Caron Lindsay

Updated: Two strong holds for Lib Dems in by-elections and a GAIN

By | Thu 29th November 2018 - 11:57 pm

While Layla was putting in a storming performance on Question Time, her Oxfordshire colleagues were finishing off polling day in Wheatley ward. We were seeking to defend the seat we won by a whisker last year. Could Tim Bearder hold on?

Well, yes. By quite a lot.

It shows how well served the people in the ward have been by our Kirsten Johnson these past 18 months.

We also had a super hold in Aylesbury for Anders Christenson.

We can definitely forgive his Mum her moment of pride:

Typically, the gain happened after I went to bed…congratulations, Dominic Skinner.

And Christina Raven didn’t win, but she made a huge leap forward in Welwyn Hatfield. The Tories will be worried now.

And thanks to Stephen Barrow for flying the flag in a much more challenging situation.

There are three more results to come…one of them was a gain – above.

There was good progress for Julie Ireland in Bromley:

And thanks to Michael Maher in Northamptonshire for flying the flag.

* Caron Lindsay is Editor of Liberal Democrat Voice and blogs at Caron's Musings. You can find her on Bluesky at caronmlindsay.bsky.social

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9 Comments

  • Alisdair McGregor 30th Nov '18 - 6:12am

    LibDem gain from “Stratford First” in Warwickshire

    Stratford North (Warwickshire) result:

    LDEM: 40.7% (+12.2)
    CON: 28.3% (+4.1)
    SFI: 16.0% (-17.1)
    LAB: 8.3% (-0.9)
    GRN: 6.7% (+1.6)

    Liberal Democrat GAIN from Stratford First (SFI).

  • Tim13 30th Nov '18 - 7:47am

    Well, I never thought I would beat Caron to the post in declaring good news! A gain in Stratford North! From a localist group (Stratford First). With a 12% or so majority over the Tories (Stratford First were relegated to 3rd place).

  • Don manley 30th Nov '18 - 10:07am

    Our rejoicing in Oxford will be tempered by the sad loss of our tireless former Oxford LibDem Councillor Jean Fooks, who only recently retired as Lord Mayor. She had only recently gone to live in Dulverton. Jean will be sadly missed.

  • nvelope2003 30th Nov '18 - 11:18am

    Some very good results but also 2 very disappointing ones. There seems to be a pattern of doing well in certain parts of England, mainly the South and doing badly in other areas, mainly the North and parts of the Midlands. Maybe the remainers are waking up.

  • Michael 1 30th Nov '18 - 1:04pm

    On the Northampton result Andrew Teale’s previews states that the independent candidate was the Lib Dem candidate last time so losing ground there was perhaps not surprising.

    http://britainelects.com/2018/11/28/previews-29-nov-2018/

    On the Welwyn Hatfield result, Britain Elects has, I think computed the change in the vote based on 2016 result but it was last fought in 2018 – so an even better comparative performance for us.

    So compared to the 2018 result – it is Con +6.8%, Lib Dem + 36.9%, Lab – 5.0%, Ind – 38.7%

    http://vote-2012.proboards.com/thread/11945/local-council-elections-29th-november?page=3

  • paul barker 30th Nov '18 - 3:28pm

    Another mistake on Britain Elects, the Failsworth result is compared with 2016 not this May. In fact the percentage is unchanged, unsurprisingly.

  • frankie 1st Dec '18 - 11:57am

    Election Maps Twitter predicted two Tory gains

    One from Stratford First and one from the Lib Dems. Neither occurred and the only gain of the night was the Lib Dem picking up the Stratford First seat. So yes we appear to be doing better than a lot of the pundits predict.

  • clive englisjh 4th Dec '18 - 11:54am

    The Northampton result is also probably still influenced by the bad reputation of the former Lib Dem administration rather than by general factors (regional or otherwise)

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