Four pieces of mostly unconnected news
Written by Mark Pack on 14th June 2008 – 9:43 pmOne: Mark Penn, formerly of Hilary Clinton’s Presidential campaign, tells people in US that it was he who ran Labour’s 2005 general election campaign. I suspect that’d be news to quite a few in the Labour Party. Such as those who ran it.
Two: Alun Cairns, a Conservative Welsh Assembly member, quits post after insulting Italians.
Three: Kelvin MacKenzie needs a crash course in the law if he isn’t to end up in jail for accepting illegal overseas donations.
Four: there’s a very high chance* that support for the Conservative Party has fallen since just before and just after David Davis’s announcement. (That’s the odds that the split samples in the ComRes poll for tomorrow’s papers, which show a fall from 48% to 41%, really do reflect a change in the underlying reality rather than a random sampling fluctuation.)
* Yes, I know I could give a figure with some decimal places just to flaunt the fact that I’ve got a calculator, and a slide rule, and a formula with a square root bit in it and everything. But that’s not really the point, is it?
Posted in Haltemprice & Howden, News
14th June 2008 at 9:52 pm
It could also reflect the damage done by the cash scandals and the fact that with winning the 43 day vote for the government this has been a good week for it…i think it’s too early to attribute it to specifically the Davis resignation…
14th June 2008 at 9:52 pm
42 days sorry….as if that wasnt another my typoitus added another one on free of a Commons vote
14th June 2008 at 10:27 pm
PoliticalBetting is saying that the markets are coming back behing the Conservatives.
14th June 2008 at 10:35 pm
Nah - I fink the markets are comin’ back in frong of them…
14th June 2008 at 10:39 pm
Is the unconnected news connected to the disjointed typing…is this thread cursed or are people just mocking me with mimickery
14th June 2008 at 11:11 pm
I think someone’s taking the mimic.
15th June 2008 at 4:44 am
The Mail on Sunday has a 11% swing to the Conservatives in H and H since 2005 in a special Constituiency Poll. It also has him crushing kelvin Mckensie in a hypothetical match up.
The new You Gov has no fall in conservative support despite a similar sampling period.
15th June 2008 at 10:45 am
Well that says it all doesnt it…support drains away from the Liberal Democrats and goes to the Conservatives; we should not be perpetuating the myth that this is a single issue campaign, it isn’t…David Davis is a Conservative candidate standing for the Conservative Party
15th June 2008 at 11:31 am
er, re Alun Cairns -
what EXACTLY did he say, since Dau o’r Bau is a Welsh language programme, what IS the Welsh for “greasy wops” ????
I think we should be told !!
15th June 2008 at 4:01 pm
Mark
Thanks for omitting the numbers after the decimal point. In polls, they convey no useful information.
16th June 2008 at 9:21 am
He said Greasy Wops in English I think.
He has now been personally suspended by David Cameron and Caroline Spellman as Tory PPC in the ultra marginal Vale of Glamorgan seat. This really should warrant a thread of its own, otherwise this becomes a case of further evidence of the wider party not caring about Wales. I think this is a massive story.
16th June 2008 at 12:17 pm
passing liberal,
He said it in ENGLISH. On Radio Cymru ! He’ll be getting a call from the “heddlu iaith” [language police].
Seriously, quite agree with your last point. If he’d been an English PPC saying this on the Andrew Marr Show it’d be all over the media.
16th June 2008 at 5:14 pm
Quite.
Actually, if he had been a Tory Councillor in England then it would have had its own story, but as he is a member of the little old National Assembly For Wales (a body responsible for spending 5% of the entire UK budget by the way, its own legislature etc etc)it doesn’t even get noticed.
I might write an op piece on this when I have time.