In full: Chuka Umunna’s speech to Conference

The Liberal Democrats have taken Chuka Umunna pretty much to our hearts since he joined in June. He seems really happy and comfortable in his new surroundings

Today he gave a keynote speech to Conference.

Watch here:

Here is the text in full.

Conference, it is an honour and a pleasure to be addressing you as a Liberal Democrat Member of Parliament and as your Shadow Foreign Secretary.

Now, I’ve been to a few parties and I hope I don’t sound immodest when I say my experience of joining this party underlines that it was one of the best decisions I have ever made since going into politics.

From the bottom of my heart, thank you for making me feel so welcome. I could not be more at home in the wonderful Liberal Democrat family.

And the decision to join was not made out of crude self interest…If self interest or climbing the greasy poll is your goal, I would not recommend following my example.

The truth is, all the incredibly difficult decisions I have made on the journey I’ve been on this year were routed in my values and principles. I joined this party out of conviction.

As you know, I am a Remainer and proud of it – we have spent far too long apologising for being pro-European in this country. Because you cannot be pro-Britain and put our national interest first without seeking to put Britain at the heart of Europe.

But, even more importantly, I am a social democrat with liberal values. You see, to be a Remainer is not only to be an advocate of our continued membership of the European Union; it is to hold a set of liberal, internationalist values of which we Liberal Democrats are the champions and defenders in Britain.

In an attempt to smear those of us who have an internationalist outlook, Theresa May said “if you believe you’re a citizen of the world, you’re a citizen of nowhere”. What utter garbage. We are citizens of the world and – just you watch – at the next election you will see Liberal Democrats taking seats from the Tories in every part of the country as so many people are flocking to us, the strongest and biggest Remain party.

Be in no doubt: this is the battle of our time and it goes far beyond Britain’s borders.

What it is to be a liberal

Our party exists to build and defend a fair, free and open society, a society in which we seek to balance the fundamental values of liberty, equality and community, and in which no one shall be enslaved by poverty, ignorance or conformity……That was taken straight from our constitution – as you can see, I’ve done my homework.

In essence, the society we seek to build is one where if you work hard and play by the rules, you should be free to lead a happy, prosperous and secure life free of domination of either the state or the market. And we want to ensure future generations can do the same by preserving our planet for the long term continuity of life in all its forms.

I grew up in world in which we took these values for granted.

As a family of mixed heritage – English, Irish and Nigerian – our back story, alongside that of millions of others, stands as an example of Britain’s liberal, open, internationalist spirit.

The notion that we all share the same basic rights and should live together in peace, regardless of background is something we will always fight for.

That different cultures should be able to develop freely and that there is diversity in modern Britain is not something simply to be tolerated – it is something we positively celebrate.

And, whatever the political complexion, we will always demand our governments respect the rule of law, with an independent judiciary able to uphold those laws, free from abuse and attack by the Executive.

This is the Britain we know and love – and Boris Johnson, Nigel Farage and the peddlers of hate and division in our country better know that this is what we will fight for at the coming election.

It is our job to make sure this country’s heart beats in a liberal and internationalist direction; not nationalist, populist authoritarianism. This is the new fault line in British politics and we know where we stand.

The liberal rules based international order

Because we recognise that these things cannot be achieved in isolation and that the pursuit of individual and social justice does not stop at the border, we seek to work together with other liberal democracies who share our values to overcome cross border obstacles to achieving our goals. As Menzies Campbell said at conference back in 2005, “in an inevitably interdependent world, cooperation is not only in our interests, it is essential to survival”. And rhe best way to protect British interests, he argued, was “strong and effective multilateralism”. He was right then and still is now.

That is why we are internationalists. That is why we are pro-European. Liberalism is needed at home to protect personal freedom and liberty; Liberalism and cooperation are also needed abroad to secure peace, promote democracy and defend human rights.

If we are elected, we will fight poverty, oppression, hunger, ignorance, disease and aggression wherever they occur and we will seek to promote the free movement of ideas, people, goods and services. Conference, there is no constructive ambiguity on this in this party.

So we support the liberal international rule-based order established in the wake of the Second World War which has underpinned liberal democracy across the globe and guarded against authoritarianism and oppression. The Atlantic Charter of 1941, of which the UK was a signatory, set out the framework for this order, its aims and values.

