Tag Archives: Timothy Hallam Smith

What do the academics say? The incumbency effect for MPs

Academics in caps and gowns - Some rights reserved by herkieWelcome to the latest in our occasional series highlighting interesting findings from academic research. Today – the incumbency benefit sitting MPs can build up, based on an analysis of the 1983-2010 general elections:

This note adapts two models commonly used to estimate the incumbency advantage that US members of Congress enjoy – the ‘slurge’ and the Gelman-King Index – to provide comparable estimates for UK MPs. The results show that

Posted in What do the academics say? | 4 Comments



Recent Comments

  • User AvatarManfarang 17th Apr - 4:59am
    Better a proper separation of Church and state. The disestablishment of the Church of England is long overdue. We don't need bishops in the House...
  • User AvatarPaul Reynolds 17th Apr - 3:50am
    Helen. Please re-read my comments carefully and you will observe that I do not make the sweeping conclusions you allege. Nowhere do I imply that...
  • User AvatarAmalric 17th Apr - 1:21am
    It is a good thing that unemployment has fallen to 6.9% and this means 2.24 million people are out of work looking for employment. However...
  • User AvatarAmalric 17th Apr - 12:50am
    I agree with those who say that the Student Premium has not been explained very well. However to those who say we can’t afford to...
  • User AvatarPaul Pettinger 16th Apr - 11:47pm
    'He who passively accepts evil is as much involved in it as he who helps to perpetrate it. He who accepts evil without protesting against...
  • User AvatarFred 16th Apr - 11:22pm
    Gojam, isn't it also clear that Jack McCann and the Labour Party were also aware of Smith activities. The RAP article suggests McCann got Smith...