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	<title>Comments on: Haltemprice and Howden: what lessons to be learned?</title>
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	<description>Our place to talk - an independent website for supporters of the Liberal Democrat party in the UK.</description>
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		<title>By: David Morton</title>
		<link>http://www.libdemvoice.org/haltemprice-and-howden-what-lessons-to-be-learned-3000.html#comment-55820</link>
		<dc:creator>David Morton</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Jul 2008 12:13:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=3000#comment-55820</guid>
		<description>Thanks Stephen. I&#039;m sure linking back to those comments of mine will be the end of my much deserved Peerage !</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks Stephen. I&#8217;m sure linking back to those comments of mine will be the end of my much deserved Peerage !</p>
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		<title>By: Spanny Thomas</title>
		<link>http://www.libdemvoice.org/haltemprice-and-howden-what-lessons-to-be-learned-3000.html#comment-55754</link>
		<dc:creator>Spanny Thomas</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 12 Jul 2008 02:21:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=3000#comment-55754</guid>
		<description>Good article Stephen. It was a shocking result for the Greens. Coming second in a 2 horse race (only 2 serious parties entered) and only just beating the English Democrats, a fringe crackpot group, is nothing to be proud of. The anti-Tory votes should have been hoovered up by them.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good article Stephen. It was a shocking result for the Greens. Coming second in a 2 horse race (only 2 serious parties entered) and only just beating the English Democrats, a fringe crackpot group, is nothing to be proud of. The anti-Tory votes should have been hoovered up by them.</p>
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		<title>By: Ed</title>
		<link>http://www.libdemvoice.org/haltemprice-and-howden-what-lessons-to-be-learned-3000.html#comment-55750</link>
		<dc:creator>Ed</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 12 Jul 2008 00:13:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=3000#comment-55750</guid>
		<description>Oh Lord, Laurence!  Please dont let&#039;s adopt standing against candidates we disagree with as the key criterion for standing - otherwise there will be 15 Lib Dem candidates in every election, all standing against each other as a matter of principle!!!

;-)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oh Lord, Laurence!  Please dont let&#8217;s adopt standing against candidates we disagree with as the key criterion for standing &#8211; otherwise there will be 15 Lib Dem candidates in every election, all standing against each other as a matter of principle!!!</p>
<p> <img src='http://www.libdemvoice.org/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_wink.gif' alt=';-)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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		<title>By: simonsez</title>
		<link>http://www.libdemvoice.org/haltemprice-and-howden-what-lessons-to-be-learned-3000.html#comment-55740</link>
		<dc:creator>simonsez</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 23:48:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=3000#comment-55740</guid>
		<description>Off topic but - 
Does anybody else think  that £500 is a cheap price for a freepost mailshot to every voter in a constituency (typ. 50,000 people) plus any extra coverage a wacky name can attract?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Off topic but &#8211;<br />
Does anybody else think  that £500 is a cheap price for a freepost mailshot to every voter in a constituency (typ. 50,000 people) plus any extra coverage a wacky name can attract?</p>
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		<title>By: Sesenco</title>
		<link>http://www.libdemvoice.org/haltemprice-and-howden-what-lessons-to-be-learned-3000.html#comment-55737</link>
		<dc:creator>Sesenco</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 22:20:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=3000#comment-55737</guid>
		<description>No-one thus far has mentioned Brown&#039;s rushing through Parliament a statute that permits courts to admit evidence from anonymous witnesses. Not only does this undermine the right to a fair trial and open justice, it amounts to a grave abuse of the Parliamentary process. Yet Cameron and Clegg have colluded with Brown.

In future, prison grasses who commit perjury for favours will be protected by anonymity. It will not be possible to confront them with their criminal records.

