Tag Archives: Timothy Hallam Smith

What do the academics say? The incumbency effect for MPs

Academics in caps and gowns - Some rights reserved by herkieWelcome to the latest in our occasional series highlighting interesting findings from academic research. Today – the incumbency benefit sitting MPs can build up, based on an analysis of the 1983-2010 general elections:

This note adapts two models commonly used to estimate the incumbency advantage that US members of Congress enjoy – the ‘slurge’ and the Gelman-King Index – to provide comparable estimates for UK MPs. The results show that

Posted in What do the academics say? | 4 Comments
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  • User AvatarSunder Katwala 23rd Nov - 8:24am
    Thanks Stephen for this post setting out the challenge put to LibDems in the British Future report. A Social Liberal and Paul Barker look at...
  • User AvatarStephen Hesketh 23rd Nov - 8:08am
    I have just read this entire thread and must say I am now much better informed on this topic than before. I must also say...
  • User AvatarNick Barlow 23rd Nov - 8:07am
    I think the limit comes from the ERS technology which uses the drop-down menus for voting. I've found voting in preferential ballots online a lot...
  • User Avatarmatt 23rd Nov - 8:02am
    And whatever you say about Miliband, at least he is leading his party from the front. He has not been afraid to talk about the...
  • User AvatarPhilip Young 23rd Nov - 7:52am
    On the day of the election, the papers had headlines regarding the interview that Lord Razzel gave admitting he had been approached by those willing...
  • User AvatarMatthew Huntbach 23rd Nov - 7:51am
    stuart moran Can I ask him what you actually do to make the world a better place with your ‘entrepreneurship’ – have you invented something...