Tag Archives: Timothy Hallam Smith

What do the academics say? The incumbency effect for MPs

Academics in caps and gowns - Some rights reserved by herkieWelcome to the latest in our occasional series highlighting interesting findings from academic research. Today – the incumbency benefit sitting MPs can build up, based on an analysis of the 1983-2010 general elections:

This note adapts two models commonly used to estimate the incumbency advantage that US members of Congress enjoy – the ‘slurge’ and the Gelman-King Index – to provide comparable estimates for UK MPs. The results show that

Posted in What do the academics say? | 4 Comments
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  • User AvatarCiaran McGonagle 26th Jul - 1:03pm
    Thank you all for your comments, particularly the nice ones! Just to respond to a couple: @Paul Murray - I found it very interesting to...
  • User Avatarmalc 26th Jul - 12:47pm
    An excellent speech and I hope Hilary Clinton gets elected. I think she would make a very good president and it would be great to...
  • User AvatarRichard Cooper 26th Jul - 12:47pm
    "The organisation will operate as a purely internet based democracy on a one person one vote basis". So what is there to prevent it being...
  • User AvatarJamesG 26th Jul - 12:45pm
    Alex Thomas "Are you suggesting the result can be ignored ". No I am stating the FACT that nothing has happened YET and is not...
  • User AvatarDav 26th Jul - 12:34pm
    Um. This idea that 'turning the clock back' is a bad thing… Surely, if you think that we have spent the last thirty, or however...
  • User AvatarGlenn 26th Jul - 12:30pm
    The other point you could make about this article and the notion of cultural loss is that if the central premise is that Brexiteers are...
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