Show trials like the ABC trial of the 1970s will become a routine occurrence. Anyone remember Colonel Hugh Johnston (oops, that&#039;s contempt of court) who, standing behind a screen, explained to the jury how possessing photographs of the Post Office Tower amounted to a dangerous threat to national security? It took Paul Foot, one of the greatest journalists who has ever lived, to stick his neck out and name the guy.

Thanks to the collusion of Brown, Cameron and Clegg, we can say goodbye to open justice.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No-one thus far has mentioned Brown&#8217;s rushing through Parliament a statute that permits courts to admit evidence from anonymous witnesses. Not only does this undermine the right to a fair trial and open justice, it amounts to a grave abuse of the Parliamentary process. Yet Cameron and Clegg have colluded with Brown.</p>
<p>In future, prison grasses who commit perjury for favours will be protected by anonymity. It will not be possible to confront them with their criminal records.</p>
<p>Show trials like the ABC trial of the 1970s will become a routine occurrence. Anyone remember Colonel Hugh Johnston (oops, that&#8217;s contempt of court) who, standing behind a screen, explained to the jury how possessing photographs of the Post Office Tower amounted to a dangerous threat to national security? It took Paul Foot, one of the greatest journalists who has ever lived, to stick his neck out and name the guy.</p>
<p>Thanks to the collusion of Brown, Cameron and Clegg, we can say goodbye to open justice.</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.libdemvoice.org/haltemprice-and-howden-what-lessons-to-be-learned-3000.html#comment-55710</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 20:26:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=3000#comment-55710</guid>
		<description>James Graham thinks the real loser of Haltemprice is Nick Clegg:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/jul/11/haltemprice</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>James Graham thinks the real loser of Haltemprice is Nick Clegg:<br />
<a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/jul/11/haltemprice" rel="nofollow">http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/jul/11/haltemprice</a></p>
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		<title>By: Mouse</title>
		<link>http://www.libdemvoice.org/haltemprice-and-howden-what-lessons-to-be-learned-3000.html#comment-55702</link>
		<dc:creator>Mouse</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 15:26:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=3000#comment-55702</guid>
		<description>Given the circumstances, in my view, it was a poor result for the green party, no doubt they and others had hoped/expected they might do better, but they couldn&#039;t really capitalise on the opportunity.  Although, any Lib Dem thinking of crowing ought to at least wait until the Glasgow East result is in.

The real problem for the Greens (aside from some loopy views) is that if they are right and the other parties have nothing to offer on the environment, then they might as well pack up and go home.  The idea that winning in Norwich or Brighton will transform anything is darft. The Lib Dems should know, they&#039;ve spent years trying to take on the main parties.

Rather than knocking the Lib Dems the greens might to better to work for common aims like electoral reform - if they can work with Ken, it must be possible.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Given the circumstances, in my view, it was a poor result for the green party, no doubt they and others had hoped/expected they might do better, but they couldn&#8217;t really capitalise on the opportunity.  Although, any Lib Dem thinking of crowing ought to at least wait until the Glasgow East result is in.</p>
<p>The real problem for the Greens (aside from some loopy views) is that if they are right and the other parties have nothing to offer on the environment, then they might as well pack up and go home.  The idea that winning in Norwich or Brighton will transform anything is darft. The Lib Dems should know, they&#8217;ve spent years trying to take on the main parties.</p>
<p>Rather than knocking the Lib Dems the greens might to better to work for common aims like electoral reform &#8211; if they can work with Ken, it must be possible.</p>
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		<title>By: Matt Sellwood</title>
		<link>http://www.libdemvoice.org/haltemprice-and-howden-what-lessons-to-be-learned-3000.html#comment-55697</link>
		<dc:creator>Matt Sellwood</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 15:04:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=3000#comment-55697</guid>
		<description>&quot;Despite the spin of top Greens like Rupert Read this result as showing they are on course in their actual target seats seems hard to justify.&quot;

Well I broadly agree, in that I&#039;m not sure this result shows anything about how we are doing in Brighton, Norwich, and so on. Those results will be decided by the hard work that our candidates and their teams are doing in those areas, not by whether we get 1,700 or 2,500 votes in Haltemprice.