With the memory of fascism and the threat of communism, collective security was paramount and a robust national defence married to a passionate commitment to social and global justice was the goal.

Under the Charter, all countries would have the right to self-determination. All people the right to freedom of speech, of expression, of religion, and freedom from want and fear. The rule of law would be promoted. And this struck a chord with President Roosevelt’s ‘New Deal’ – nations would collaborate to ‘improve labour standards, economic advancement, and social security’ for all.

It led to the international institutions which facilitate the multilateralism which is essential to maintaining this rules based order today: the United Nations, the World Trade Organisation; the IMF and the World Bank; and, of course, NATO to defend our democracies. In fact it was in the 1940s that the Liberals were the first UK political party to vote in favour of a European Union.

The EU, once it came into being, evolved to become not only an important lynchpin of this order on the continent but it expanded this order to cover Central and Eastern Europe states too. In government, we will seek to maximize British influence in all these institutions and play the most active possible role because, as Liberals, we put our values into action.

There is no better an example of this than the late, great Paddy Ashdown, whose life and achievements we remember this week.

As the first High Representative in Bosnia Paddy pulled together multilateral resources and created the political will to push ahead with political reforms. In a lesson that still rings true today, Paddy often liked to say that “if the international community is united, there is absolutely nothing we cannot do in the Balkans. If the international community is divided, there is absolutely nothing we can do in the Balkans.”

Of course, the first thing we will do in Government is revoke Article 50 so that, once again, the British people can resume their role of providing leadership as a full and active member of the European Union.

This order is imperfect. It must do far better at reducing inequality and fostering a more inclusive global economic system. But however flawed it may be, this liberal international order has none the less created peace and prosperity.

It helped transform states which had been aggressive autocracies – Germany and Japan – into liberal democracies.

The trade it has opened up between countries helped ensure global competition no longer resulted in military conflict. In turn, this has helped lift hundreds of millions out of poverty and people are more healthy than before.

Furthermore, the liberal democracies that fall within the order have, in the main, also provided better protection of the rights and civil liberties of their peoples.

And Extreme nationalism was forced to retreat.

Yet the advances made then are now at risk.

The decline of the liberal rules based order and the need for renewal

Today it is that liberal international order that is now in retreat. As a result the world is becoming a more dangerous place. Consider what has happened since Conference gathered last year.

If his attempted travel ban for muslims and scapegoating of Mexican immigrants were not enough to convince you that far Right politics has entered the White House, we have watched President Trump telling four congresswomen of colour to “go home.” It is racism, pure and simple. What a disgrace.

Abroad he is seeking to pull the US out of the Paris Climate agreement, he is flouting WTO rules in the pursuit of what he calls “fair trade”, and he has pulled the US out of the Iran nuclear deal.

In China, we are witnessing violent and repressive scenes in Hong Kong with the disproportionate use of force against the protests calling into question China’s commitment to upholding Hong Kong’s way of life and the “two systems, one country” model which demands the rule of law, human rights and democracy be observed.

Russia’s President Putin has claimed international “liberalism is obsolete” and at the same time made remarks which amounted to thinly veiled homophobia. He also suggeste Trump’s racist rhetoric was justified given immigrants kill, plunder and rape with impunity. This of course is the man who went into another country – Ukraine – and annexed part of it, Crimea.

In Kashmir, the abolition of the region’s special status by the Indian government, and the unrest and human rights abuses we have seen subsequently in the area, should be a cause of alarm around the world.

In short, across the world, nationalist populism – the pernicious mantra that nations should be homogeneous and one people is superior to another – is making strides. Matteo Salvini and his Northern League dominate Italian politics. Viktor Orban has distorted public life in Hungary to monopolize power there. President Erdogan and President Jair Bolsonaro are undermining democracy in Turkey and Brazil respectively.

So a giant battle is raging globally, between the pluralist, progressive creed of liberal democracy on the one hand and a desiccated authoritarianism on the other.

Let us be clear: the Liberal Democrats are the only party that can get into office which is capable of meeting this challenge in Britain today.

Only the Liberal Democrats are capable of renewing international liberalism

You see, you cannot defend a liberal, rules based order abroad if you so openly flout the rules at home.

Boris Johnson has facilitated the takeover of Her Majesty’s Government by the remnants of Vote Leave campaign – an outfit that was not only was found guilty of lying during the 2016 referendum in relation to its claims on the NHS by the Statistics Authority, but it was found guilty of cheating and breaking the law by the Electoral Commission.

