Tag Archives: matt singh

Stephen Tall

The ‘nowcast’ for May 2015 which gives the Lib Dems 28 MPs

By Stephen Tall | Tue 25th November 2014 - 4:25 pm

Over at the polling website May2015 (part of the New Statesman stable) Matt Singh has asked the straightforward question, ‘How are the Lib Dems polling and will they survive in May 2015?’ Except it isn’t all that straightforward…

First, there’s the issue that the different polling companies don’t agree on what the current Lib Dem rating actually is. In the last fortnight, the party’s been rated as low as 5% (Opinium) and as high as 11% (ICM): that’s a difference outside the margin of error you might expect.

Continue reading »
Posted in Polls | Also tagged , , and | 79 Comments
Advert

Recent Comments

  • Peter Davies
    I don't think we have the construction capacity to engineer a crash in house prices. The highest realistic target would probably only bring prices down by about...
  • Jenny Barnes
    You might remember the story of the inventor, the chessboard and the grains of rice. 1 on the 1st square, 2 on the 2nd, 4 on the 3rd and so on. Things that ca...
  • Jenny Barnes
    World fuel consumption rises by 2%pa, or doubles every 35 years. In any given 35 year period, as much energy is consumed as in the whole preceding history. Rene...
  • PM
    Tim, What would happen to the economy if the price of your Chatham house fell to £70k? There's quite likely someone living there with a mortgage of quite a ...
  • Tim
    @PM. Yes, allowing a LOT more houses to be built would reduce wealth inequality dramatically. We should aim to return to the c1997 price to income ratios - whic...