Britain’s gas gamble: Why Jackdaw is a bad bet for our energy future

Ministers have approved a gas field that will create 27 jobs, while heat pump grants face the axe in next week’s budget. They are backing the wrong horse.

Gas is in terminal decline in British homes, and today’s decision to approve the Jackdaw gas field will not change that. Every year, more developers and families choose clean electric heating over a gas boiler. My own home is one of them: it no longer burns any gas, thanks in part to the £7,500 Boiler Upgrade Scheme.

That scheme is now under threat. With Whitehall hunting for savings to fund defence ahead of next week’s budget, heat pump grants are reportedly on the table. So in the space of a week, the government could back a new gas field and cut the support that helps families leave gas behind. That is exactly the wrong way round.

Look at what Jackdaw actually offers. Over its lifetime, it would produce around 2 months of UK gas demand, a sliver of what the country burns. Its developers say it will create just 27 full-time jobs. And it will not bring down bills. North Sea gas is sold at international prices, so British households will keep paying whatever the global market demands.

What Jackdaw does do is tell investors that gas is still a safe bet. That is the last message they should be hearing. We need every pound of capital flowing into wind, solar, nuclear and the grid connections that bring cheaper, cleaner power to all of us.

There is a better use for what is left under the North Sea: leave it there. Gas is not just a fuel. It is also the raw material for the fertiliser that grows our food, and there may be times ahead when we need it far more than we do today. Keeping our remaining reserves as a strategic store would give future generations a buffer in a crisis, instead of burning it now for a short-term return.

In the meantime, we can import cleaner gas. According to the regulator’s own figures, pipeline gas from Norway is produced with less than a third of the emissions of Britain’s North Sea output.

Gas sits at the heart of both our climate crisis and our cost-of-living crisis. Gas produces over a third of UK greenhouse gas emissions. That comes from the boilers and hobs in our homes, the power stations that make our electricity and the factories that depend on it. Gas power also sets the price of electricity most of the time, so when gas spikes, everyone’s bills follow.

And gas is spiking again. With shipping under attack around the Strait of Hormuz, UK wholesale prices are near their highest since late 2022. No wonder the pressure to open new fields is so intense. The industry keeps the profits when prices soar, safe in the knowledge that the public will pick up the bill. After Russia’s illegal invasion of Ukraine, energy support cost taxpayers £51bn in 2022-23 alone.

Here is the paradox for liberals. We should fight for everyone to have a decent income and a good life. But when jobs depend on activities that deepen the climate emergency, they can do more harm than good. As John Stuart Mill wrote, “The only purpose for which power can be rightfully exercised over any member of a civilised community, against his will, is to prevent harm to others.”

By that test, the harm is plain. Burning fossil fuels drives much of the air pollution linked to around 30,000 UK deaths a year, along with wildfires, flooding and the loss of species our ecosystems depend on. The answer is not to abandon North Sea workers. It is to make sure they are first in line for the clean energy jobs that will replace theirs.

Falling boiler sales show what good policy can achieve. Sales of new boilers fell from 1.89m in 2021 to 1.45m last year, while the market share of electric heating solutions more than doubled. But that is a small step, when the climate emergency demands a giant leap: the electrification of our homes, our roads and our wider economy.

The chancellor can take that leap in next week’s budget. Break the link between gas and electricity prices, so that cheap renewable power finally shows up on our bills. Move taxes and levies off electricity bills, so that going electric is the cheapest choice for every household. Make electricity affordable, and the switch away from gas will take care of itself.

* Mark Hofman has been a Councillor on Watford Borough Council since 2012.

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5 Comments

  • “ There is a better use for what is left under the North Sea: leave it there”

    I’m afraid this is an extremist position to take at a time when there is still demand for gas to heat our homes. I don’t agree that is is better to import gas from abroad than make use of our own gas.

    And, as an aside, I don’t buy this “ Keeping our remaining reserves as a strategic store would give future generations a buffer in a crisis” argument – climate extremists will never believe a crisis is major enough to justify burn fossil fuel.

    I welcome the Jackdaw decision and hope we will continue to use our own natural resources as long as there is a continuing demand that would otherwise be met by importing.

  • David Evans 22nd Oct '26 - 6:43pm

    It’s profoundly sad to see how easily greenwash is accepted by so many good Lib Dems when it comes to the UK extracting oil and gas from the North Sea rather than buying it from somewhere else (like good old Norway) and pretending we are not responsible for that bit of global warming, nor for us telling investors in Norway that gas is still a safe bet.

    Until we all realise that all those nice easy government sponsored solutions like Drax, carbon offsets, carbon capture etc are nothing more than scams, designed to make us feel good about ourselves, at the cost of destroying our wider economy which is the only thing that can generate the resources we need to actually do something useful about the climate crisis.

  • Well said David. There are 20 million gas boilers in the UK & not everyone has a spare few grand to change to heat pumps or have a suitable system that enables it. We are crippling manufacturing all for an illusionary goal that would be a heivex by outsourcing out emissions..Utter madness

  • “According to the regulator’s own figures, pipeline gas from Norway is produced with less than a third of the emissions of Britain’s North Sea output.”

    Why is this so – when its coming from for all practical purposes basically the same place?

  • Jason Connor 22nd Oct '26 - 10:24pm

    I couldn’t agree more with the first 3 posts. I heard a figure of 75% of households still use gas. The council stopped installing heat pumps on my estate as they would cause noise pollution. And as Chloe says we’re not all well off to afford heat pumps and neither are we all upper middle class.

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    I couldn't agree more with the first 3 posts. I heard a figure of 75% of households still use gas. The council stopped installing heat pumps on my estate as the...
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