Tag Archives: Timothy Hallam Smith

What do the academics say? The incumbency effect for MPs

Academics in caps and gowns - Some rights reserved by herkieWelcome to the latest in our occasional series highlighting interesting findings from academic research. Today – the incumbency benefit sitting MPs can build up, based on an analysis of the 1983-2010 general elections:

This note adapts two models commonly used to estimate the incumbency advantage that US members of Congress enjoy – the ‘slurge’ and the Gelman-King Index – to provide comparable estimates for UK MPs. The results show that

Posted in What do the academics say? | 4 Comments
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  • User Avatarexpats 7th Dec - 2:19pm
    ethicsgradient 7th Dec '16 - 1:58pm.....the key thing that has been missing for a while is some form of aspirational vision........Thatcher (love or hate her)...
  • User Avatarethicsgradient 7th Dec - 1:58pm
    the key thing that has been missing for a while is some form of aspirational vision. Thatcher (love or hate her) gave aspiration in feeling...
  • User AvatarLorenzo Cherin 7th Dec - 1:48pm
    Matt I am at the ukip wing edge of our party , I say , as a self parody , on the EU , as...
  • User AvatarLorenzo Cherin 7th Dec - 1:37pm
    A lot of sense on this thread. We must see some of the Greens as allies sometimes, but only then put aside differences. Caroline Lucas...
  • User AvatarPhil Wainewright 7th Dec - 1:35pm
    I'm a firm believer we should have something that stands out as an economic policy, and which speaks to the "left behind". It would reinforce...
  • User Avatartheakes 7th Dec - 1:21pm
    Greens should have a golden opportunity of a Gain tomorrow at Lancaster University Ward, 2015 only 50/100 behind Labour, with us nowhere. On present trends...