Tag Archives: Timothy Hallam Smith

What do the academics say? The incumbency effect for MPs

Academics in caps and gowns - Some rights reserved by herkieWelcome to the latest in our occasional series highlighting interesting findings from academic research. Today – the incumbency benefit sitting MPs can build up, based on an analysis of the 1983-2010 general elections:

This note adapts two models commonly used to estimate the incumbency advantage that US members of Congress enjoy – the ‘slurge’ and the Gelman-King Index – to provide comparable estimates for UK MPs. The results show that

Posted in What do the academics say? | 4 Comments



Recent Comments

  • User AvatarNick Perry 20th Oct - 9:59pm
    John Tilley. David Rogers' winning ways are not in doubt. I am just not sure of the value of making the comment he made on...
  • User AvatarDavid-1 20th Oct - 9:56pm
    "What do you mean by ‘speaking their national language’?" No more Saxons in the UK unless they can prove fluency in Welsh.
  • User AvatarEddie Sammon 20th Oct - 9:55pm
    Lol! Stuart your comment made me chuckle. They are only ideas, continue the debate and I'll feed back tomorrow.
  • User Avatarstuart moran 20th Oct - 9:50pm
    Look, the free movement of people is enshrined in the Treaty of Rome and is a natural consequence of the development of the EU We...
  • User AvatarJames Baker 20th Oct - 9:45pm
    Great article Mick, I hope people are listening! I'm totally against handing these new City Regions and Combined authorities more powers when they are not...
  • User Avatarstuart moran 20th Oct - 9:37pm
    Eddie Sammon What do you mean by 'speaking their national language'? I think again we would see a repatriation of most Brits living in the...