And I can say mission accomplished because I set out two criteria for success and we achieved them both. Perhaps our media coverage wasn&#039;t that which the Lib Dems would expect in a constituency where they wanted to come second, but in comparison to normal coverage of Green candidates in by-elections it was very respectable.

Matt</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Despite the spin of top Greens like Rupert Read this result as showing they are on course in their actual target seats seems hard to justify.&#8221;</p>
<p>Well I broadly agree, in that I&#8217;m not sure this result shows anything about how we are doing in Brighton, Norwich, and so on. Those results will be decided by the hard work that our candidates and their teams are doing in those areas, not by whether we get 1,700 or 2,500 votes in Haltemprice.</p>
<p>And I can say mission accomplished because I set out two criteria for success and we achieved them both. Perhaps our media coverage wasn&#8217;t that which the Lib Dems would expect in a constituency where they wanted to come second, but in comparison to normal coverage of Green candidates in by-elections it was very respectable.</p>
<p>Matt</p>
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		<title>By: Simon</title>
		<link>http://www.libdemvoice.org/haltemprice-and-howden-what-lessons-to-be-learned-3000.html#comment-55693</link>
		<dc:creator>Simon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 14:04:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=3000#comment-55693</guid>
		<description>&quot;I don’t thik the aim was ever to ‘catapult it to the top of our target list’. It was to get some good media coverage during the campaign for our civil liberties stances, and to point out from the left that Davis is not a civil liberties saint. Mission accomplished, really.&quot;

How can you sat that beating the English Democrats by just 44 votes is mission accomplished. Despite the spin of top Greens like Rupert Read this result as showing they are on course in their actual target seats seems hard to justify.

Mission accomplished would have been 10-20% the vote not the dismal 7%.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;I don’t thik the aim was ever to ‘catapult it to the top of our target list’. It was to get some good media coverage during the campaign for our civil liberties stances, and to point out from the left that Davis is not a civil liberties saint. Mission accomplished, really.&#8221;</p>
<p>How can you sat that beating the English Democrats by just 44 votes is mission accomplished. Despite the spin of top Greens like Rupert Read this result as showing they are on course in their actual target seats seems hard to justify.</p>
<p>Mission accomplished would have been 10-20% the vote not the dismal 7%.</p>
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		<title>By: Laurence Boyce</title>
		<link>http://www.libdemvoice.org/haltemprice-and-howden-what-lessons-to-be-learned-3000.html#comment-55690</link>
		<dc:creator>Laurence Boyce</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 13:34:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=3000#comment-55690</guid>
		<description>Nick Clegg has released a &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.libdems.org.uk/news/story.html?id=14697&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;muddled statement&lt;/a&gt; praising Davis, but attacking the Conservatives for wishing to scrap the Human Rights Act. Trouble is that Davis wants to scrap the Act too, so this just lacks credibility.

The lesson is that in future we actually run &lt;i&gt;against&lt;/i&gt; candidates with whom we disagree.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nick Clegg has released a <a href="http://www.libdems.org.uk/news/story.html?id=14697" rel="nofollow">muddled statement</a> praising Davis, but attacking the Conservatives for wishing to scrap the Human Rights Act. Trouble is that Davis wants to scrap the Act too, so this just lacks credibility.</p>
<p>The lesson is that in future we actually run <i>against</i> candidates with whom we disagree.</p>
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		<title>By: passing tory</title>
		<link>http://www.libdemvoice.org/haltemprice-and-howden-what-lessons-to-be-learned-3000.html#comment-55689</link>
		<dc:creator>passing tory</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 13:20:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=3000#comment-55689</guid>
		<description>Stephen, it is not so much that _you_ approved of DD taking a stand as much as the fact that this was very widespread. It challenged the Westminster village consensus view, and opened the door for similar stands in future. This is what I meant by being the opposite of triangulation; rather than having politicians endlessly searching for the middle way, we might start to have  more traditional debates from clearly set positions. I would consider this a good thing.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Stephen, it is not so much that _you_ approved of DD taking a stand as much as the fact that this was very widespread. It challenged the Westminster village consensus view, and opened the door for similar stands in future. This is what I meant by being the opposite of triangulation; rather than having politicians endlessly searching for the middle way, we might start to have  more traditional debates from clearly set positions. I would consider this a good thing.</p>
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		<title>By: Cheltenham Robin</title>
		<link>http://www.libdemvoice.org/haltemprice-and-howden-what-lessons-to-be-learned-3000.html#comment-55671</link>
		<dc:creator>Cheltenham Robin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 11:28:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=3000#comment-55671</guid>
		<description>We have gained nothing from the decision not to stand.

