Tag Archives: niesr

Are employment levels one of the “better stories” of the Coalition, as Fraser Nelson claims? Not really.

The Spectator’s editor Fraser Nelson is — rightly — very hot on politicians being accurate in their use of stats. For instance, he’s — rightly — called out both Nick Clegg and David Cameron for confusing (whether accidentally or deliberately) the terms ‘debt’ and ‘deficit’, claiming the former is falling when they mean the latter.

However, Fraser is sometimes a bit casual with facts himself — for instance, wrongly claiming that an old report for the Department for Education ‘proved’ the pupil premium was flawed when it did no such thing.

And today he makes a point of highlighting …

Posted in News and Op-eds | Also tagged , , , , , , and | 10 Comments

The double dip recession that never was?

Did the double-dip recession ever happen? It looks increasingly possible that it didn’t — the BBC reports the latest revision to the data:

A revision by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) has cast doubt on the UK’s double-dip recession last year. Revised growth estimates now suggest the construction industry shrank in the first quarter of 2012, but by less than previously thought. Analysts say the revision may be enough to mean the overall economy narrowly avoided falling into recession for a second time. The ONS is due to give official confirmation of this in June.

In fact there was a …

Posted in News | Also tagged , , , , and | 17 Comments

Jonathan Portes writes: If you want to get serious about growth, you need to be positive about migration

On Monday, I did seven interviews on David Cameron’s immigration speech. Each time I’ve tried to get across one simple fact: that all the available evidence suggests that immigrants – and immigrants from the new EU member states, in particular – more than pay their way. That is, that they pay more in taxes than they cost in benefits and services; overall, from being a burden, they make it easier to finance our welfare state not harder.

It is that basic fact that all three party leaders should be explaining to their constituents. Instead, they seem to be engaged …

Posted in Op-eds | Also tagged , , and | 23 Comments
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Recent Comments

  • User AvatarJohn Marriott 11th Aug - 8:45am
    @Neil Hickman I never use the word ‘affordable’. Affordable to whom? I have always preferred the term ‘low cost’, because that’s what these properties should...
  • User AvatarFormer Dem 11th Aug - 8:40am
    So the Lib Dem line has always been that by joining the coalition, they bravely sacrificed party to prevent another election and Tory majority. If...
  • User AvatarPaul Barker 11th Aug - 7:29am
    I dont see much point in comparing present Polling with the past, we are not in "Normal" times. Current Politics does have something of a...
  • User AvatarPeter Martin 11th Aug - 7:22am
    @ Michael BG, You're just saying that: (S-I) + (M-X) + (T-G) =0, Which is the well known sectoral balance equation. But what makes you...
  • User AvatarPeter Martin 11th Aug - 5:20am
    Vince Cable isn't too keen on the idea of a UBI. He says: "My scepticism was fuelled by seeing it advocated with equal fervour both...
  • User AvatarPaul Holmes 11th Aug - 12:27am
    @Marco. The point is though that when we were on 0-6% at the start of Paddy's Leadership it was an unusually low and quite temporary...