Is the SNP a shoo-in for Glenrothes? (Or is Labour lowering expectations?)

The Daily Mail’s Ben Brogan at least is convinced that Labour are down-and-out in today’s Scottish by-election:

Labour word is that Glenrothes is a lost cause. The SNP will take it by 1500, give or take 500. I don’t detect a Brown Central attempt to prepare a “shock” win. Instead they say that had they had a few days more it might have made a difference, and that without Gordon and Sarah Brown’s personal intervention the result would be far worse. So the good news is that defeat will be masked by the Obama euphoria.

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9 Comments

  • Posted 6th November 2008 at 9:51 am | Permalink

    I think Labour are diliberately downplaying expectations to be honest; they secretly hope they can win but want to minimise the damage if they dont…

  • Hywel Morgan
    Posted 7th November 2008 at 12:48 am | Permalink

    Welcome to the new election tactic. Obviously saying “X is set for a stunning defeat” is the way to go

  • Dan
    Posted 7th November 2008 at 12:51 am | Permalink

    Hywel – The Lib Dems are clearly going to be crushed next time ;)

  • Posted 7th November 2008 at 12:51 am | Permalink

    It has some value…reverse psychology and all….

  • Clegg's Candid Friend
    Posted 7th November 2008 at 12:57 am | Permalink

    Gordon’s Alive?

  • Hywel Morgan
    Posted 7th November 2008 at 1:21 am | Permalink

    Is it a Fife thing – that they like producing results that completely confuse the political pundits :-)

  • Clegg's Ardent Admirer
    Posted 7th November 2008 at 3:10 am | Permalink

    Oh Dear. There was never anything we could have done about third party squeeze but just like Glasgow East our vote sems to have been crushed.

  • Posted 7th November 2008 at 5:50 am | Permalink

    Dismayed that Labour can win so easily. But I’m a unionist & dislike the SNP, so I don’t really know what to make of this, apart from the fact that it’s a bit shyte to see the LD vote so low again.

  • Liam Pennington
    Posted 7th November 2008 at 6:33 am | Permalink

    L ROY [Lab] 19,946 (55.1 +3.2)
    P GRANT [SNP] 13,209 (36.5 +13.1)
    M GOLDEN [Con] 1,381 (3.8 -3.3)
    H WILLS [LibDem] 947 (2.6 -10.1)
    J PARKER [SSCU] 296 (0.8 -)
    M BALFOUR [SSP] 212 (0.6 -1.3)
    K SEUNARINE [UKIP] 117 (0.3 -0.9)
    L MCLEARY [Sol.] 87 (0.2 -)

    Swing -3.7 Labour to SNP

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