Tag Archives: sutton and cheam

Ashcroft’s poll of Lib Dem battleground seats: incumbency is alive and well but 2015 will be a survival election for the party

Tory peer and pollster Lord Ashcroft has published his latest set of constituency findings. He polled some of the key Lib Dem / Tory and Lib Dem / Labour battlegrounds in the summer – he’s now followed that up by looking at a further 22 seats. Of these, 2 are Lib Dem targets, 15 the party is defending against the Tories, and 5 against Labour. You can see the full results here .

Here are the headline findings:

  • Of the 20 Lib Dem-held seats polled, the Lib Dems would retain just 6.
  • The Tories would gain 7 and Labour would gain 4. The other 2 would be a tie (though actually a further 5 are statistical ties within the margin of error).
  • The Lib Dems would win neither of their two targets.
  • Posted in Polls | Also tagged , , , , , , , , and | 37 Comments

    Chris Rennard writes… Marking the great Sutton and Cheam by-election victory with Sir Trevor Jones

    Just over forty years ago, the Liberal Party was on 8.5% in the polls. The chair of the London Young Liberals, Graham Tope, was the party’s candidate for the Sutton and Cheam parliamentary by-election. Few people believed that a Liberal win was possible.  We had come third in 1970, some 17,000 votes behind the Conservatives.

    Some people prominent in the national party were dismissive of the ‘community politics’ campaign that was brought to the by-election by a Liverpool Councillor called Trevor Jones.  Possibly the first ‘Focus’ leaflets outside Liverpool were produced for that by-election promoting the local Liberal campaigning led by …

    Posted in News | Also tagged , , and | 2 Comments
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    • User AvatarMalcolm Todd 3rd Aug - 1:58pm
      Bill le Breton For those of us not on Twitter, what did Jonathan Calder tweet?
    • User AvatarMalcolm Todd 3rd Aug - 1:54pm
      Steve Excellent comment and very useful link. I'd take issue only (partly) with your last sentence: I don't think there's anything wrong with being an...
    • User Avatarpaul barker 3rd Aug - 1:49pm
      Can we get back to the theme of the article. Labour are split with 90% of the MPs on one side & 80% of the...
    • User AvatarBill le Breton 3rd Aug - 1:46pm
      What Jonathan Calder tweeted, but without the question mark ... or the wink.
    • User AvatarMalcolm Todd 3rd Aug - 1:46pm
      Psi I absolutely agree with your comments about the need to look beyond the gates of Calais. However, I fear that for many people (I...
    • User AvatarSteve 3rd Aug - 1:41pm
      @TCO Here's a good article on the subject: http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2015/07/29/calais-migrant-crisis-why-happening-cause_n_7896038.html The top reasons would seem to be language and family/contacts in the UK - those are...