Tag Archives: Timothy Hallam Smith

What do the academics say? The incumbency effect for MPs

Academics in caps and gowns - Some rights reserved by herkieWelcome to the latest in our occasional series highlighting interesting findings from academic research. Today – the incumbency benefit sitting MPs can build up, based on an analysis of the 1983-2010 general elections:

This note adapts two models commonly used to estimate the incumbency advantage that US members of Congress enjoy – the ‘slurge’ and the Gelman-King Index – to provide comparable estimates for UK MPs. The results show that

Posted in What do the academics say? | 4 Comments
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  • User AvatarAlistair 30th Aug - 1:39am
    The last time I saw a woman getting hassled on a train it was by a rail employee - Southern Rail. Happy to report I...
  • User AvatarMBoy 30th Aug - 12:43am
    @Malcolm, are you equating having your bum/groin squeezed with having your nose broken? I've had both, and let me tell you there is no comparison.
  • User AvatarDavid Raw 30th Aug - 12:30am
    It's pretty obvious that most folk on here are pretty brassed off with Clegg's Lavender List (see Harold Wilson 1976) which has a dash of...
  • User AvatarMalcolm Todd 30th Aug - 12:24am
    "if trains are safe for women they will also be safe for men" Indeed. Sadly the reverse is not necessarily true. That's why this is...
  • User AvatarMalcolm Todd 30th Aug - 12:11am
    "More men are assaulted on trains than women." Are you sure about that, MBoy? Assaults on men are, I would guess, overwhelmingly openly violent assaults...
  • User AvatarChris_sh 30th Aug - 12:03am
    @Mike Drew "whenever we are challenged on gender balance and BME representation that we support STV for all elections which will produce automatically better balance."...