Tag Archives: john rentoul

So you think Ukip are the new third party? Let’s have a look at the data…

Food for thought for John Rentoul (who calls Ukip ‘The new third party’ here), courtesy of PoliticalBetting’s Mike Smithson:

(Hat-tip: Vote Clegg, Get Clegg Facebook page.)

Posted in News | Also tagged , and | 101 Comments

Why there isn’t a British Nate Silver

A skim-read of Wednesday morning’s headlines might have left folk confused as to who had been declared the victor of the US presidential election: Barack Obama or Nate Silver.

For those who don’t know Nate Silver, he’s the analytical guru behind the FiveThirtyEight blog (named after the number of electoral college votes), now housed at the New York Times, which scrutinises and filters opinion polls. He first rose to prominence four years ago after predicting the winner in 49 of the 50 US states during the Obama-McCain presidential contest, …

Posted in Op-eds | Also tagged , and | 17 Comments

Alan Johnson – “an instinctive cutter”

Given how I’ve previously pointed out that Yes, ministers can disagree and the world doesn’t end, it would be wrong to shout “splits! splits!” at what is going on in the Labour Party over economic policy. The latest disagreements between leader Ed Miliband and Shadow Chancellor Alan Johnson do however highlight just how much work Labour has to do to work out its economic policy.

As John Rentoul has pointed out:

Johnson made clear to Rachel Sylvester and Alice Thomson that he did not share his leader’s enthusiasm for making the 50p-in-the-pound top income-tax rate permanent: “I am only

Posted in News | Also tagged , and | 9 Comments

Does Tony Blair support the Coalition (and would it matter to Lib Dems if he does)?

This was a story which entirely passed me by, but throws up a couple of intriguing questions. I tip my hat to the Independent’s John Rentoul for highlighting Tony Blair’s address to the Institute for Government entitled, How to Be Prime Minister, held at the end of June. In it Mr Blair commented,

The British people have again elected a centrist government, and that’s what they decided to do in that extraordinary way they do, they decide they will put in the Conservatives and put the Lib Dems alongside them.

As Mr Rentoul notes,

… this rather goes against the attempt

Posted in Op-eds | Also tagged | 14 Comments



Recent Comments

  • User AvatarLittle Jackie Paper 24th May - 8:30pm
    I don't want to be down on this, but you have perhaps inadvertently just shown up one of the problems with the mantra of, 'stronger...
  • User AvatarMalcolm Todd 24th May - 8:10pm
    "I think it will take a ‘wrong’ GE result for electoral reform to be a serious option again. Our equivalent of Bush vs Gove. "...
  • User AvatarPaul In Twickenham 24th May - 7:59pm
    This is an excellent proposal. The UK continues to be a world-class centre for innovation and basic research. The returns that would accrue from a...
  • User AvatarEddie Sammon 24th May - 7:17pm
    Interesting Catherine, I don't know much about the separating church from state proposals but they sound similar. Amalric, ahh now it makes sense. Thanks
  • User AvatarEddie Sammon 24th May - 7:06pm
    Richard, I think your point about civil marriages being nothing to do with religion is a good one. I don't know much about this so...
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