Now, as he seeks to force through a catastrophic “no deal” Brexit, the Prime Minister has shut down Parliament and is threatening to break the law if necessary. The Tory right, who have taken over their party, like nothing more than to bang on about incarcerating more and more people who break the law, but strangely think a different approach should be adopting in relation to their law breaking.

And, as he seeks to force the UK out of the EU, he will become ever reliant on President Trump, whose political playbook he follows. But President Trump has always been clear – it will be America not Britain First.

Beyond Brexit and cosing up to President Trump, no one seems to know what the foreign policy strategy of this government is. What is clear is that we will not see the leadership on the world stage required from the new occupant of No 10. He likes to think of himself as a modern Winston Churchill. Churchill was of course the Prime Minister who signed the Atlantic Charter and played a private role founding the liberal international order – Boris Johnson has been busy kicking his relatives out of the Tory party.

This brings me to the Opposition. The Labour Party likes to think of itself as a champion of liberal values at home and abroad. Clement Attlee and Ernest Bevin played pivotal roles in the founding of NATO but this is not the party of Attlee and Bevin; this is Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour.

You cannot be a champion of liberalism if you are currently subject to a formal investigation by the Equality & Human Rights Commission for institutional racism against Jewish people. You cannot be a champion of liberalism when your leader’s supporters think it is acceptable to abuse, vilify and deselect anyone who dares to question the leader. And you cannot claim to be liberal when the political editor of the BBC needs to take a bodyguard to your conference.

And then you look at Jeremy Corbyn’’s foreign policy positions. Acting as an apologist for a hard-right -Russian government that thinks it can poison people on British soil, lauding authoritarian regimes in Venezuela and Iran, failing to support the prescription of Hezbollah as a terrorist organisation. Attlee and Bevin helped found NATO – Jeremy Corbyn and those around him want to abolish it.

Of course what unites both Johnson and Corbyn is the fact that they want to leave the EU, the organisation which has been the biggest champion of liberalism in our part of the global neighbourhood. Neither is fit to lead this country.

Its time for a change and someone who I know can provide that leadership: Jo Swinson.

Under Jo’s premiership we can breathe a progressive breath of fresh air into the British foreign policy.

Liberal Democrats are internationalists. This is at the heart of who we are as a party, it flows through everything we do.

We believe in tearing down walls, not building them. We believe in working together through multilateral organisations, not standing alone.

And we believe that to tackle the biggest issues facing us today, from the climate emergency to terrorism, we need to ensure that the UK is at the table, achieving consensus internationally.

Perhaps now more than ever, UK foreign policy is yearning for clear liberal, democratic values. A Liberal Democrat government would not be tied to outdated tropes or biases, but would be clear that the UK must continue to work with allies from across the world, playing a leading role in the EU and other international institutions.

With Jo as our Prime Minister we will revive our reputation on the world stage and get on with helping to improve the lives of those across the world.

As Liberal Democrats we have a duty to do this, to defend the values of human rights, democracy, and equality.

And as your Liberal Democrat Shadow Foreign Secretary I can promise you that I will stand up for a truly global Britain.

Thank you.

* Caron Lindsay is Editor of Liberal Democrat Voice and blogs at Caron's Musings

Read more by or more about , , or .
This entry was posted in Conference and News.
Advert

31 Comments

  • Yeovil Yokel 16th Sep '19 - 8:48pm

    Is Chuka Umunna the British Obama?

  • I’m hugely impressed by Chuka and Sam too. Very different personalities but both incisive, clear and compelling communicators. They will do the party proud whenever they represent us on TV and radio.

  • Colin Paine 16th Sep '19 - 9:45pm

    Great speech.

  • Rodney Watts 16th Sep '19 - 9:46pm

    Whilst Chuka has demonstrated his considerable abilities in this speech I regret that he has chosen not only to criticize Jeremy Corbyn & the LP legitimately, but also added to exaggeration of antisemitism, thus weaponising it, and actually exacerbating anti-semitic attitudes.
    I happen to have Jewish ancestry, and consider it most important that integrity in the use of criticism should be demonstrated by all leaders. The fact that the EHRC are responding to ALLEGATIONS does not prove the veracity. Indeed, I am surprised that there appears to be an ignorance of the large submission by Jewish Labour members (Jewish Voice for Labour) including prominent legal people supported by the EHRC’s former enforcer in Northern Ireland.

