Tag Archives: Timothy Hallam Smith

What do the academics say? The incumbency effect for MPs

Academics in caps and gowns - Some rights reserved by herkieWelcome to the latest in our occasional series highlighting interesting findings from academic research. Today – the incumbency benefit sitting MPs can build up, based on an analysis of the 1983-2010 general elections:

This note adapts two models commonly used to estimate the incumbency advantage that US members of Congress enjoy – the ‘slurge’ and the Gelman-King Index – to provide comparable estimates for UK MPs. The results show that

Posted in What do the academics say? | 4 Comments



Recent Comments

  • User AvatarRichard Dean 2nd Sep - 12:36pm
    “Don’t think. Don’t bother with the details. You don’t have time to research the arguments; you are too busy, and there’s not enough time, and...
  • User AvatarMatthew Huntbach 2nd Sep - 12:35pm
    simon It will be a disaster. Miliband and his front bench are utterly incompetent. He makes Hollande look like a genius. UKIP will then be...
  • User AvatarKeith House 2nd Sep - 12:29pm
    The issue is as much about airport capacity as about the number of runways we have but the issues are, of course, interlinked. Here in...
  • User AvatarTim13 2nd Sep - 12:24pm
    The worst thing about the Chancel Tax's anachronistic survival is that there are very few cases where it can be enforced as a tax, but...
  • User AvatarMatthew Huntbach 2nd Sep - 12:07pm
    One of those old-school Liberals with whom I agreed on most things, except, of course, those few things where we strongly disagreed. I wish we...
  • User AvatarMatthew Huntbach 2nd Sep - 11:52am
    Michael Hall Chancel repair liability is an odd survival of the medieval system of tithes (one tenth of the arable crops of certain ‘tithe fields’...