Author Archives: Tom Richards

Opinion: A rousing campaigning message from Lord Ashcroft (of all people)

By Tom Richards | Sat 9th March 2013 - 8:45 am

Lord Ashcroft has done another enormous piece of polling, this time into the Lib Dem vote. A few of the more encouraging findings:

    • More people want a coalition including the Lib Dems (31%) than a Conservative majority (30%)
    • 30% of people could see themselves voting Lib Dem at the next general election
    • Only 1 in 5 think the Lib Dems have no real influence
    • Lib Dems outpoll the Conservatives on:
    o“Represents the whole country, not just some”(24% v 21%),
    o “Its heart is in the right place”(47% v 35%),
    o “stands for fairness”(41% v 30%)
    o “Stands for equal opportunity for all”(39% v 28%)
    o “Wants to help ordinary

…

Continue reading »
Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged , and | 7 Comments

Why the UKIP surge is good for Liberal Democrats

By Tom Richards | Fri 21st December 2012 - 12:51 pm

Party activists should be cheering on UKIP’s rise in the polls. Why? Because a UKIP surge would most likely end up making it easier for Liberal Democrats to win in Conservative marginals. By my reckoning, every 1% on UKIP’s popularity increases the Lib Dem majority over the Conservatives in these areas by about 90 votes. If last weekend’s polling, putting UKIP at 14%, is correct, that gives Lib Dems in Con-Lib marginals about a 1000 vote head start.

Where do these numbers come from? A recent ComRes poll found that, of people who said they were going to vote for …

Continue reading »
Posted in Op-eds and Polls | Tagged | 43 Comments

Opinion: We should be making the positive case for immigration

By Tom Richards | Sun 21st October 2012 - 3:50 pm

The Economist’s front page this week signals its leader on immigration – which says that the Government is getting it wrong on immigration.

The Economist is right. The Government is getting it wrong. All the evidence points towards skilled migrants having a positive impact on the economy for everyone that’s already in the country. And the evidence for unskilled workers having any negative impact on wages or jobs is at best ambiguous. As the article points out (give it a read if you haven’t), making it near on impossible for …

Continue reading »
Posted in Op-eds | Tagged | 33 Comments
Advert

Recent Comments

  • Alex Macfie
    AI can't even judge whether text is AI generated — even deciding something is AI because it uses proper punctuation. My em-dashes are human generated. ——�...
  • Alex Macfie
    AI is indeed massively over-hyped, as @John C and @cim have pointed out. It is a bubble and it will burst, and once the dust has settled AI (or machine learning...
  • Peter Davies
    @Peter Martin. That is a real problem for those who believe in devolution. Part of the problem is that we have a social services system where local governme...
  • Andrew Tampion
    ' “The UK raises less than 6% of tax revenue locally…” Is this a bad thing? National taxes are going to be fairer' Maybe but if too much "local" governm...
  • Peter Davies
    "Fairer and Simpler" and raising more revenue generally go together anyway. Most of the weirdest bits of the tax system result in less revenue so getting rid of...