This by-election was nothing to do with civil liberty and more to do with splits in the Tory party.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We have gained nothing from the decision not to stand.</p>
<p>This by-election was nothing to do with civil liberty and more to do with splits in the Tory party.</p>
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		<title>By: Dan</title>
		<link>http://www.libdemvoice.org/haltemprice-and-howden-what-lessons-to-be-learned-3000.html#comment-55670</link>
		<dc:creator>Dan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 11:24:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=3000#comment-55670</guid>
		<description>&#039;There are those who have argued on this site (I’m thinking especially of David Morton’s intelligent, insightful comments) that the party ceded the campaign by not putting up a candidate. But we didn’t need a candidate to be able to campaign &#039;

That of course is the crux of the issue.  I think there is a strong tendency in the party to associate campaigning with elections.  They&#039;re not the same thing and we need to do far more to campaign on important issues to win hearts and minds outside of elections.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8216;There are those who have argued on this site (I’m thinking especially of David Morton’s intelligent, insightful comments) that the party ceded the campaign by not putting up a candidate. But we didn’t need a candidate to be able to campaign &#8216;</p>
<p>That of course is the crux of the issue.  I think there is a strong tendency in the party to associate campaigning with elections.  They&#8217;re not the same thing and we need to do far more to campaign on important issues to win hearts and minds outside of elections.</p>
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		<title>By: Stephen Tall</title>
		<link>http://www.libdemvoice.org/haltemprice-and-howden-what-lessons-to-be-learned-3000.html#comment-55668</link>
		<dc:creator>Stephen Tall</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 10:52:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=3000#comment-55668</guid>
		<description>PT - I kind of thought the support for DD &quot;taking a stand&quot; was pretty clearly stated in the phrase, &quot;personal admiration for Mr Davis, and/or admiration for his courageous stance&quot;. 

I don&#039;t agree with your triangulation point, though - whats DD&#039;s support for 28 days rather than 42 days if not triangulation?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>PT &#8211; I kind of thought the support for DD &#8220;taking a stand&#8221; was pretty clearly stated in the phrase, &#8220;personal admiration for Mr Davis, and/or admiration for his courageous stance&#8221;. </p>
<p>I don&#8217;t agree with your triangulation point, though &#8211; whats DD&#8217;s support for 28 days rather than 42 days if not triangulation?</p>
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		<title>By: passing tory</title>
		<link>http://www.libdemvoice.org/haltemprice-and-howden-what-lessons-to-be-learned-3000.html#comment-55667</link>
		<dc:creator>passing tory</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 10:46:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=3000#comment-55667</guid>
		<description>Stephen has missed probably the most important aspect of the whole escapade; that it has demonstrated the level of public support there is for politicians who take a stand and who don&#039;t just develop policy through triangulation.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Stephen has missed probably the most important aspect of the whole escapade; that it has demonstrated the level of public support there is for politicians who take a stand and who don&#8217;t just develop policy through triangulation.</p>
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		<title>By: Paul Walter</title>
		<link>http://www.libdemvoice.org/haltemprice-and-howden-what-lessons-to-be-learned-3000.html#comment-55666</link>
		<dc:creator>Paul Walter</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 10:46:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=3000#comment-55666</guid>
		<description>Fair point Stephen, and I think you suggest some good things which we could have done. Most of them would have to have been initiated largely by the H&amp;H local party, with assistance from Cowley Street, so it would be interesting to hear a response from any H&amp;H LibDems.

