4.23 am
Horrible news: Lib Dems’ Evan Harris LOSES seat of Oxford West & Abingdon to Tories on a 6.9% swing:
Conservative 23,906 42.3% (+9.6)
Evan Harris Liberal Democrat 23,730 42.0% (-4.1)
Labour 5,999 10.6% (-5.2)
Malcolm Bruce HOLDS Gordon.
4.19 am
Lib Dems’ Paul Holmes LOSES Chesterfield.
Bob Russell HOLDS Chesterfield, 6,982 majority.
4.14 am
Fantastic result for Tom Brake in Carshalton & Wallington, with a 4.3% swing from Tory to Lib Dem:
Tom Brake Liberal Democrat 22,180 48.3 +7.9
Conservative 16,920 36.8 -0.6
Labour 4,015 8.7 -8.6
More good news (this is all relative, I realise): Danny Alexander HOLDS Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey.
4.10 am
Lib Dems’ Robert Smith HOLDS Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine.
But Lib Dems LOSE Hereford & Herefordshire South with 3.8% swing from Lib Dem to Tory:
Conservative 22,366 46.2% (+5.2)
Sarah Carr Liberal Democrat 19,885 41.1% (-2.3)
Labour 3,506 7.2% (-3.0)
Latest rumour: Susan Kramer has lost Richmond Park
4.05 am
Sad news that Dr Richard Taylor, the independent MP in Wyre Forest, has lost to the Tories:
Conservative 18,793 36.9% (+7.8)
Richard Taylor Independent Community and Health Concern 16,115 31.7% (-6.9)
Labour 7,298 14.3% (-8.2)
Neville Farmer Liberal Democrat 6,040 11.9% (+10.6)
4.02 am
Latest exit poll prediction:
Tories 303 MPs, 36% of the vote
Labour 256 MPs, 27%
Lib Dems 63 MPs, 22%
Others 28 MPs, 15%
Here’s the result in Devon Central, which the Tories have held:
Mel Stride Conservative 27,737 51.5% +7.7
Philip Hutty Liberal Democrat 18,507 34.4% -4.4
Moira Macdonald Labour 3,715 6.9% -4.7
3.59 am
Recount in Evan Harris’s Oxford West and Abingdon seat, fewer than 200 votes in it.
3.54 am
Lib Dems GAIN Redcar from Labour on a huge 21.8% swing. Is this the result of the night, at least in terms of the swing? Absolutely amazing!! Well done, Ian Swales MP:
Ian Swales Liberal Democrat 18,955 45.2% (+25.0)
Labour 13,741 32.7 (-18.6)
Conservative 5,790 13.8 (-4.1)
3.51 am
Norman Lamb HOLDS Norfolk North.
3.46 am
Lib Dems just miss out on gaining Ashfield by fewer than 200 votes: bad luck Jason Zadrozny, who secured an astonishing 17.2% swing from Labour:
Labour 16,239 33.7% (-15.0)
Jason Zadrozny Liberal Democrat 16,047 33.3% (+19.5)
Conservative 10,698 22.2% (-2.2)
Sandra Gidley LOSES Romsey and Southampton North:
Conservative 24,345 49.7% (+6.6)
Sandra Gidley Liberal Democrat 20,189 41.3% (-2.4)
Labour 3,116 6.4% (-4.6)
3.38 am
Paul Rowen LOSES Rochdale to Labour.
Michael Crockart HOLDS Edinburgh and John Thurso HOLDS Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross.
Michael Moore HOLDS Berwickshire.
Some better news:
lornaspenceley Lib Dems move from third to second place in NE Cambs.
3.35 am
Gordon Birtwistle GAINS Burnley with amazing 9.6% swing from Labour:
Gordon Birtwistle Liberal Democrat 14,932 35.7% (+12.0)
Julie Cooper Labour 13,114 31.3% (-7.1)
Richard Ali Conservative 6,950 16.6% (+5.8)
Sharon Wilkinson British National Party 3,747 9.0% (-1.3)
And Don Foster HOLDS Bath.
