Lib Dem Voice has polled our members-only forum to discover what Lib Dem members think of various political issues, the Coalition, and the performance of key party figures. 741 party members responded – thank you – and we’re publishing the full results.
So, here are the results of the Brexit jury.
We broke our readers in gently by asking them how they voted in the Referendum. The result will surprise nobody:
We wanted to gauge feeling in the party towards the elements of Tim Farron’s Plan for Europe:
First of all, we asked if members supported the call for a parliamentary vote on invoking Article 50. A staggering 86.41% were in favour and 13.59% were opposed.
The idea of a referendum on the final Brexit deal has been closely debated on Lib Dem Voice, but party members gave a whopping endorsement to the plan with 77.18% of respondents in favour and 22.82% against.
Finally, we asked what sort of arrangement people would like with the EU and the single market if we did end up leaving. An overwhelming majority, 79.16%, favoured the Norwegian style option with free movement of people and access to the single market.
Norway – EFTA/EEA/Full access to single market/free movement of people with EU – 79.16%
Switzerland – EFTA/bilateral agreements with EU to access single market for some of its industries excluding banking/free movement of people with EU – 4.75%
Turkey – Customs union with EU, no tariffs on its exports to EU, no free movement of people with EU – 4.49%
Canada – Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement – Took seven years, about to come into place. Preferential access to single market. Would not give UK financial sector access to EU markets as now. – 1.98%
Singapore/Hong Kong – unilateral free trade approach, does not impose any tarrifs on imports or exports. -5.8%
Default – World Trade Rules – The UK and EU would be obliged to apply to each other the tariffs and other trade restrictions they apply to the rest of the world – 3.83%
Conference debates a Europe motion tabled by the Federal Policy Committee tomorrow morning.
It’s not the biggest surprise in the world that members of an internationalist, pro-European party should back greater international co-operaton, but it does go to show that we are the only party who are pretty much absolutely united on this point.
- 2,200+ Lib Dem paid-up party members are registered with LibDemVoice.org. completed the latest survey, which was conducted on 29th and 30th November 2015
- Please note: we make no claims that the survey is fully representative of the Lib Dem membership as a whole. The surveys are, though, the largest independent samples of the views of Lib Dem members across the country.
- We have been able to test the LibDemVoice surveys against actual results on a handful of occasions. It correctly forecast the special Lib Dem conference would overwhelmingly approve the Coalition Agreement in May 2010. In the 2008 and 2010 elections for Lib Dem party president, it correctly predicted the winner. However, in the 2014 election it didn’t; see here for my thoughts on this.
- Polling expert Anthony Wells has written about the reliability/validity of LibDemVoice surveys here.
- The full archive of our members’ surveys can be viewed at www.libdemvoice.org/category/ldv-members-poll
* Caron Lindsay is Editor of Liberal Democrat Voice and blogs at Caron's Musings