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Tom Arms’ World Review

Israel

The Arab parties within Israel are  now the kingmakers in the country’s parliament. They have power, but the tale of the Israeli Palestinians has been a long and bitter battle to deny them representation.

For the first 18 years of modern Israel’s existence, the Palestinians remaining in the new state’s borders were subject to military rule. Villages were razed. Palestinians were penned in camps behind barbed wire. There were sporadic massacres.

Gradually, however, the Palestinians clawed back their rights and they learned to use those rights to protect and advance their cause. Rather than fight the system they decided to work within it. Political parties were formed. They learned to speak Hebrew. Their children went to university. Palestinians were elected to the Knesset. Some even became cabinet ministers—albeit short-lived ones.

The Palestinian community became particularly dominant within Israel’s medical community. A quarter of the country’s doctors are of Palestinian origin.

But prejudices and their consequences remain. Israel’s rail network largely bypasses Arab towns. There is a big gap in public spending between Jewish and Arab schools and municipalities. There are recurring attempts by the right-wing Jewish  parties to deny the vote to the Arab population of two million.

A crime wave driven by young people bereft of opportunities has engulfed Arab towns and villages. Far-right National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir has responded by reducing police protection and turning a blind eye to the activities of far-right Jewish gangs. During the Gaza War, Israeli Arabs were demonised as fifth columnists.

Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich has broadly hinted that he wants to move Jewish settlements into the Arab communities. A sort of Israeli gerrymandering that would change the political demographics.

In the past, Israeli Arabs have shrugged their shoulders, muttered “whatever” under their breaths and got on with life as best they could. They rarely bothered to vote. Their vote counted for little because 80 percent of the population voted against their interests.

But then came Benjamin Netanyahu’s latest Likud government supported by the far-right ultra-Orthodox parties. Likud’s persistent threats to their very existence brought Arab Israelis out en masse. Nearly 80 percent voted to elect 19 Arab politicians to the Knesset. Neither Netanyahu’s coalition  with 53 elected members nor the opposition coalition led by Gadi Eisenkot (48 members) has the 61 Knesset members needed to form a majority. The balance of power is held by the Arabs.

Netanyahu’s first move was to employ a Trumpian tactic and declare that the Arabs had been bankrolled by Qatar. How else, he argued, could they have turned out nearly 80 percent of the vote. This argument was rejected earlier this week by President Isaac Herzog.

Then on Friday, the two Arab parties—Ra’am or the United Arab List, led by Mansour Abbas and Hadresh or the Joint List led by Yousef Jabareen—announced that they are recommending to President Herzog that Eisenkot be asked to form the next Israeli government.

This does mean, however, that Eisenkot’s opposition group  and the Arabs have agreed to form a coalition government. Eisenkot has demanded that if the Arabs want to join  his government they have to formally denounce Hamas as a terrorist organisation and accept Israel as the Jewish state. Both issues are long-standing  sticking points with both Arab coalitions.

But fear of another Likud government drove Arab voters to the polls and could drive their representatives to compromise. The two Arab coalitions could, for instance, agree to support an Eisenkot  government on an issue by issue basis without committing to joining the government. If that happens it is bye-bye Bibi.

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10-11 May 2025 – the weekend’s press releases

  • Davey creates ‘Reform Watch’ team to keep Trumpian councils honest
  • Lib Dems call on Government to ‘step up’ and pay care workers properly
  • Cole-Hamilton comments on Edinburgh cyberattack

Davey creates ‘Reform Watch’ team to keep Trumpian councils honest

Ed Davey has established a new national “Reform Watch’ scrutiny board, bringing together local Liberal Democrat leaders in areas where Reform has taken control to take a coordinated approach to opposition and holding them to account.

The Liberal Democrats came second to Reform at last week’s local elections, winning more councillors than both Labour and the Conservatives for the first time ever.

The Board will be chaired …

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Cheltenham Liberal Democrats – ambitions for jobs, homes and environment

New jobs, new homes and the climate emergency are at the forefront of all our minds as we recover from the Covid pandemic. As Liberal Democrat leaders in local government, we need to address all these. I was proud to lead the media briefing in Cheltenham announcing our internationally significant development that covers all three of those topics.

The Golden Valley development will bring up to 12,000 new jobs, 3,700 homes and two million square feet of commercial space, centred on the UK’s first cyber security focused campus: Cyber Central. And we will achieve some of the highest levels of sustainability in development available as part of a Garden Community.

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Contextualising our policies for our constituents

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It’s easy to criticise our party’s policy-making process and the amount of policy we produce. Such criticism feels a tad unfair. It’s amiss to suggest that members voluntarily producing detailed policy in their spare time prevent our party from winning its target seats. Our candidates ought to help us win by making our policies relevant to their constituents.

Are we missing an overarching theme that ties our policies together? Absolutely. As mentioned in the Thornhill review, our leader’s job is to develop that vision and articulate it. Is now the right time to roll that out? Well Lockdown 3 probably isn’t the best time to try and win the soul of the nation, as the nation is far more interested in Covid.

Until then, candidates should be thinking of ways to promote the policies we have. For example, in response to the Government’s Jobs White Paper Statement, Daisy Cooper asked Gavin Williamson if the government would consider offering a lifetime grant instead of a lifetime loan entitlement. Daisy pointed out that mature students aren’t particularly keen to take on extra debt they’ll be paying off until retirement. She suggested that the government consider the Liberal Democrats’ Skills Wallet instead.

The Skills Wallet is a policy the country sorely needs. Millions of people are out of work or reconsidering their careers. Covid aside, there are two trends reshaping our economy, one is digital transformation – more and more processes are being automated or moving online, leaving entire organisations and job roles redundant. This has been evident for years; think of the disappearance of travel agents.

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