Another budget, and another set of parliamentary debates – and newspaper comments – that will generate much heat but very little light about the choices Britain faces in raising state revenue and funding public services. Since Margaret Thatcher used revenues from North Sea oil and receipts from privatization to fund current spending through asset sales rather than higher taxes, Britain has been stuck with a false self-image that we can be a country of both lower taxes than our continental counterparts and comparably generous public services. Brexit of course, with its consequences in in depressing economic growth, has made the choices more difficult. But we still have politicians calling for tax cuts without suggesting what impact on public spending they will have. How do they get away with it?
I’ve just been reading a paper a novice Liberal Democrat MP wrote 25 years ago on how badly the British Parliament handles budgetary scrutiny and debates on spending and taxation. He notes that the British Parliament has one of the weakest systems for parliamentary influence over government expenditure in the world. He condemns the way in which taxation and spending are discussed separately rather than as unavoidably linked, with changes in the tax structure sprung from the Chancellor’s budget statement rather than carefully examined for their impact on the economy – which has led to the UK now having one of the most complex and untidy systems of taxation in the developed world. He decries the false divide between ‘policy’ and ‘finance’ – the first the province of ministers, the second the responsibility of permanent secretaries who answer to the Public Accounts Committee for how funds have been spent. ‘It matters how a country takes its decisions on the budget. It may be less exciting, but process matters’, Ed Davey argued. He therefore made a series of proposals to strengthen the role of MPs in discussing financial choices and in later scrutinising how well funds have been spent.
As you listen to or read about exchanges across the floor on this November budget, share my regret that these sensible proposals got nowhere. Ed Davey referred to them again in his speech on energy and the economy in July; but no-one in either of the ‘main’ parties picked it up, nor commentators in the press. Process and procedure are for nerds; the clash of synthetic arguments about ‘shrinking the state’ and ‘squeezing the rich’ makes for good soundbites, but don’t clarify what choices have to be made. Ed’s proposals to equip Parliament with more staff to examine budgetary proposals Department by Department, to query the distribution of taxation and the distinction between capital and current spending, would have made for a more informed, sober and unavoidably cross-party debate. He compares Westminster with the way the New Zealand Parliament, after significant reforms, handles such issues – making opposition politicians share the burdens of fiscal responsibility through responding to detailed debates, rather than the heated generalizations which characterise how budgets are handled here.
There’s a broader issue here about the underlying weakness of how Westminster operates, and the desperate need for constitutional reform. The fiscal irresponsibility of the last Conservative government was partly enabled by the power of government whips to drive proposals unchanged through Parliament. The extraordinary complexity of our tax system reflects the attractions for chancellors of the exchequer to catch headlines by offering additional concessions (and find extra revenues) to spring on the opposition and the public in presenting the budget.
In the past few days some glimmers of financial reality have appeared, in the chancellor’s admission that taxes will have to rise and in Policy Exchange’s detailing of the sort of cuts in spending that lower taxes would have to involve. Even Reform has admitted that its promises to slash taxes were absurd. But ritual denunciations from the Daily Mail and the Conservatives have continued to denounce revenue-raising without addressing spending priorities. Evidence is piling up of the cumulative neglect of the UK’s public services and infrastructure. Prisons are understaffed and overcrowded, police numbers have not yet recovered from Conservative cuts, the NHS is facing yet another winter crisis, the government has again postponed major investments in our transport system and almost nothing has been said about increasing spending on defence.
Ed Davey was right, all those years ago. We shouldn’t make key decisions on managing our economy and prioritising our public spending like this. A more open debate on the choices, and the direct link between taxing and spending, would better inform the public and force competing politicians to recognise hard choices. The House of Commons should provide the focus for that debate. Ed proposed a Budget Committee, an ‘Office of the Taxpayer’ to promote tax simplification and provide MPs with detailed analysis rather than having the chancellor spring major decisions upon them, and with select committees able to examine departmental budgets and future spending plans.
I hope that our MPs will again make the case for changes in the way the UK handles tax and spending decisions when the budget is presented. No doubt our right-wing media and Conservative and Reform oppositions will want to focus on immediate tax demands instead. But we should persist in our argument, and aim to change the direction of the debate.
* William Wallace is LibDem peer, a former vice-chair of the Federal Policy Committee and convenor of the party's 1997 manifesto team.



6 Comments
“…..and the direct link between taxing and spending”
There is a link between govt taxing and spending, despite what some of the more wide-eyed MMTers might claim, but it isn’t a ‘direct link’ in the way it is for you and I, or a local council. Macroeconomic considerations don’t apply to us but they do apply to a National Govt.
The main problem for anyone wanting a balanced Govt budget is the trade deficit. Billions leave the country every year to fund that. These have to be replenished from somewhere and this means the Government has to run a budget deficit. If it applies a fiscal squeeze to try to reduce it it will only succeed in pushing the economy into recession. Tax revenues will then fall and the deficit will still remain.
If the public becomes more aware of the link between taxes and spending, is there not a risk that those who work hard, and then see a large slice of their income taken in tax, will become even more unhappy that so much of their hard earned money is being given to support the millions who are not working? If anything, more knowledge may increase demands for restrictions on who qualifies for universal credit etc, and the levels of support that are provided, so that those who work for a living can keep more of their own income.
Police numbers were not cut by the conservative government. They were flat from 2015 to 2019 and then increased. They have not, however recovered to the numbers prior to the coalition.
@Peter. I fail to see how a government has to run a budget deficit to fund a trade deficit. The former has to do with the commercial market and while it may impact government revenues it does not imply that it should run a deficit on the public account.
@ Russell,
The mainstream have a twin deficit theory which I agree with as far as it goes. This is that a government budget deficit and current account, or trade, deficit (trade deficit) tend to run together. What is known as Government borrowing is the process of running higher interest rates than necessary which pushes up the value of the currency. This makes exports more expensive and imports cheaper, causing a trade deficit.
More heterodox economists approach the issue using the concept of sectoral balances. The usual division is between government, domestic private sector and overseas. So the idea is that if one of them is in surplus the sum of the other two has to be in deficit.
The outcome is the same in both theories. If we want a balanced govt budget we have to reduce interest rates to reduce the inflow of capital and so have a lower currency. This will lead to a trade balance too.
Simply cutting spending and increasing taxation won’t work according to either theory.
I think that process really matters, and trying to have mature debates in Parliament and in press that go deeper and more nuanced than the current headline slinging.
There’s something else that this article mentions only in passing from that original paper. Evaluating previous decisions. That is something that government is scandalously poor at, in my experience at all levels but absolutely certainly and visibly at this sort of macro decision level. There are nods towards it, the OBR and many think tanks pick up elements, but no evidence that it’s actually part of any decision making processes.