    It has been a matter of disappointment, having been an activist for 37 years as a liberal, then libdem, to return after a break to find that leadership has not been diligent with determining what antisemitism simply is. Hence I find the adoption of the IHRA definition, which two QC’s and a retired Jewish judge of the Court of Appeal, Stephen Sedley, consider to be highly defective and subject to abuse.

  • @ Yokel “Is Chuka Umunna the British Obama?”

    No, I’m afraid not by any realistic stretch of the imagination.

  • Peter Martin 16th Sep '19 - 10:10pm

    @ Rodney Watts,

    I agree that accusations of antisemitism are greatly exaggerated. I’d always considered that anti-zionism was being confused for antisemitism. However I’ve recently found that there is a recent movement on the part of some to say they are one and the same thing.

    This IMO is behind the recent upsurge in antisemitic accusations. There’s no confusion. It is a deliberate tactic to diffuse international criticism of Israel by using accusations of racism as a weapon.

  • Sandra Hammett 16th Sep '19 - 11:06pm

    Call me cynical.
    My first rememberance of Chuka was him pulling out of the Labour leadership race, claiming his girlfriend’s grandmother was under scrutiny or something but more likely because it wasn’t the right time.
    Then he jumps ship to launch Change UK, to fix British politics because all the other parties incl. the LibDems weren’t up to it.
    Then reality burst in, Change got diddly squat in the EU elections, becoming a busted flush.
    So now he dumps Anna Soubry, to use another party as his means of getting to No. 10.
    I’m afraid I don’t believe a word he says, just another careerist who wants to turn this party into his personal ride to the top.
    Jo should watch her back, because a few months ago he fervently believed we were part of the problem and would have liked to see us consigned to the dustbin of history.

  • Jayne Mansfield 16th Sep '19 - 11:13pm

    Antisemitism is a wart on the face of humanity.

    I am with my Labour Party Supporting (alleged self- hating) Jewish friends.

    That politicians have used the understandable fear of Jewish people given their history, and current political movements across Europe, to further their political agenda is despicable.

    .

  • Rodney Watts 16th Sep '19 - 11:13pm

    @ Peter Martin

    Yes, some do try to conflate the two but anti-zionism is NOT antisemitism as explained in the video by Prof. Illan Pappe, the author of “The Ethnic Cleansing of Palestine” i.e the ‘Nakba’. Illan, of course, is an Israeli Jew and one of the ‘new historians’ who had access to government records. Interestingly, Benny Morris, another Israeli historian, recently tried to reread original records only to find that the secretive Malmad security
    department within the Ministry of Defence has been systematically removing all traces of evidence of the Palestinian expulsion. (Reporting by Israeli newspaper Haaretz)

  • Rodney Watts
    The reason anti-Zionism gets linked to Anti-Semitism is that it so often dips into it. America and most of the countries in south America exist because of the expulsion and redefining of land ownership by European invaders. Why is this less of a problem than what Jewish people do? I also don’t see many people obsessing over what happened in Eastern Europe after the collapse of the USSR. Israel is the size of Wales.

  • @Sandra Hammett, as Chukka himself says, if he was a “careerist who wants to turn this party into his personal ride to the top” then he’s chosen the wrong party…..

  • Anyone reading Chuka Umunna’s political history cannot but note how he was ‘feather bedded’ in Labour and destined to rise high in the party; the fact that he didn’t achieve his ambitions is down to him.
    When he was a rising star his comments about this party were amongst the most vitriolic of any MP and, even when he decided to leave Labour, his chosen route to stardom was not this party; firstly ‘Change UK’ then ‘Independent’ and finally here. As has been said. a career politician who “watches the way the wind blows” and, at the moment, it’s blowing the LibDem way..

  • Rodney Watts 17th Sep '19 - 10:51am

    @ Glenn
    ” The reason anti-Zionism gets linked to anti-Semitism is that it so often dips into it.” Do you actually have any facts and figures that can quantify the ‘so often’ In my understanding and experience, whilst surely acknowledging that sometimes an anti-zionist is also an antisemite, this is not as frequent as you appear to be implying. On the other hand I know of plenty of instances where zionists accuse anti-zionists of being antisemites or indeed the ludicrous charge against some Jews of being ‘self hating’ In the latter case, having moved from Devon to near Gateshead, I live about 5miles from about 8000 Charedi –so are they self-hatingh?

