Tag Archives: Timothy Hallam Smith

What do the academics say? The incumbency effect for MPs

Academics in caps and gowns - Some rights reserved by herkieWelcome to the latest in our occasional series highlighting interesting findings from academic research. Today – the incumbency benefit sitting MPs can build up, based on an analysis of the 1983-2010 general elections:

This note adapts two models commonly used to estimate the incumbency advantage that US members of Congress enjoy – the ‘slurge’ and the Gelman-King Index – to provide comparable estimates for UK MPs. The results show that

Posted in What do the academics say? | 4 Comments



Recent Comments

  • User AvatarDavid-1 2nd Aug - 4:25am
    For what it is worth (and I'm afraid it's worth very little) I support Caron — and I strongly support bettering the quality of political...
  • User AvatarT-J 2nd Aug - 4:25am
    @Richard Dean The politician's trick of using a non-apology apology (its never usually a real apology if the word 'sorry' is immediately followed by the...
  • User AvatarAlex Dingwall 2nd Aug - 1:49am
    From the Scottish Government: Question: Will universal postal services be maintained in an independent Scotland? Answer: Yes. This Scottish Government recognises the importance of postal...
  • User AvatarRichard Dean 2nd Aug - 1:44am
    @Mark Did you notice that your three-word sentence can have several meanings? Maybe if you do, you might start to understand how awful the piece...
  • User AvatarMark Valladares 2nd Aug - 1:21am
    Richard, I think not.
  • User AvatarRob Parsons 2nd Aug - 12:50am
    Mark, part of the problem is that there is so little big print to read. As GF notes it took stern action to get even...