Author Archives: Tom Richards

Opinion: A rousing campaigning message from Lord Ashcroft (of all people)

Lord Ashcroft has done another enormous piece of polling, this time into the Lib Dem vote. A few of the more encouraging findings:

    • More people want a coalition including the Lib Dems (31%) than a Conservative majority (30%)
    • 30% of people could see themselves voting Lib Dem at the next general election
    • Only 1 in 5 think the Lib Dems have no real influence
    • Lib Dems outpoll the Conservatives on:
    o“Represents the whole country, not just some”(24% v 21%),
    o “Its heart is in the right place”(47% v 35%),
    o “stands for fairness”(41% v 30%)
    o “Stands for equal opportunity for all”(39% v 28%)
    o “Wants to help ordinary

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged , and | 7 Comments

Why the UKIP surge is good for Liberal Democrats

Party activists should be cheering on UKIP’s rise in the polls. Why? Because a UKIP surge would most likely end up making it easier for Liberal Democrats to win in Conservative marginals. By my reckoning, every 1% on UKIP’s popularity increases the Lib Dem majority over the Conservatives in these areas by about 90 votes. If last weekend’s polling, putting UKIP at 14%, is correct, that gives Lib Dems in Con-Lib marginals about a 1000 vote head start.

Where do these numbers come from? A recent ComRes poll found that, of people who said they were going to vote for …

Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged | 43 Comments

Opinion: We should be making the positive case for immigration

The Economist’s front page this week signals its leader on immigration – which says that the Government is getting it wrong on immigration.

The Economist is right. The Government is getting it wrong. All the evidence points towards skilled migrants having a positive impact on the economy for everyone that’s already in the country. And the evidence for unskilled workers having any negative impact on wages or jobs is at best ambiguous. As the article points out (give it a read if you haven’t), making it near on impossible for …

Posted in Op-eds | Tagged | 33 Comments
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Recent Comments

  • User AvatarPaul Barker 26th Mar - 11:01am
    I hope this is true but there are plenty of indications the other way too, The ERG seems to be shifting towards backing Mays Deal...
  • User AvatarDenis Loretto 26th Mar - 10:37am
    @Peter Martin Sorry, it might be possible to allege that the people manning street stalls and the like are members of some privileged elite but...
  • User AvatarRoland 26th Mar - 10:34am
    @Bill - Yes, I do hope the Commons can reach a verdict, which includes the possibility of May's deal (although I would prefer something else)....
  • User AvatarJoseph Bourke 26th Mar - 10:28am
    Layla makes a cogent argument when she says "It is a fallacy to think that there is still an ongoing peace process" and that "the...
  • User AvatarRoland 26th Mar - 10:14am
    Yet another article that by its omission says that LibDem policy is to promote continued dependency on imported workers rather than investing in those already...
  • User AvatarRichard Underhill 26th Mar - 9:58am
    Top psephologist John Curtice has been saying that people are likely to vote the same way in another referendum as they did in 2016. He...