  • Rodney
    I’m part Jewish. It’s my experience that the minute the subject of Israel comes up I have to listen to nonsense about “the powerful Jewish lobby”, various conspiracy theories involving the banking sector and so on. I think a lot of anti Zionism is just anti-Semitism. Do you spend the same amount time worrying about a potential Kurdish homeland on similar grounds.

  • John Marriott 17th Sep '19 - 11:20am

    How come LDV used a picture of Al Jazeera’s Mehdi Hasan to illustrate a speech by Chuka Umunna?

  • Rodney Watts 17th Sep '19 - 2:51pm

    @ Glenn
    Though we are both Jewish, our experiences and beliefs probably account for our differing positions. Let me say, there was a time when I was a zionist, but as I found out about the truth of the Nakba, and what ‘smolani’ (left of centre) Jews in Israel were subjected to,I changed. I actually care deeply for all the people in Israel/Palestine and support Gush Shalom (Peace Block) through whom I get updates.

    Over the past two months or so I learnt that two conscientious objectors to serving in the IDF have chosen to serve time in military prison. The words of one are ” I hope my decision to refuse military service and go to prison will contribute, in however a small way, to a change of consciousness, to a solution based on justice and equality for Israelis and Palestinians”. The other talked of ending the occupation. Somehow I think supporting these people fulfils the sentiments expressed in the preamble to our constitution.

    Funny you should mention the Kurds. Around 1962, whilst chairman of the UN Student Association in the Guild of Students, Birmingham Uni. I was tasked with presenting a motion at national conference requesting the Iraqi Government to grant autonomy to the Kurdish region. It may not have happened then, but I am so pleased to see what has happened since.

    I wish you well and Shalom!

  • Numbers for Christian Zionists I have seen vary from 20,000 to 70,000 in the USA alone.
    Is criticising Christian Zionists “antisemitic? Discuss!

  • Matthew Harris 17th Sep '19 - 4:31pm

    @John Hall Antisemitism is racism against Jews. Christian Zionists are not Jews. So how could criticism of Christian Zionists be considered antisemitic? Any faith (Christianity) or political movement (Zionism) can be the subject of reasoned criticism.

    To others, I would suggest that it as reasonable to criticise Israel and its government as it is o criticise any other country/government. If I criticised Pakistan’s government in a way that sounded Islamophobic or racist against British Pakistanis, that would be reprehensible. Ditto if my criticism of China over Tibet extended to anti-Chinese racism. The same goes for Israel. If instead of making reasoned criticisms of Israel, one uses racist language or racist conspiracy theories about Jews, then one is a racist.

  • Nom de Plume 17th Sep '19 - 4:53pm

    I have always found the term anti-Semitic unfortunate as it is unclear as to its meaning. If someone objects to Jewish people anti-Jewism or anti-Judaism would be clearer. Using a broad, abstract term like ‘Semitic’ makes it even harder to discover the source of someone’s prejudice. Is it meant to have a racial element, or is it a cultural objection, or something else? Arabic is a Semitic language.

  • The term anti-Semitism was coined in 1879 by the German agitator Wilhelm Marr to designate the anti-Jewish campaigns under way in central Europe at that time. Although the term now has wide currency, it is a misnomer, since it implies a discrimination against all Semites. Arabs and other peoples are also Semites, and yet they are not the targets of anti-Semitism as it is usually understood. The term is especially inappropriate as a label for the anti-Jewish prejudices, statements, or actions of Arabs or other Semites. Nazi anti-Semitism, which culminated in the Holocaust, had a racist dimension in that it targeted Jews because of their supposed biological characteristics—even those who had themselves converted to other religions or whose parents were converts. This variety of anti-Jewish racism dates only to the emergence of so-called “scientific racism” in the 19th century and is different in nature from earlier anti-Jewish prejudices…..
    https://www.britannica.com/topic/anti-Semitism

    Well you live and learn, everyday a school day.