I just find it weird to try and get my head around the idea of a non-campaign campaign. It is not something we have much experience of - running a campaign without a candidate.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Fair point Stephen, and I think you suggest some good things which we could have done. Most of them would have to have been initiated largely by the H&amp;H local party, with assistance from Cowley Street, so it would be interesting to hear a response from any H&amp;H LibDems.</p>
<p>I just find it weird to try and get my head around the idea of a non-campaign campaign. It is not something we have much experience of &#8211; running a campaign without a candidate.</p>
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		<title>By: crewegwyn</title>
		<link>http://www.libdemvoice.org/haltemprice-and-howden-what-lessons-to-be-learned-3000.html#comment-55665</link>
		<dc:creator>crewegwyn</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 10:35:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=3000#comment-55665</guid>
		<description>Surely what we learn is that large political egos get in the way of sensible governance ?

[And that applies at any level from Parish Councils or local authorities to shadow home secretaries !]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Surely what we learn is that large political egos get in the way of sensible governance ?</p>
<p>[And that applies at any level from Parish Councils or local authorities to shadow home secretaries !]</p>
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		<title>By: Sesenco</title>
		<link>http://www.libdemvoice.org/haltemprice-and-howden-what-lessons-to-be-learned-3000.html#comment-55662</link>
		<dc:creator>Sesenco</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 10:27:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=3000#comment-55662</guid>
		<description>Stephen Tall wrote (inter alia):

&quot;...and setting out clearly the Lib Dem stance on civil liberties – which is a good deal more liberal, consistent and united than that offered by Mr Davis’s party&quot;

Yes, but what exactly is the Lib Dem stance on civil liberties?

Satellite surveillance of motor vehicles? (transport working group)
Marshal law for under 16s? (Julia Goldsworthy)
Conscription? (Mark Oaten)
Capital and corporal punishment? (Cyril Smith)

Ok, it&#039;s a bit unfair of me to shove in Cyril Smith, who was always an outsider with little influence, and whose opinions tended not to be shared by many of his colleagues.

But Goldsworthy is a different kettle of fish. Goldsworthy holds a Shadow Cabinet portfolio and is believed to be very close to Nick Clegg. The fact that she advocates fascism is an absolute scandal and needs to be stamped on firmly and swiftly.

Nick should sack her, just as Ted Heath sacked Enoch Powell after his notorious Midlands Hotel speech in 1968.

Marshal law and youth hating have nothing to do with Liberal Democracy. We need to make that clear.

PS: What a pathetic result for the &quot;robot radical&quot; Green Party, which failed to pick up more than a handful of progressive votes.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Stephen Tall wrote (inter alia):</p>
<p>&#8220;&#8230;and setting out clearly the Lib Dem stance on civil liberties – which is a good deal more liberal, consistent and united than that offered by Mr Davis’s party&#8221;</p>
<p>Yes, but what exactly is the Lib Dem stance on civil liberties?</p>
<p>Satellite surveillance of motor vehicles? (transport working group)<br />
Marshal law for under 16s? (Julia Goldsworthy)<br />
Conscription? (Mark Oaten)<br />
Capital and corporal punishment? (Cyril Smith)</p>
<p>Ok, it&#8217;s a bit unfair of me to shove in Cyril Smith, who was always an outsider with little influence, and whose opinions tended not to be shared by many of his colleagues.</p>
<p>But Goldsworthy is a different kettle of fish. Goldsworthy holds a Shadow Cabinet portfolio and is believed to be very close to Nick Clegg. The fact that she advocates fascism is an absolute scandal and needs to be stamped on firmly and swiftly.</p>
<p>Nick should sack her, just as Ted Heath sacked Enoch Powell after his notorious Midlands Hotel speech in 1968.</p>
<p>Marshal law and youth hating have nothing to do with Liberal Democracy. We need to make that clear.</p>
<p>PS: What a pathetic result for the &#8220;robot radical&#8221; Green Party, which failed to pick up more than a handful of progressive votes.</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://www.libdemvoice.org/haltemprice-and-howden-what-lessons-to-be-learned-3000.html#comment-55661</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 10:17:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=3000#comment-55661</guid>
		<description>&quot;His overwhelming vote is certainly a commanding personal mandate ...&quot;

