Tag Archives: Timothy Hallam Smith

What do the academics say? The incumbency effect for MPs

Academics in caps and gowns - Some rights reserved by herkieWelcome to the latest in our occasional series highlighting interesting findings from academic research. Today – the incumbency benefit sitting MPs can build up, based on an analysis of the 1983-2010 general elections:

This note adapts two models commonly used to estimate the incumbency advantage that US members of Congress enjoy – the ‘slurge’ and the Gelman-King Index – to provide comparable estimates for UK MPs. The results show that

Posted in What do the academics say? | 4 Comments



Recent Comments

  • User AvatarTony Greaves 24th Oct - 11:07pm
    D's latest book is called The Prostitute State - How Britain's Democracy Has Been Bought. It is self-published but you can find it with a...
  • User AvatarTony Greaves 24th Oct - 10:57pm
    Well as it happens I have not got a "lovely velvet robe". As for "access to the petty cash tin" I don't know what this...
  • User AvatarIgor Sagdejev 24th Oct - 10:01pm
    IS should be fought as hard as we can. That's pure evil. But Caron is right that we should not dismantle our own liberties in...
  • User AvatarCaron Lindsay 24th Oct - 9:56pm
    I'm glad that helped.
  • User AvatarGraham Evans 24th Oct - 9:44pm
    And I should add that the reluctance of the electorate to support parties which propose large tax rises is one of the attractions for politicians...
  • User AvatarEddie Sammon 24th Oct - 9:42pm
    Caron, your post has calmed me down. I was sitting here furious. Maybe I just needed someone to emphasize. Thanks. I agree we shouldn't sacrifice...