Lib Dem Voice has polled our members-only forum to discover what Lib Dem members think of various political issues, the Coalition, and the performance of key party figures. Over 550 party members responded, and we’re continuing to publish the full results.
Lib Dem members backed Libya intervention… and two-thirds are optimistic for country’s future
LDV asked: Do you think Britain, France, the US and other countries were right or wrong to take military action in Libya?
- 76% – Right
- 15% – Wrong
- 9% – Don’t know
An overwhelming majority, therefore, of Lib Dem members backed the UK’s involvement in the military action targeted against removing Colonel Gaddafi from power in Libya. This is similar to the level of support we recorded in April, shortly after the military intervention was launched, when 73% back the UK government’s action.
LDV asked: How optimistic/pessimistic are you that the outcome of the overthrow of Colonel Gaddafi in Libya will lead to peaceful and stable self-government without descent into civil war?
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4% – Very optimistic
60% – Optimistic
Total optimistic – 64%
25% – Pessimistic
5% – Very pessimistic
Total pessimistic – 30%
6% – Don’t know
Two-thirds of party members, regardless of their support for or opposition to military action, believe things will turn out well for Libya. A significant minority, however, are of the opposite view. Here is a selection of your comments:
It will take some time, but Libya has a number of things going for it, notably that its government infrastructure was never that centralised. Even the US has admitted they have seen Islamist/Al-Queda people in the rebels, so the outlook is very unclear. We should realise that all revolutions – esp.1789 – have been followed by some rather nasty things, but its inevitable that with our media dominated situation there’ll be exaltation. In this case an Arab (should be Berber) tribal nation isn’t going to morph into an ideal European democracy overnight. I expect there to be ongoing friction and conflict over a number of years, but am hopeful it will not escalate to engulf the whole country. However, there is oil involved… It’s never as simple as removing a dictator. The people need to be ready. We need to get out of their way and let them get on with it. In Iraq and Afghanistan we tried building the new administrations after the invasions, whereas with Libya the NTC was already in existence, making an orderly transition much easier.
- Over 1,200 Lib Dem paid-up party members are registered with LibDemVoice.org. Some 550 responded to the latest survey, which was conducted between 11th and 15th September.
- Please note: we make no claims that the survey is fully representative of the Lib Dem membership as a whole. However, LibDemVoice.org’s surveys are the largest independent samples of the views of Lib Dem members across the country, and have in the past accurately predicted the winners of the contest for Party President, and the result of the conference decision to approve the Coalition agreement.
- The full archive of our members’ surveys can be viewed at www.libdemvoice.org/category/ldv-members-poll
3 Comments
Again – with this survey, I don’t think that 76% could possibly think we were right to take action in Libya!!
Let’s not forget that this is 76% of the 550 members polled, a relatively small percentage of the total membership – it definitely does NOT reflect the views of 76% of the total Lib Dem Membership. If the whole Lib Dem Membership were to be polled, the figures would be vastly different.
How many more wars are we going to commit our troops and our limited resources to?
We should not be going into other countries on what has now become a regular basis when we have shortages of everything in this country because there is not enough money to provide efficient basic services!
We meddle far too much in the affairs of other countries!
Rebekah,
Three points.
1. The poll does not claim to be representative of the membership – see disclaimer above.
2. A 76% approval rating does not represent 76% rapturous approval. There are those of us who felt that providing an opportunity to enable the Libyan people to free themselves from a dictator was a good thing – the question of method is a very different one.
3. On what basis do you claim that 76% is wrong? Those polled represent a wide cross-section of the Party, although that is not necessarily the same as a representative sample. But they exist and, in this case, have spoken. Just because you don’t like the answer doesn’t make it wrong.
Rebekah: To add to what Mark said, I think the overall message from people at party conference was very much in line with that 76% too. What’s the basis for you being so sure in your statement that the overall party membership has a very different view?