Tag Archives: Timothy Hallam Smith

What do the academics say? The incumbency effect for MPs

Academics in caps and gowns - Some rights reserved by herkieWelcome to the latest in our occasional series highlighting interesting findings from academic research. Today – the incumbency benefit sitting MPs can build up, based on an analysis of the 1983-2010 general elections:

This note adapts two models commonly used to estimate the incumbency advantage that US members of Congress enjoy – the ‘slurge’ and the Gelman-King Index – to provide comparable estimates for UK MPs. The results show that

Posted in What do the academics say? | 4 Comments
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  • User AvatarGeoffrey Payne 22nd Jan - 7:51am
    I think we should decide what we support as Liberals and lets others worry if they agree with us. This is precisely the march that...
  • User AvatarCatherine Jane Crosland 22nd Jan - 7:44am
    Congratulations and best of luck to Zulfiquar Ali in Stoke on Trent Central, and also to Rebecca Hanson in Copeland :) We are very lucky...
  • User AvatarMatthew Huntbach 22nd Jan - 7:25am
    Peter Watson If it is because these professions are already more accessible to those from less privileged backgrounds, then perhaps there are valuable lessons to...
  • User AvatarRebecca Hanson 22nd Jan - 6:31am
    Thanks Katharine. We're running at full throttle here - I've been on the go for 18-20 hours most days. I got some great training from...
  • User AvatarGlenn 22nd Jan - 4:38am
    P.s, My apologies I retract the Hyperthermia/medical example as it was based on an out of date book and more recent findings suggest that a...
  • User AvatarLorenzo Cherin 22nd Jan - 2:42am
    Catherine What a lovely thing to say , thank you . I really do feel that when I read views like yours on say nuclear...