Local elections: further post-results analysis

Michael Thrasher has an interesting piece on the Sky News website, particularly explaining the difference in the seat change figures between those published by Sky and the BBC. As has become a consistent pattern over several years now, his national vote share projections put the Liberal Democrats two per cent lower than the BBC’s figures.

Several people (including myself) have commented on how well the Liberal Democrats did against the Conservatives in those Parliamentary seats that are key to the next general election. Martin Tod reports from Winchester than in fact the Liberal Democrat vote there hit a 10-year high last week. Meanwhile, in Chris Huhne’s Eastleigh constituency not only are there now no Conservative councillors (remember all the Conservative talk during the leadership election about how they could take his seat?), but the share of the vote for the party was 51%, up from 42% four years ago. There was a net swing from the Conservatives to the Liberal Democrats of 1% so, although the Conservatives perhaps should have benefited from the collapse of the UKIP vote in local elections there, they have actually fallen further behind the Liberal Democrats.

One fact I’ve not seen remarked upon: this year’s gains means the Liberal Democrats have gained seats in six out of the last seven years of local elections.

Read more by .
This entry was posted in News.

One Comment

  • Is it asking too much for BBC analysts to spot these kinds of trends on the night? I noticed that we were doing well in our southern seats as the results trickled in, yet the BBC was too busy reporting that the Tories were triumphing across the North… the basis of this seems to be victory in Bury (a little bit of Greater Manchester) and North Tyneside (somewhere near Newcastle) – forget the facts that we took Hull, and Sheffield and Burnley.

Post a Comment

Lib Dem Voice welcomes comments from everyone but we ask you to be polite, to be on topic and to be who you say you are. You can read our comments policy in full here. Please respect it and all readers of the site.

If you are a member of the party, you can have the Lib Dem Logo appear next to your comments to show this. You must be registered for our forum and can then login on this public site with the same username and password.

To have your photo next to your comment please signup your email address with Gravatar.

Your email is never published. Required fields are marked *

Please complete the name of this site, Liberal Democrat ...?


Recent Comments

  • David Raw
    And......... If you want to know about snake oil salesmen Tories it’s in tonight’s Guardian "Cameron does not deny using Greensill’s private jet to fl...
  • Miranda Pinch
    One of the problems to be tackled in order to achieve any kind of a real peace right now is that while so many say that Israel has a right to security and to de...
  • David Raw
    @ David Evans. Thank you for that, David. Sir Edward's answer is enlightening and illustrates the knot this party has got itself into. I'm afraid the knot will...
  • Laurence Cox
    The sight of Jewish right-wing extremists marching through Jerusalem reminds me of the Orange Order marches at the beginning of the Troubles in Northern Ireland...
  • Denis Mollison
    @Jeremy It is nothing to do with anti-Semitism! The racism is on Israel's side, rightly described as apartheid. And we should take action because of our histori...