A rather odd view, given your own assessment only yesterday that:

(1) &quot;Mr Davis will be hoping that at least half the electorate will go to the polls. ... [but] Given the lack of credible opposition to Mr Davis, he can probably argue that anything over 40% is respectable.&quot;

(2) &quot;... he will hope and expect to get at least 70% of the vote at this by-election. Anything below that will be embarrassing ...&quot;

Admittedly with 72% of the vote he narrowly avoided fulfilling your &quot;embarrassment&quot; criterion, but obviously the 35% turnout falls far short of your &quot;respectability&quot; criterion, let alone the 50% you think he was hoping for.

So the turnout wasn&#039;t respectable, and Davis&#039;s vote was 2 points above embarrassing, but the combined effect is &quot;a commanding personal mandate&quot;. 

Did you write that bit before the result was announced, by any chance?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;His overwhelming vote is certainly a commanding personal mandate &#8230;&#8221;</p>
<p>A rather odd view, given your own assessment only yesterday that:</p>
<p>(1) &#8220;Mr Davis will be hoping that at least half the electorate will go to the polls. &#8230; [but] Given the lack of credible opposition to Mr Davis, he can probably argue that anything over 40% is respectable.&#8221;</p>
<p>(2) &#8220;&#8230; he will hope and expect to get at least 70% of the vote at this by-election. Anything below that will be embarrassing &#8230;&#8221;</p>
<p>Admittedly with 72% of the vote he narrowly avoided fulfilling your &#8220;embarrassment&#8221; criterion, but obviously the 35% turnout falls far short of your &#8220;respectability&#8221; criterion, let alone the 50% you think he was hoping for.</p>
<p>So the turnout wasn&#8217;t respectable, and Davis&#8217;s vote was 2 points above embarrassing, but the combined effect is &#8220;a commanding personal mandate&#8221;. </p>
<p>Did you write that bit before the result was announced, by any chance?</p>
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		<title>By: asquith</title>
		<link>http://www.libdemvoice.org/haltemprice-and-howden-what-lessons-to-be-learned-3000.html#comment-55660</link>
		<dc:creator>asquith</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 10:04:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.libdemvoice.org/?p=3000#comment-55660</guid>
		<description>Davis is not, &amp; has never set out to be, a liberal. I have said relentlessly that we need a proper coalition of socialists, liberals, &amp; conservatives who support a harsher criminal law than we would (Peter Hitchens being an example) on side. 

If someone from a totally different point of view to mine supports civil liberties, I regard that as a good thing, as it shows that the LD leadership were right to say that it is basically not a partisan issue.

I for one am congratulating him on his victory.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Davis is not, &amp; has never set out to be, a liberal. I have said relentlessly that we need a proper coalition of socialists, liberals, &amp; conservatives who support a harsher criminal law than we would (Peter Hitchens being an example) on side. </p>
<p>If someone from a totally different point of view to mine supports civil liberties, I regard that as a good thing, as it shows that the LD leadership were right to say that it is basically not a partisan issue.</p>
<p>I for one am congratulating him on his victory.</p>
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