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Tag Archives: turnout
Will polling stations start being moved to raise turnout at elections?
I’ve blogged a few times before about the way that increasing the number of polling stations, or locating them better, can increase turnout, by reducing the average travel time for (non-postal) voters to get to their polling place.
However, whilst things that involve technology and electricity (text voting, internet voting et al.) tend to grab the headlines and get demands for action (usually from people who haven’t noticed the previous British trials which showed their failure to have a significant impact on turnout), the rather more prosaic act of wondering about which school halls to use and where to locate …
Performance standards for Returning Officers consultation opens
The Electoral Commission is currently consulting on its performance standards for Returning Officers in Great Britain. Here’s my response (with the full consultation document embedded below).
Dear Ross Clayton,
Thank you for the opportunity to comment on the draft Returning Officer performance standards.
As you rightly identify (p.6), one of the key principles for each election should be participation: “it should be straightforward for people to participate in our elections, whether campaigning or voting”.
However, the campaigning aspect of this is only partially followed up in the standards themselves. Performance Standard 2c covers some aspects of this, and the inclusion of informal nomination …
What do the academics say? More polling stations can raise turnout
Welcome to the latest in our occasional series highlighting interesting findings from academic research.
Earlier this year I wrote about the merits of experimenting with increasing the number of polling stations:
This is a greatly under-researched area, and has not ever been tested directly in Britain. However, aside from the common-sense thought that shorter travel distance to polling stations may increase likelihood to vote, there is also some practical evidence from an analysis of voters in Brent over 20 years: “we conclude that the local geography of the polling station can have a significant impact on voter turnout and that there should be
…
A reason to be sceptical of what the public tells opinion pollsters
Much can be learnt from opinion polls, but a reminder of why not all results should be taken at face value is this:
If there were local council elections in your area on May 5th, how likely would you be to vote in them, where 0 means you will definitely not vote, and 10 means you definitely will vote?
10 – will definitely vote: 52%
This poll is not unusual in showing more people saying they will certainly vote than seems credible – and polls before previous elections (i.e. where we know the actual subsequent turnout) have often shown the number of …
The two electoral tests the Coalition should run
During 2011, the political reform agenda is likely to be dominated by a spring referendum on the alternative vote and by the government fleshing out its promise to bring in elections by proportional representation for an elected Upper House. Significant though the impact of both the alternative vote and Upper House elections may be, there are two much smaller ideas the government should look to pilot during the year because a healthy democracy also requires healthy turnouts; 2011 should see weekend voting and increasing the number of polling stations tested out.
Raising turnout in public elections is a widely …
What do the academics say? Influencing people to vote
During the 2005-10 Parliament I blogged several times pointing out how the trends in turnout in British elections were more positive than many of the media reports suggested. One reason for this was simply an interest in the gap between the widely accepted clichés in political and media circles about turnout and the reality. The other was that the gap is not simply of academic interest, as misplaced stories of turnout can in turn alter turnout.
Whether it is because of a herd effect (you know that other people are voting, so you copy them) or social pressure (you know that other people …
The class dimension to turnout
It’s been a long established pattern of British politics that the higher you go up the social scale, the higher turnout is in elections. The 2010 general election is no exception but looking through the numbers one class dimension comes out. Overall turnout collapsed after 1997 and has since had a modest recovery, but the pattern of that recovery across the classes is far from even.
Amongst DEs, turnout in 2010 was 57%, still 9 points down on the 66% turnout in 1997. It was a similar picture amongst C2s (58%, still 11 points down) and C1s (66%, still 9 points …
Scope calls for online voting to assist disabled voters
The BBC reports:
Online voting should be introduced to assist disabled voters after access to polling stations failed to improve for this year’s election, a charity said.
A Scope survey suggested more than two thirds of the general election polling stations failed basic access tests.
Ms Scott [of Scope] said the country’s voting system “isn’t working for other voters either,” demonstrated by “scores of people queuing outside polling stations” at the recent general election.
“Over the last decade there has been next to no improvement in the overall accessibility of polling stations or postal voting,” she said.
“There is a pressing need for clearer
…
An electoral problem
The following data is from MORI’s aggregate polling 6 April – 6 May and shows how levels of Liberal Democrat support and turnout varied across different age groups:
This problem isn’t new to the 2010 general election, though the pattern was less neat in 2005. It does raise an interesting question for the party’s get out the vote efforts though, both in terms of technology and targeting.
Some places have made very successful use of technology such as text messaging to …
Public interest up, turnout down
One of the great strengths of the polling firm MORI is that they have consistently asked the same questions over decades, making comparisons across elections, decades and even generations possible.* One of these comparisons over time that has caught my eye is the level of public interest in elections:
Thinking back to the campaign, how interested would you say you were in news about the General Election?
1992: 52% very or fairly interested
2010: 75% very or fairly interested
That is a big increase in the level of declared public interest in election news. Turnout, however, was 78% in 1992, falling to 65% …
Does the location of polling stations change how people vote?
Daniel Finkelstein poses the question, based on the finding of an academic survey:
The fact that polling stations are generally located in schools and other public buildings influences how people vote [in the US]. It makes proposals to protect school funding more potent.
More in his post over on The Times.
Good news on turnout and engagement
Two pieces of cheery news.
First, from the latest Sunday Times/YouGov poll:
I am so disillusioned with politics that I am seriously thinking of not voting at all in the coming general election:
Agree 15%
Disagree 73%
All things considered, 15% is a pretty low figure.
Second, from a survey of 18-25 year olds:
A survey of 18-25 year-olds, commissioned by new media age and conducted by Lightspeed Research, found 46% of those aged between 18 and 21 believe increased political activity online has stimulated their interest in the election, with the figure at 41% for 22-25 year-olds…
Latest turnout news: bring on the curate’s egg
A rather mixed tale from the latest election turnout figures I’ve been looking at. Given how I’ve previously blogged about how figures showing turnout on the up usually get overlooked or misquoted by the media, it is only fair to present the less good evidence too.
First, Glasgow North East. Widely reported as having the lowest turnout ever in a Scottish by-election, the 33% turnout figure is certainly not good. The fall on the last general election, at 11%, puts it in the mid-range of Scottish by-elections this Parliament though, with the other changes having been -4, -6, -12 and -20. …
Electoral fact of the day: turnout and age
“Nearly three-quarters (74%) of people aged 65 or over said that they had voted in the European Parliamentary elections, compared with only 13% of those aged 18 to 24.”
(From the Electoral Commission’s report in to the June 2009 elections, p.26.)
Weekend voting: will this be the next trend in trying to raise turnout at elections?
Cross-posted from The Wardman Wire:
Over the last few years a wide range of attempts have been made to raise turnout at elections in the UK. The broad conclusion is very simple: all-postal ballots raise turnout significantly (albeit at the cost of various drawbacks) and nothing else that has been tried does so. E-voting, early voting, voting by text, and many others: all been tried, all flopped.
However, there are signs that moving to voting at the weekend may be coming back on the electoral administration agenda.
It is easy to see why weekend voting may appeal. Fewer people work at the weekend which could mean people are more likely to have time to go and vote, plus in turn candidates are more likely to be able to get volunteers out campaigning on polling day reminding people to vote.
The main drawbacks are also fairly straight-forward.