    As to Glen’s “terrible things happened in the past in America, Australia and Eastern Europe so we should ignore what happens to the Palestine’s”, well slavery used to be legal so we should ignore modern slaves should we. I know doing anything is so hard and it upsets your little village. Your solution for everything is run away while singing ” Tiz Glen, everybodies friend Glen, bit exotic am I, your old friend Glen”, sad so sad.

  • Frankie
    You are just pointless rude nasty little man , who can’t resist digs. My point wasn’t that we shouldn’t worry about Palestinians, it was about the hierocracy and I think anti-Semitism involved in singling out Israel. Also what do mean by “a bit exotic”. And I don’t see myself as every bodies friend, Certainly not. .

  • In Israel both Netanyahu and Gantz have stated that they will declare up to a third of the occupied West Bank as part of Israel. Netanyahu and Lieberman have both declared that any government with Arab parties (representing 20% of the population) are ‘inconceivable/absurd’..

    We are instructed, by pro-Israel lobbyists, to treat Israel like any other country; in what other country would such actions be deemed acceptable? It is to the government of Israel’s advantage that the definition of anti-semitism be as all encompassing as possible.

  • Rodney Watts
    I’m not an uncritical Zionist. I was simply making an observation about a tendency for Anti-Zionism to become anti-Semitic. Of course, there are inherent problems with the idea of race/creed specific nations. But then I find myself thinking why are all these Western Europeans who’s nations colonised the globe and who have spent the last two decades destroying Middle Eastern countries so obsessed with “the evils” of a tiny nation of a few million people. At what point are they going to stop trying to destabilise their former North Africans colonies or realise that dessert people don’t want them to drone strike their uncles and then I ask myself why on earth should anyone take their claims to moral righteousness so seriously? It just annoys me sometimes.

  • I think the dessert people of North Africa got their just deserts.

  • Hard Rain
    Sorry, I made a typo. Ah,ah very funny.

  • Glenn 18th Sep ’19 – 11:37am………….Of course, there are inherent problems with the idea of race/creed specific nations. But then I find myself thinking why are all these Western Europeans who’s nations colonised the globe and who have spent the last two decades destroying Middle Eastern countries so obsessed with “the evils” of a tiny nation of a few million people……………..

    I note you couldn’t even mention the word ‘Israel’.
    As for these ‘Western European’ countrys’ recent actions in the Middle East;; I thik you’ll find that their actions have been far more heavily criticised (especially on this site) than any action of Israel.
    When defenders of Israel rush to steer debate to the ‘rest of the world’, whenever criticism of Israel crops up, I’m reminded of my mother’s response when I claimed ‘I shouldn’t be blamed for something I did, because Jimmy down the road did something worse.’

  • Richard Underhill 20th Sep '19 - 10:52pm

    Today of all days we should also be emphasising our policy of reducing the voting age from 18 to 16, in the UK and across the EU.

  • Richard Underhill. 12th Nov '19 - 3:53pm

    https://www.markpack.org.uk/160290/womens-equality-party-stands-down-for-liberal-democrat-in-two-seats
    Chuka confirmed this on BBC tv Politics Live (Repeat on Parliament channel @ 19.30)
    The other seat is Sheffield Hallam (temporarily Labour)

Post a Comment

Lib Dem Voice welcomes comments from everyone but we ask you to be polite, to be on topic and to be who you say you are. You can read our comments policy in full here. Please respect it and all readers of the site.

To have your photo next to your comment please signup your email address with Gravatar.

Your email is never published. Required fields are marked *

*
*
Please complete the name of this site, Liberal Democrat ...?

Advert



Recent Comments

  • Peter Martin
    @ Nigel @ Mick, Sorry that last comment somehow shot off before I was ready. To continue: So as one elderly right wing age group dies off another sligh...
  • Peter Martin
    @ Nigel @ Mick, Yes point taken about it being Tory voters. I was taking "by 2029" to mean the start of the year so the end of 2028 which is why I came up wi...
  • Michael BG
    Tristan Ward, When you are considering the history of the Conservative Party you should see a Conservative Party that supported Lloyd George’s social proga...
  • Mick Taylor
    Peter Martin. You misread what Paul Barker said. He was talking about a quarter of TORY voters dying off, not a quarter of voters. If he's right that many Tory ...
  • Nigel Quinton
    @Peter Martin - in defence of Paul Barker's arithmetic, he said that a quarter of Tory voters would have died by 2029. That implies a quarter of the 6.8m ie 1.7...