Tag Archives: sutton and cheam

Ashcroft’s poll of Lib Dem battleground seats: incumbency is alive and well but 2015 will be a survival election for the party

Tory peer and pollster Lord Ashcroft has published his latest set of constituency findings. He polled some of the key Lib Dem / Tory and Lib Dem / Labour battlegrounds in the summer – he’s now followed that up by looking at a further 22 seats. Of these, 2 are Lib Dem targets, 15 the party is defending against the Tories, and 5 against Labour. You can see the full results here .

Here are the headline findings:

  • Of the 20 Lib Dem-held seats polled, the Lib Dems would retain just 6.
  • The Tories would gain 7 and Labour would gain 4. The other 2 would be a tie (though actually a further 5 are statistical ties within the margin of error).
  • The Lib Dems would win neither of their two targets.
  • Posted in Polls | Also tagged , , , , , , , , and | 37 Comments

    Chris Rennard writes… Marking the great Sutton and Cheam by-election victory with Sir Trevor Jones

    Just over forty years ago, the Liberal Party was on 8.5% in the polls. The chair of the London Young Liberals, Graham Tope, was the party’s candidate for the Sutton and Cheam parliamentary by-election. Few people believed that a Liberal win was possible.  We had come third in 1970, some 17,000 votes behind the Conservatives.

    Some people prominent in the national party were dismissive of the ‘community politics’ campaign that was brought to the by-election by a Liverpool Councillor called Trevor Jones.  Possibly the first ‘Focus’ leaflets outside Liverpool were produced for that by-election promoting the local Liberal campaigning led by …

    Posted in News | Also tagged , , and | 2 Comments
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    Recent Comments

    • User AvatarDavid-1 1st Nov - 2:08am
      Paul Barker will be surprised; ostensibly, at any rate.
    • User AvatarT-J 1st Nov - 12:58am
      Sorry, David, I thought I was responding to anecdotes of your experience of LibDem internal politicking with anecdotes of my experience of the Greens. Having...
    • User Avatarmalc 1st Nov - 12:01am
      The bookies now have the LibDems at odds on - 5/6 - to get less than 25 seats at the next GE - I doubt...
    • User AvatarSesenco 31st Oct - 11:55pm
      For me, the most telling observation about the Rochester & Strood byelection thus far is that Labour, if it is to form the next government,...
    • User Avatarmalc 31st Oct - 11:47pm
      The best odds on the parties to win Rochester: UKIP 1/11 Tories 10/1 Labour 80/1 Greens 500/1 Britain First 750/1 LibDems 1000/1
    • User AvatarRoland 31st Oct - 11:27pm
      @Stuart, I get your point of view and broadly agree with your assessment of the news worthiness of a public figure's sexuality. However with respect...