New year, new council loss for the Tories

6 Comments

• Peter
  Posted 8th January 2007 at 6:22 pm | Permalink

  What annoys me about this is that they will probably get reported as gains on the BBC next election night. I believe that a number of their gained seats and councils were re-gained after defection last time around. Anyone got any stats on propensity to defect by party?
• H-Lad
  Posted 9th January 2007 at 12:18 am | Permalink

  This is exactly what I warned about during the last bout of losses. Not a soul will give a flying monkeys about the Tories losing Erewash (not compared to their 7 point poll lead and us languishing again) … but come May 3rd when the Tories regain all these councils it will look like they are flying ahead. I’d say they are up a few councils before the night even starts. Don’t be pleased about all this, it’ll do DC a favour in the long run.

• lharris999
  Posted 9th January 2007 at 12:41 pm | Permalink

  I wish the BBC etc on election night would compare the results to 2003 when nearly all these seats were last up.

  After all this is what they do for MPs which is why Brent East was a Lib Dem gain despite the fact we had won it in a by-election

• antony_hook
  Posted 9th January 2007 at 5:44 pm | Permalink

  I think they /do/ actually bases lossess/gains on the previous election results.

• Andrea
  Posted 9th January 2007 at 7:48 pm | Permalink

  “I think they /do/ actually bases lossess/gains on the previous election results. ”

  In Islington result they had the tories down 1
  http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/bsp/hi/vote2006/locals/html/au.stm
  but their seat was actually Dave Barnes who was elected as a LD in 2002 (he was a former Labourite, then Indipendent, then LibDem, then Labour again…and I can have missed some defections he made)

• Daniel
  Posted 9th January 2007 at 8:16 pm | Permalink

  Figures for Brent also include two defections to the Lib Dems

  One from the Tories, one from Labour

  http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/bsp/hi/vote2006/locals/map/html/map.stm