Tag Archives: Timothy Hallam Smith

What do the academics say? The incumbency effect for MPs

Academics in caps and gowns - Some rights reserved by herkieWelcome to the latest in our occasional series highlighting interesting findings from academic research. Today – the incumbency benefit sitting MPs can build up, based on an analysis of the 1983-2010 general elections:

This note adapts two models commonly used to estimate the incumbency advantage that US members of Congress enjoy – the ‘slurge’ and the Gelman-King Index – to provide comparable estimates for UK MPs. The results show that

Posted in What do the academics say? | 4 Comments



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    Fingers crossed for the council seat then but I wouldn't have wasted the deposit money on the Westminster seat. I am a former Essex resident,...
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    Rabi Martins Apology for typos -- I hope you can read through them. I really think there is a window of opportunity. The chance is...
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    Rabi Martins Taking your points -- 1. Why? - because there is an opportunity to capitalise on the situation as it is. The party is...
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