Pollwatch – State of the Leaders: Clegg +15%, Brown -31%, Cameron +10% (Jan. 2010)

Yesterday, Pollwatch looked at the state of the parties in January; today it’s the turn of the party leaders. As with all polls, what follows comes with caveats. Only three polling companies – YouGov, Mori and Angus RS – regularly ask questions specifically to find out the public’s views of the three main party leaders. And each asks variants on the basic question – do you think Clegg/Brown/Cameron are doing a good job – to come up with their figures, so comparison ain’t easy. But, still, we don’t indulge in polls often, so here goes …

Here, in chronological order, are the results of the four polls published in January asking for the public to rate the three major party leaders:

    Cameron: 46.0 approve, 39.0 disapprove: net +7%
    Brown: 30.0, 61.0, -31%
    Clegg: 39.0, 28.0, +11%
    (11th Jan, Angus RS: Do you approve or disapprove of X’s performance as Y?)

    Cameron: 56.0 well, 34.0 badly, net +22%
    Brown: 32.0, 64.0, -32%
    Clegg: 47.0, 26.0, +21%
    (17th, YouGov: Do you think (name) is doing well or badly as (position)?)

    Cameron: 46.0 approve, 40.0 disapprove, net +6%
    Brown: 29.0, 63.0, -34%
    Clegg: 39.0, 29.0, +10%
    (29th, Angus RS: Do you approve or disapprove of X’s performance as Y?)

    Cameron: 43.0 satisfied, 40.0 dissatisfied, net +3%
    Brown: 33.0, 59.0, -26%
    Clegg: 42.0, 26.0, +16%
    (30th, MORI: Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way X is doing his job as Y?)

Which gives us an average net popularity – and, yes, I know how unscientific such averages are – compared with December’s as follows:

  • Nick Clegg +15% (+2%), Gordon Brown -31% (+7%), David Cameron +10% (+1%)

Nick maintains his lead, therefore, as the most popular of the three main party leaders, with an average net rating of +15%. Of the four polls, only YouGov had Nick behind David Cameron – and even then by within the margin of error. It appears c.70% of the public have formed a view of Nick, and so far they are breaking significantly in his favour.

David Cameron’s slipping ratings appear to have stopped their slide, at least for now. As recently as September 2009, his average net popularity was +20%. But the last two months have seen a plummet which must surely lead Tory campaign HQ to wonder if it really is such a good idea to centre the party’s campaign around Dave. It’s true, as Anthony Wells’ UK Polling Report blog notes, that Mr Cameron is still seen to be more likeable than his party – but not by much.

For Gordon Brown, January saw a pretty substantial increase, albeit from the lowest of bases. Whether it was public sympathy for the failed coup attempt, or some credit that the recession is finally drawing to a close, or perhaps the improved media he’s had (helped by some less dour performances at Prime Minister’s Questions) – or a combination of all those and more – he will be relieved to see his ratings improve. Indeed, he’s more popular (or less unpopular) than Tony Blair was this time two years ago, when he was polling -41%. So take comfort, comrades, it could be worse for Labour.

Read more by or more about , or .
This entry was posted in News, Op-eds and Polls.
Advert

One Comment

  • You can make would you want from these figurers.
    You see in every poll Cameron has the highest approve figure, you can also see in every one that Brown is bottom.
    In all the posts Brown is min 30% below Cameron.
    Clegg has good ratings, and is in front of Brown in every poll (which ever way you read them), so why are the Lib Dems only on 20% in the polls aginst Labours 30%?
    I think it is only because people do not think the Lib Dems can win the Election, and most go for one of the main parties.
    The only answer is PR, and I think voters could leave in droves from both Labour and the Tory party.
    Then and only then will you see the Lib Dems overtake Labour, and come very close to the top party, this would be a very good place to start from.
    So stuff Brown on his vote this week, and push him into PR or nothing.

    It was interesting would Clegg said on this yesterday.
    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/clegg-hints-tories-may-make-better-coalition-partner-1891763.html

    “”I’ve looked very carefully at my predecessors,” he told The Daily Telegraph. “Look at how Ming got led up the garden path. Look at the way Paddy was left at the altar. I’ve spoken to people. Paddy is vociferous about it. He says, ‘Just don’t go anywhere near them again. It might have made sense then, but don’t [do it].'” He added: “It was a conspiracy of Blair’s mendacity and Brown’s obduracy.”

Post a Comment

Lib Dem Voice welcomes comments from everyone but we ask you to be polite, to be on topic and to be who you say you are. You can read our comments policy in full here. Please respect it and all readers of the site.

To have your photo next to your comment please signup your email address with Gravatar.

Your email is never published. Required fields are marked *

*
*
Please complete the name of this site, Liberal Democrat ...?

Advert

Recent Comments

  • Daniel Walker
    @Peter Martin It's not really about the EU. It's about Tom making a statement (implying that the process for electing the President of the European Commissi...
  • Peter Martin
    Does anyone else think it's odd that a party which is keen on devolving power to the local level is also keen to join a supra national political entity which wa...
  • Peter Martin
    As often happens on LDV any discussion quickly, in this case from the first comment, gets on to the EU even though the OP isn't about the EU. I still think ...
  • Chris Cory
    I agree entirely with the sentiment behind this article, although it’s a bit depressing that it’s going to take the prospect of war to make government start...
  • Ruth Bright
    Such a heartening Question Time from Jake 👏...