 general election campaign. I suspect that’d be news to quite a few in the Labour Party. Such as those who ran it.

Two: Alun Cairns, a Conservative Welsh Assembly member, quits post after insulting Italians.

Three: Kelvin MacKenzie needs a crash course in the law if he isn’t to end up in jail for accepting illegal overseas donations.

Four: there’s a very high chance* that support for the Conservative Party has fallen since just before and just after David Davis’s announcement. (That’s the odds that the split samples in the ComRes poll for tomorrow’s papers, which show a fall from 48% to 41%, really do reflect a change in the underlying reality rather than a random sampling fluctuation.)

* Yes, I know I could give a figure with some decimal places just to flaunt the fact that I’ve got a calculator, and a slide rule, and a formula with a square root bit in it and everything. But that’s not really the point, is it?

 

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13 Comments

  • Posted 14th June 2008 at 9:52 pm | Permalink

    It could also reflect the damage done by the cash scandals and the fact that with winning the 43 day vote for the government this has been a good week for it…i think it’s too early to attribute it to specifically the Davis resignation…

  • Posted 14th June 2008 at 9:52 pm | Permalink

    42 days sorry….as if that wasnt another my typoitus added another one on free of a Commons vote

  • Posted 14th June 2008 at 10:27 pm | Permalink

    PoliticalBetting is saying that the markets are coming back behing the Conservatives.

  • Felix Holt
    Posted 14th June 2008 at 10:35 pm | Permalink

    Nah – I fink the markets are comin’ back in frong of them…

  • Posted 14th June 2008 at 10:39 pm | Permalink

    Is the unconnected news connected to the disjointed typing…is this thread cursed or are people just mocking me with mimickery ;)

  • Anonymous
    Posted 14th June 2008 at 11:11 pm | Permalink

    I think someone’s taking the mimic.

  • David Morton
    Posted 15th June 2008 at 4:44 am | Permalink

    The Mail on Sunday has a 11% swing to the Conservatives in H and H since 2005 in a special Constituiency Poll. It also has him crushing kelvin Mckensie in a hypothetical match up.

    The new You Gov has no fall in conservative support despite a similar sampling period.

  • Posted 15th June 2008 at 10:45 am | Permalink

    Well that says it all doesnt it…support drains away from the Liberal Democrats and goes to the Conservatives; we should not be perpetuating the myth that this is a single issue campaign, it isn’t…David Davis is a Conservative candidate standing for the Conservative Party

  • crewegwyn
    Posted 15th June 2008 at 11:31 am | Permalink

    er, re Alun Cairns -

    what EXACTLY did he say, since Dau o’r Bau is a Welsh language programme, what IS the Welsh for “greasy wops” ????

    I think we should be told !!

  • Diversity
    Posted 15th June 2008 at 4:01 pm | Permalink

    Mark

    Thanks for omitting the numbers after the decimal point. In polls, they convey no useful information.

  • passing liberal
    Posted 16th June 2008 at 9:21 am | Permalink

    He said Greasy Wops in English I think.

    He has now been personally suspended by David Cameron and Caroline Spellman as Tory PPC in the ultra marginal Vale of Glamorgan seat. This really should warrant a thread of its own, otherwise this becomes a case of further evidence of the wider party not caring about Wales. I think this is a massive story.

  • crewegwyn
    Posted 16th June 2008 at 12:17 pm | Permalink

    passing liberal,

    He said it in ENGLISH. On Radio Cymru ! He’ll be getting a call from the “heddlu iaith” [language police].

    Seriously, quite agree with your last point. If he’d been an English PPC saying this on the Andrew Marr Show it’d be all over the media.

  • passing liberal
    Posted 16th June 2008 at 5:14 pm | Permalink

    Quite.

    Actually, if he had been a Tory Councillor in England then it would have had its own story, but as he is a member of the little old National Assembly For Wales (a body responsible for spending 5% of the entire UK budget by the way, its own legislature etc etc)it doesn’t even get noticed.

    I might write an op piece on this when I have time.

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