Why are the Conservatives being so downbeat about their election prospects?

After the May 1978 elections (i.e. the last round of elections before they won the general election) the Conservatives had 49.6% of councillors.

After May 1996 (i.e. the last round of elections before they won the general election) Labour had 48.1% of councillors.

The Conservatives had 38.6% after last May’s elections, so to get up to 48.1% would require net gains of over 2,000 councillors (even allowing for by-election gains in the interim). Yet although the Conservatives talk about wanting to win the next general election, this is way beyond what I can find any Conservative talking about. Hmmm……

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5 Comments

  • It's a two-horse race 30th Apr '07 - 10:21pm

    This only means the Lib Dems have no chance of winning the next general election. A Lib Dem vote is a wasted vote!

  • It's a tory troll 30th Apr '07 - 11:15pm

    Nah, it actually means that “Dave” hasn’t done enough to make the Tories electable. Shame two horse – another ten years in opposition for you?

  • It's a two-horse race 30th Apr '07 - 11:43pm

    And stuck in 3rd gear for the Dum Lebs! Happy days!

  • Angus J Huck 1st May '07 - 12:16am

    Two Horse should ask himself why his party has such a terrible taste in leaders. Might it have something to do with the membership, perhaps? Or the culture and ethos of UK conservatism?

    For instance, why was an obvious mediocrity like John Major chosen in preference to Michael Heseltine and Douglas Hurd – politicians with years of experience and unquestioned ability?

    And then we come to 1965. Ted Heath, Reginald Maulding, Enoch Powell. What a choice!! How could any right-thinking political party even contemplate any of those in No 10?

    Ultimately, they passed the buck to the members, who promptly delivered Iain Duncan Smith.

    David Cameron – Bullingdon snob yob, Hugh Grant lookalike, hugger of anything that will get him publicity – the guy is basically a hooray Henry who has discovered the dark arts of PR and media manipulation – or at least Michael Gove and the guys in Washington who turn his key have.

    Mr Pack may recall that in 1977 the Tories won 47% of the vote in Liverpool. They won’t be repeating that particular performance this Thursday!

  • It's a two-horse race 1st May '07 - 12:58pm

    They don’t like it up ’em…

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