Tag Archives: Timothy Hallam Smith

What do the academics say? The incumbency effect for MPs

Academics in caps and gowns - Some rights reserved by herkieWelcome to the latest in our occasional series highlighting interesting findings from academic research. Today – the incumbency benefit sitting MPs can build up, based on an analysis of the 1983-2010 general elections:

This note adapts two models commonly used to estimate the incumbency advantage that US members of Congress enjoy – the ‘slurge’ and the Gelman-King Index – to provide comparable estimates for UK MPs. The results show that

Posted in What do the academics say? | 4 Comments

Recent Comments

  • User AvatarRichard Underhill 13th Oct - 2:26pm
    UKIP have lost control of their only council, in Thanet, Kent, by defection to Independents. They aimed to be boring, but failed.
  • User AvatarGeoffrey Payne 13th Oct - 1:50pm
    This is the right choice. It is often said of party leaders that they surround themselves with yes men. Well that cannot be said here....
  • User AvatarHenry Fisher 13th Oct - 1:43pm
    Good to read your POV Psi, sounds like we're largely on the same page. As ever, the devil is in the detail with these things...
  • User AvatarFlorence Wright 13th Oct - 1:28pm
    Geraldine has impeccable spelling - her enthusiastic daughter (me) who did the tweet for her has awful spelling. Mum provides fantastic council and counselling.
  • User AvatarPsi 13th Oct - 1:25pm
    A social liberal “2) Do we supply drugs which have the potential to turn the client into maniacs – angel dust, crystal meth and crack...
  • User AvatarDavid Wallace 13th Oct - 1:22pm
    @ChrisB Seen it all before, the lib dems are rallying their base. Then they'll be giving a more skeptical group a different messaging saying that...
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