Author Archives: Robert Ford and Matthew Goodwin

Robert Ford and Matthew Goodwin

The Independent View: What are the most ‘Ukip-friendly’ Liberal Democrat seats?

By Robert Ford and Matthew Goodwin | Fri 5th September 2014 - 8:00 am

revolt on the right ukipIn our recent book, Revolt on the Right, we compiled a list of the most demographically receptive seats in the country for Ukip. This allowed us to rank all seats in the country according to how favourable their populations are for Ukip, using the most recent census data.

The ideal seats for Ukip share key characteristics: they have lots of ‘left behind’ voters who we also know from our research are the most receptive to Ukip and its policies. These ideal seats also have very low numbers of voters who have, instead, tended to remain resistant to Ukip, including university graduates, ethnic minorities and people in professional and economically secure occupations. This is a useful first exercise in filtering through all seats to find those where -if Ukip stood a strong candidate and knocked on plenty of doors – they would probably find the most voters receptive to their message.

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Posted in The Independent View | Tagged , and | 42 Comments
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Recent Comments

  • Jana
    Very encouraging - let’s hope this is the first signs of an emerging trend...
  • Mick Taylor
    @TristanWard. I have never been Mike my entire life. Please don’t take it upon yourself to unilaterally change my name...
  • David Le Grice
    Oddly the article leaves out the full context of the Kirklees result. This was a lib dem ward prior to the may elections which reform gained from us. So winnin...
  • David Warren
    Delighted to have contributed to the win in Almondbury by making several hundred phone calls to voters. Winning Here!...
  • Tristan Ward
    @ Mike , yes an encouraging night....