3.30 am
Lib Dem HOLD for Nick Harvey in Devon North:
Nick Harvey Liberal Democrat 24,305 47.4% (+0.9)
Conservative 18,484 36.0% (+0.3)
UK Independence Party 3,720 7.2% (+2.0)
3.26 am
Here’s the bad news result from Oxford East, where there’s a 4.1% swing from Lib Dem to Labour:
Labour 21,938 42.5% (+6.5)
Steve Goddard Liberal Democrat 17,357 33.6% (-1.6)
Conservative 9,727 18.8% (+1.5)
And here’s Newton Abbot, cruelly mis-reported by the BBC as a hold, but in fact a Tory GAIN, with a 5.8% swing:
Conservative 20,774 43.0% (+8.0)
Richard Younger-Ross Liberal Democrat 20,251 41.9% (-3.6)
Labour 3,387 7.0% (-4.4)
3.19 am
Lib Dems’ John Pugh has HELD Southport.
LIB DEM GAIN in Burnley – wonderful result, well done Gordon Birtwistle MP.
Roger Williams HOLDS Brecon and Radnorshire.
Reports Greg Mulholland will HOLD Leeds North West.
Lib Dems’ Jenny Willott HOLDS Cardiff Central.
Labour have held Newcastle Central.
Richard Younger Ross LOSES Newton Abbot.
3.11 am
Good news: LIB DEM HOLD in Lewes – Norman Baker returned with big majority:
Norman Baker Liberal Democrat 26,048 52.0% (+0.5)
Conservative 18,401 36.7% (+2.1)
Labour 2,508 5.0% (-4.3)
But Labour hold Aberdeen South, a Lib Dem target. And we’ve heard Labour are holding Oxford East, the party’s 4th top Labour target.
3.08 am
Huge congratulations to Amy Kitcher on achieving a massive 17% Labour to Lib Dem swing in Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney, though not enough to win on this occasion:
Labour 14,007 43.7% (-16.8)
Amy Kitcher Liberal Democrat 9,951 31.0% (+17.0)
Conservative 2,412 7.5% (-1.4)
3.03 am
Congratulations to Jeremy Browne, holding Taunton Deane with a 1.8% swing from Tory to Lib Dem:
Jeremy Browne Liberal Democrat 28,531 49.1% (+4.7)
Conservative 24,538 42.2% (+1.1)
Labour 2,967 5.1% (-7.0)
Reports that the result is tight in Oxford West & Abingdon, Evan Harris’s seat.
3.00 am
Current state of play is the Lib Dems have nine MPs, polling 20% of the vote, against 29% for Labour and 32% for the Tories.
David Cameron has, surprise surprise, been returned in Witney.
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119 Comments
Where has the vote gone…. ?
The South West is ok-ish…here’s hoping for some movement from the North…
Conservatives have taken Dover, thought Labour might of held on to that.
Darling holds on in Edinburgh South West.
Swing of 6.1% from Con to Lib Dem in Spelthorne.
Re-post from last thread:
Cameron’s misleading soundbite ‘ we have won more seats than at any time since 1920s’ – he means ‘gained’, but he’s spinning it to the ignorant. WE MUST CHALLENGE IT WHEREVER WE SEE HIM QUOTED.
Cue a FB group? If the Tories are a minority, they must not claim to have won.
I’ll be gutted if Evan Harris losses his seat.
Well, i can rest easy Lewes is a Lib dem hold
But 8.6% the other way in Surrey South West. Huge differences between nearby seats.
2.2% swing Con to Lib Dem on the Isle of Wight.
Spelthorne has ethnic minority? Tory candidate, judging from his name – so not something to be terribly proud of…
Labour Hold Oxford East that is bad for us.
Lab hold Oxford East.
Hampshire swings Lib Dem to Con: Havant: 1.8%; New Forest East: 3.2%.
Hold Brecon & Radnor and Cardiff Central
0.4% swing Lib Dem to Tory in Runnymede.
Edinburgh North Labour hold
Lab hold Edinburgh north and Leith as well.
LD Hold Newton Abbott
Richard Younger-Ross back in Newton Abbot
I really can’t believe what is happening to the libdems, hope for change is fast diminishing, 🙁 not a good day for the people of Britain at all, if anything comes from this it is a comfirmation of the need for PR we can’t go on being scammed like this…
Good result about Burnely, disapointing with Newcastle.
Eastbourne is the only Tory loss.
Now sky reporting Newton Abbot Con gain.
BBC have just said Conservatives have gained Newton Abott, confused.
4.8% swing Con to Lib Dem in Wycombe.
