Tag Archives: Timothy Hallam Smith

What do the academics say? The incumbency effect for MPs

Academics in caps and gowns - Some rights reserved by herkieWelcome to the latest in our occasional series highlighting interesting findings from academic research. Today – the incumbency benefit sitting MPs can build up, based on an analysis of the 1983-2010 general elections:

This note adapts two models commonly used to estimate the incumbency advantage that US members of Congress enjoy – the ‘slurge’ and the Gelman-King Index – to provide comparable estimates for UK MPs. The results show that

Posted in What do the academics say? | 4 Comments

Recent Comments

  • User AvatarPhilip Rolle 26th Oct - 12:34am
    You need someone experienced - perhaps one of those who were unseated in 2015. Ed Davey? Jo Swinson?
  • User AvatarMichael BG 26th Oct - 12:26am
    On my first reading of the RSA scheme, they have kept disability benefits out of it and suggested a way to ensure that the poorest...
  • User AvatarJoebourke 25th Oct - 11:21pm
    Excellent article Helen around an increasingly important issue. This policy needs to be dovetailed with a long overdue reform of the tax and national insurance...
  • User AvatarConor McGovern 25th Oct - 11:19pm
    We should at least be exploring this as radical Liberals.
  • User AvatarLorenzo Cherin 25th Oct - 11:17pm
    This is an election the prospects for which , by our party should not be talked up. Goldsmith is going to stand unopposed and win...
  • User AvatarConor McGovern 25th Oct - 11:16pm
    We're the progressive voice predominantly in the south just as Labour's the voice predominantly in the north. We need to be consistent, liberal, democratic and...