Tag Archives: sutton and cheam

Ashcroft’s poll of Lib Dem battleground seats: incumbency is alive and well but 2015 will be a survival election for the party

Tory peer and pollster Lord Ashcroft has published his latest set of constituency findings. He polled some of the key Lib Dem / Tory and Lib Dem / Labour battlegrounds in the summer – he’s now followed that up by looking at a further 22 seats. Of these, 2 are Lib Dem targets, 15 the party is defending against the Tories, and 5 against Labour. You can see the full results here .

Here are the headline findings:

  • Of the 20 Lib Dem-held seats polled, the Lib Dems would retain just 6.
  • The Tories would gain 7 and Labour would gain 4. The other 2 would be a tie (though actually a further 5 are statistical ties within the margin of error).
  • The Lib Dems would win neither of their two targets.
  • Posted in Polls | Also tagged , , , , , , , , and | 34 Comments

    Chris Rennard writes… Marking the great Sutton and Cheam by-election victory with Sir Trevor Jones

    Just over forty years ago, the Liberal Party was on 8.5% in the polls. The chair of the London Young Liberals, Graham Tope, was the party’s candidate for the Sutton and Cheam parliamentary by-election. Few people believed that a Liberal win was possible.  We had come third in 1970, some 17,000 votes behind the Conservatives.

    Some people prominent in the national party were dismissive of the ‘community politics’ campaign that was brought to the by-election by a Liverpool Councillor called Trevor Jones.  Possibly the first ‘Focus’ leaflets outside Liverpool were produced for that by-election promoting the local Liberal campaigning led by …

    Posted in News | Also tagged , , and | 2 Comments



    Recent Comments

    • User AvatarTim13 30th Sep - 11:55pm
      RC What you say about the NE economy would turn people (sorry, already has turned people) there against us, not in favour. The electoral figures...
    • User AvatarCaron Lindsay 30th Sep - 11:49pm
      You need to tell us where, Suzanne. It's a thread about Conference. How can advertising a fringe be off topic?:-) And the reason half the...
    • User Avatarsuzanne fletcher 30th Sep - 11:07pm
      all good advice. I'd emphasise that it really is ok to just start up a conversation with anyone at all. I went on my own...
    • User AvatarRebecca Hanson 30th Sep - 10:57pm
      @ David, "From a distance it now seems that the tightening of standards over the last four years has meant teachers have to be on...
    • User Avatarjedibeeftrix 30th Sep - 10:46pm
      on that subject: http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2012/10/09/article-2215070-156C345A000005DC-652_634x228.jpg "This is sure to leave many middle-earners scratching their heads, wondering how on earth the hundreds of pounds taken from them...
    • User AvatarConor McGovern 30th Sep - 10:45pm
      Well done Julian. not that Theresa May will take any notice. She's in thrall to the same interests as the rest of the British political...