Tag Archives: Timothy Hallam Smith

What do the academics say? The incumbency effect for MPs

Academics in caps and gowns - Some rights reserved by herkieWelcome to the latest in our occasional series highlighting interesting findings from academic research. Today – the incumbency benefit sitting MPs can build up, based on an analysis of the 1983-2010 general elections:

This note adapts two models commonly used to estimate the incumbency advantage that US members of Congress enjoy – the ‘slurge’ and the Gelman-King Index – to provide comparable estimates for UK MPs. The results show that

Posted in What do the academics say? | 4 Comments
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  • User AvatarWildColonialBoy 1st Apr - 10:09pm
    I don't see how the government can be "way ahead" of Labour on zero-hour contracts when they have increased 15-fold in the life of this...
  • User AvatarPhilip Thomas 1st Apr - 10:04pm
    Matthew. But we're paying the equivalent of direct state funding for universities at the moment, right? That is why students pay nothing up front. So...
  • User AvatarPhyllis 1st Apr - 9:58pm
    ATF the difficulty in what you suggest is that many voters remember the last time Clegg 'spoke to the voters' in a television debate and...
  • User AvatarMatthew Huntbach 1st Apr - 9:56pm
    Phyllis Matthew H, I’m simply trying to understand the logic of alienating lots of voters by breaking a pledge that encouraged them to vote for...
  • User AvatarMichael BG 1st Apr - 9:48pm
    As I rarely agree with you Caron I just had to post. Well said Caron. However neither BBC nor Channel Four News stated that it...
  • User AvatarCaron Lindsay 1st Apr - 9:40pm
    I agree with Hywel. Neil is one of the most level headed, good hearted, responsible people you could ever wish to meet. I trust his...
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