Author Archives: Alex Hosking

FPTP is worse than you realised

As we approach another election, it’s worth noting just how flawed First Past the Post (FPTP) voting is as a system for electing candidates in single-winner elections. David Cameron saw his career destroyed by not supporting Alternative Vote (AV), and now it appears Rishi Sunak will witness the rise of The Reform Party, potentially increasing the Tories’ losses at the election.

The biggest issue with FPTP isn’t merely that it encourages dishonest voting or that the concept of ‘most votes wins’ seems intuitive. Rather, its main flaw is that it can result in the election of the least popular candidate.

I have previously pointed out that first-past-the-post voting can indeed lead to the election of the least popular candidate. While discussing this in a forum with supporters of electoral reform, I was told, ‘That’s not true.’ It wasn’t that they insisted on this misconception; they simply assumed it couldn’t be the case until it was explained how. This isn’t an opinion, it’s a mathematically provable fact.

Unfortunately, some people, despite favouring other forms of single-winner elections, still view FPTP voting as at least an acceptable method for conducting elections.

In an election, our aim is to identify the most popular candidate, right? There’s an assumption that the FPTP winner is the most popular, while an AV winner might be more of a compromise. This narrative was propagated by the NoToAV campaign in 2011, with insufficient opposition from the Yes campaign.

In reality, the winner under AV is much more likely to be the most popular candidate. While FPTP often does elect the most popular candidate, it can also fail to do so. Although less common, AV can also fall short in this regard; however, it cannot elect the least popular candidate.

Posted in Op-eds | Tagged , and | 36 Comments
Advert

Recent Comments

  • Peter Davies
    The difference between the 1997 deal and the Scottish one is that one was before the election and could be immediately renaged on once they were in power. The o...
  • Jana
    @Mick Taylor “ Last time we made a deal with Labour on this, in 1997, they had the Jenkins commission and then did nothing.” Perhaps. You are forgetting...
  • Peter Martin
    @ Michael BG, "I am surprised that you think the public mood is that benefits should not be means-tested." I didn't say this. I did say "Th...
  • Katharine Pindar
    Nick, that capital should be fairly taxed as well as working income is surely our policy. I like the idea of scrapping NI and rolling it into the income tax sys...
  • Mick Taylor
    David Allan, you build a whole argument on something I didn't say. The issue with electoral reform is who can you trust? I only made the point that you CAN trus...