Tag Archives: matt singh

The ‘nowcast’ for May 2015 which gives the Lib Dems 28 MPs

Over at the polling website May2015 (part of the New Statesman stable) Matt Singh has asked the straightforward question, ‘How are the Lib Dems polling and will they survive in May 2015?’ Except it isn’t all that straightforward…

First, there’s the issue that the different polling companies don’t agree on what the current Lib Dem rating actually is. In the last fortnight, the party’s been rated as low as 5% (Opinium) and as high as 11% (ICM): that’s a difference outside the margin of error you might expect.

Posted in Polls | Also tagged , , and | 79 Comments
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    Going off on a slight tangent it seems to me that the mistake that most pro EU commentators make is the implicit assumption that all...
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    I think the phrase, " if you're going there, I wouldn't start from here" is appropriate. We got off on the wrong foot. We should...
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    @nvelope2003, You obviously don't read the Guardian! We are shortly due to fall off the economic cliff according to them! https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/oct/10/brexit-cliff-edge-eu-hardline-thatcherism-uk-economy PS I wasn't being...
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  • User AvatarDavid Becket 27th May - 9:43am
    Spot on John. However there are contributors to this site who wish us ill, and they will keep prodding the termites nest. Best to ignore...