Con gain Newton Abbot surely (Sky)
Newton Abbot is my former home seat. I was nervous, well done R-Y-R….:-)
Fantastic result for Amy Kitcher, up 17 per cent in the seat Keir Hardie made the Labour catalyst in 1912, the valleys of Merthyr Tydfil. Amazing effort.
But more sad news…Newton Abbot now being reported as a Conservative gain.
BBC reporting Newton Abbot as a Tory gain too.
Confirmation….
Sky confirmed Newton Abbott loss.
Con gain Bedford from Lab. Another LD target missed.
Chris Huhne looks really down on Sky, reaaly disapointing night – very honest on Lembit.
BBC reporting Lib Dems gain Burnley.
Turnout in Oxford east massively up c 12,000 looking at wikipedia. Half to lab, rest split btwn us and Tories, alas.
BBC reporting Lib Dems gain Burnley. On a 9.6% swing.
Mike Hancock may now hold Pmoth south, according to the BBC…
Looks like th high turnout in many places was all extra people voting for the bloody Tories!
Ld hold Caitness
Rochdale labour hold
Sod it – Paul Rowen may have lost in Rochdale.
We’ve lost Rochdale. FFS.
Lib Dem hold Berwickshire
what? Rochdale…!!!! NOOOOO
ITV say Stephen Williams has held Bristol West
Labour looking happy in Ashfield.
Small swings in Surrey: Reigate: 0.9% Lib Dem to Con; Epsom: 2.1% Con to Lib Dem; Surrey E: 0.7% Con to Lib Dem.
Tories gain Hastings, but on a swing of only 3.3% from Lab.
Rochdale had boundaries changed and it was always going to be tough, but,yes, needed a fair-wind behind it….
North Norfolk is held tho.
Another Newcastyle hold for Labour and we’ve held our Bristol seat.
Lab hold Newcastle East.
But Tories gain Carlisle on a swing of 7.7% from Lab.
Hold Norfolk North, lose Romsey confirmation of a bad night for us.
Sandra Gidley’s just gone.
Ashfield not taken
Labour hold Ashfield
Disappointing for Paul Rowen as well. Ashfield also held by Labour. A strong swing but another disappointment.
It’s becomng clear how Nick Clegg bottled it in the last week. All the smears about defence, tax credits and immigration were left unanswered in the complacency that his success in the first TV debate could be continued by mere repetition. As a party, the campaigning that typically leaves concentrated effort until the last moment was useless when I was invited to join a push for a seat 60 miles away the day before the election! We’ve got to be more professional. If we had capitalized on the efforts of Vince Cable and the first debate the country might not face such a crisis in which I foresee a breakup of the UK as Cameron’s bid to form a government in hoc to NI, Scots Nats and Plaid Cymru backfires.
Redcar gain, did I hear on ITV?
BBC reporting Romsey (Sandra Gidley) has gone to the Tories
Peter Kellner on the BBC is reasonably sure the Tories will fall short of a majority.
We gain Redcar, just shows what a strange and disapointing night this is for us.
Redcar yessss!
LD gain
Newcastle North being missed as well…?
What a bizarre result in Redcar! Mo Mowlam’s old seat. None of the long term North East targets seem to ahve fallen (e.g. Newcastle North) yet Redcar comes totally off the radar! This election is weird!
Huge swing in Redcar. Vera not popular there?
Beyond depressing. I can’t believe what I’m watching. This is soul-destroying to so many Lib Dems who’ve been really pushing this election.
3rd full recount Ed South….
I gather Vera Baird had expenses/aggression problems, but maybe it’s just that Labour didn’t think we were a threat, and didn’t defend it well enough? They are very good at getting their vote out in the marginals, whatever you think of them policy-wise. But this wasn’t a marginal.
Conservatives hold Devon Central
I hate Jack Straw, but he is a stunning campaigner. We need to steal his book of “How To Defend Your Seat Against All Comers”.
6.1% swing from LD to Con in Devon Central.
This is a weird election. Awesome results – Ceredigion, Redcar, Burnley, intermixed with a lot of poor ones. I think we’ll have to run the show better next time.
Should one pray for Evan? (As a Humanist, I’m just hoping…..)
Devon Central was a basket case from the start…
Tories take Wyre Forest.
