Category Archives: Polls

There is no news today.

Guardian 3There is no news today on account of the fact that I do not do polls.

Someone do something. Please.

I mean, seriously. I’m on the brink of joining Fathers for Justice and performing a naked stunt on the Commons roof terrace, before the Parliamentary authorities fence it in.

If nothing happens at PMQs today, I’m replacing Lib Dem Voice with pictures of kittens and the highlights from Hi! Monkey.

While we’re waiting, I need to learn to cook. I only have hobs and a …

Also posted in News | 22 Comments

Breaking news: Tory finance scandals

BBC News has the story. ‘I’m not paranoid, but the world is out to get me’….

Somewhat more seriously, Liberal Review have been digging around the Tory party’s finances, this follows on from a series of stories over the weekend about a shadowy operation called Constituency Campaign Services which may, or may not, be part of the Conservative party.

We also learn today that four major Tory party donors have been questioned as part of the cash for peerages investigation. How does all this sit with Mr Cameron’s call to clean up politics?

Finally, …

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More bad poll news for the Tories

“Almost every trend relating to the Tory party is either static or downwards. As the figures in the chart show, the proportion of voters thinking Mr Cameron “is proving a good leader” has fallen from 46 per cent in February, when he had been party leader for only a few weeks and was still relatively unknown, to only 35 per cent now… some 86 per cent of voters have no idea what to make of the Conservative leader and his rhetoric. A substantial majority fear he may be merely vacuous.” Anthony King in today’s Daily Telegraph

Interestingly, despite the talk about …

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This is how polls should be covered

Dave Gorman explains what the US polls mean.

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Are the pollsters getting it wrong?

It’s pretty common for the polling companies at the moment to ask how people would vote with a Brown/Cameron/Campbell match-up, and the result typically is the Lib Dems dropping a few points compared with Blair/Cameron/Campbell.

But what do these figures really tell us? Take the latest Populus poll (full details here). It uses the question:

Q.5 Now I’d like you to think ahead to the next election, expected in 3 or 4 years time. Imagine that the Chancellor of the Exchequer Gordon Brown takes over from Tony Blair as Labour leader and the Conservatives are led by David Cameron and the Liberal Democrats by Ming Campbell. Which party would you vote for – or would you vote for another party or not vote at all?

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Recent Comments

  • Chloe
    Paul; At that rate are you suggesting Reform will struggle to hold onto their remaining MPs at the next election ? I understand you're narrative, but let's not ...
  • Nonconformistradical
    Jason Connor asks a fair question:- "I do wonder what level of support these LD candidates are getting. Did leaflets go out or just paper candidates?" Were ...
  • George Thomas
    In work a discussion about favourite USA presidents came to a majority saying Obama despite most not being able to say which policies they liked. Burnham might ...
  • Jason Connor
    Yes thanks for the analysis. I don't think it matters too much for the winning party if their % share falls. The Lib Dems have won seats recently with % share d...
  • Matt Wardman
    This is good commentary, though I rather disagree. Trump (and his manipulators on the "America Alone" US far right in his Government have had an agenda to re...