Stephen Tall

Ming lays odds on date of next general election

By | Thu 26th July 2007 - 10:27 am

Clearly the Lib Dem leader has been putting a lot of thought into this, and has shared with BBC Online the following order of likelihood of the date of the next general election:

October 2007 – 15%
May 2008 – 35%
May 2009 – 50%

Well, as Alan Hansen would say, you’ve got to play percentages.

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6 Comments

  • Sam Payne 26th Jul '07 - 12:45pm

    I think we should be careful using language such as ‘the public tend to vote one way or another’. It is suggestive that he believes we are in a two party system. Maybe I read too much into it. But I’d be intrigued to hear the reasons behind these predictions.

  • Detail Seeker 26th Jul '07 - 2:10pm

    According to the BBC, Ming’s percentages don’t add up. He said it was “one in 6 chance for this year, 35% for next and 50% for the year after”. Correct me if I’m wrong, but doesn’t that add up to 101.67%?

  • Benjamin 26th Jul '07 - 4:35pm

    Inflation

  • David Langshaw 26th Jul '07 - 11:17pm

    If Ming is going to shout the odds, maybe he should start contributing to politicalbetting.com.

    (Or maybe he already is!)

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