Great idea to stand against Richard Taylor. A hedge fund manager will be far more use in the House of Commons.
Derby South gain for Lib Dems
Wyre Forest has gone Tory. They deserve to have their f…. hospital closed!
Whats going on, I don’t see how we can be doing so bad, given the support we saw in the polls and beside, I don’t see how this election can be valid with so many not able to vote
Now Sky reporting Lab hold Redcar.
Derby South marked as big hold for Labour, contra Kevin, above.
Con gain Herefordshire South from Lib Dem
Deciding whether to go to bed or not any good news. Hold onto Aberdeen West.
Labour hold Warley – swing to the Tories a pathetic 1.9%.
Now Sky reporting Lab hold Redcar.
Hasn’t the seat been declared?
Sky must be wrong on Redcar. There are numbers backing it up! Unless the PA wires have sent the wrong info.
Wyre Forest, utter disaster. Total Lib Dem fail. What is wrong with us strategically?
“Recount in Evan Harris’s Oxford West and Abingdon seat, fewer than 200 votes in it.”
Between whom.
Sorry rubbish Sky (Derby South)
And Sky now reporting Lab hold Derby South.
LDs hold Carshalton that wa a marginal.
Sky now corrected it – it is LD gain in Redcar
Tom Brake holds Carshalton.
Sky are crap. Watch ITV
Cornish seats in real trouble according to the BBC…
BBC predict Labour will get 26 per cent of the vote…. That is surely their lowest since, what, 1918?
Poss loss in Richmond i think is it for me, but am interested in Brighton and London.
That was a swing of 4.3% from the Tories to the Lib Dems in Carshalton.
Holds in Bath, North Devon, Carshalton…Redcar won on a swing of 21 per cent, thats the biggest swing of anyone’s win all night.
“That was a swing of 4.3% from the Tories to the Lib Dems in Carshalton.”
i thought that could go, which makes these results so surprising, but also infuriating.
Some of our best women are losing – are the Tories who’ve stayed at home since 97 all misogynists?
We’ve lost Chesterfield. Could this get much worse?
Swing to Labour from the Lib Dems in Birmingham Ladywood; but a swing of 7.7% from Labour to the Tories in the neighbouring seat of West Bromwich East.
ITV reports Chesterfield loss to Labour
Danny’s result in Inverness is pretty good – I was expeting a majority of about 5,500-6,000 but it’s actually over 8,000 – but achieved with just a 0.4% increase in share of vote – Labour down 8.8%.
LDs hold Colchester well done Bob Russell.
Another loss, the near miss in Ashfield rubbed in.
Evan Harris gone.
And likewise a swing of 7.6% from Labour to the Tories in West Bromwich West
Dire. Fail. Hideous results. We will be lucky to end up with 50+ seats.
Lost Oxford west officially depressed that’s it for me.
Well we may end up with less seats then we started with but at least we can throw clegg out at the next leadership election and finally make Vince Cable leader.
Poor Evan Harris. Someone make him a Lord, stat.
we’ve been horribly squeezed out, the trend is bad.
Cable is 66 now. Anyone really want to pitch a 71-year old into the next election?
Only a 4.5% swing from Labour to the Tories in Luton South, despite the expenses scandal.
8.3% swing Lab to the Lib Dems in Stoke Central.
York outer goes Conservative
New live-blog thread now open:
https://www.libdemvoice.org/the-ldv-election-night-liveblog-430-600-pm-19361.html
Clegg’s a good leader. The Lib Dems have been squeezed pretty hard it would seem. It appears that fear has been a big factor here.
I agree with Chris Jones….
Stephen:
“4.05 am
Sad news that Dr Richard Taylor, the independent MP in Wyre Forest, has lost to the Tories:
Conservative 18,793 36.9% (+7.8)
Richard Taylor Independent Community and Health Concern 16,115 31.7% (-6.9)
Labour 7,298 14.3% (-8.2)
Neville Farmer Liberal Democrat 6,040 11.9% (+10.6)”
What is really sad is if the Lib Dems had given way for Dr Taylor again then he most likely would have got back in.
I can only hope that we have another election in the Autumn and the Lib Dems give way to save us having an investment banking tory! As well as giving us back the best MP this constituency has ever had.
Aside: No connection with Dr Taylor’s party, apart from the fact I voted for him.