Economic growth – simple but not easy, part 3

This article concludes a three-part series on what the UK needs to do to manage ‘beneficial growth’ policy across government. This article briefly considers examples in banking, trade, commercial law and infrastructure.

De Jure Monopoly Banking – ‘Never a lender or borrower be’

A purposefully restrictive banking sector, dogged by regulatory capture, has done much to inhibit the UK economy. The monopolistic sector structure was designed to create high profitability and crisis resilience in the UK banking sector; but the 2008 crash did not change this justification! In effect the sector’s self-governed, cartelised approach, with multiple regulators, failed. Instead of reform, a permissive approach to ‘accounting tricks’ transpired. The remedies proved to be very profitable.

The sector thus remains largely unreformed. The dysfunctional UK banking sector has relatively few banks, absence of specialist banks, and weird over-extended anti-customer rules. The UK suffers unresponsive services, instability, lack of competition, and reliance on the taxpayer as a last resort. Over-dependence on derivatives and property lending means they hardly ever lend for real-world business development. Remedies include more effective prudential regulation, and a raft of measures to increase competition; for example, a regulatory path from small (eg credit unions) to large, among many steps to eliminate the protections afforded the big banks from smaller competitors.

Trade policy, promotion and facilitation – ‘The expert manufacture of bottlenecks’

There are three critical problems in UK trade policy. First, post-Brexit, the UK is notoriously bad at matching UK tariff demands with evolving strengths and weaknesses in the UK economy.

Second, the UK system of business promotion globally is amateurish compared to (for example), Japan, South Korea, Finland or the USA. Japanese sectoral development associations, global technology organisations such as JETRO, and the role of METI in supporting overseas manufacturing, are worth copying.

Third, trade facilitation within the UK is sclerotic. Consider international freight rail transport from London Gateway to the North, or the Liverpool-Manchester-Leeds-Hull route, (and the permanent gridlock in S.E. Kent). The aims of trade reforms can be clearly stated.

Commercial Law – ‘Labyrinthine and outdated’

Commercial law has four clear primary aims. First to create a legal framework for ‘collective endeavour’; to achieve things no one individual can alone. Second, to provide a stable and enforceable basis for transactions. Third, to help pursue accountability and alignment with the public interest. That is, to ensure transparency, and prevent dis-beneficial practices such as monopoly, cartelisation or trickery. Fourth, to provide a fair basis for economic activity as an asset; financing, equity trading, and investment.

In the UK these functions clearly do not work well. Opaque ownership, share price manipulation, investment fund fraud, endemic cartelisation (especially via large holdings in competing companies), and inflexible types of legal entity, all badly need addressing. For small businesses, companies avoiding accountability by closing and re-starting, and easily circumventing minimum wage rules, need addressing. The structure of legal entities (and their tax treatment) is a major area of reform, eg the rules for profit-sharing companies or fully participative governance.

Infrastructure, Decentralisation and Planning – ‘The Cui bono problem’

The primary problem in infrastructure investment in the UK is its centralised financing but with local ‘veto’. Most costs of investment are shouldered by the central state, but local authorities have to address downsides with the local public, without the power to negotiate changes to plans to meet local objections.

The fiscal benefits of the investments are felt by parts of central government, but detached from the costs. Spending proposals sit in piles on desks in Whitehall, waiting years, and are the first types of spending to be cut when there is a fiscal squeeze. This problem cannot be solved without fiscal decentralisation (local taxes) where the local/regional government investor can use local return-on-investment criteria in prioritisation.

There are many other areas of reform needed (outside of macro-fiscal policy) in order to purse ‘beneficial economic growth’.

As UK economic decline accelerates, and the options narrow, a systematic emphasis on the sources of growth, and the associated problems … and remedies … to be addressed, is long overdue. Just a brief flypast some of the issues in these three articles, suggests a need for institutional reform, especially in pan-governmental orchestration, given all the interdependencies. There are many international lessons to be learned.

* Paul Reynolds works with multilateral organisations as an independent adviser on international relations, economics, and senior governance.

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7 Comments

  • Steve Trevethan 19th Nov '25 - 8:02am

    Thank you for your article.

    Might a mixed economy with an assertive, decent, governmental input help?

    Might substituting “Social Liberalism” for visibly failing, socio-economically destructive and anti-democratic “Neoliberalism” help?

    Might such include the following?

    1) Reasonably valid attitudes, expectations and practices of input (voting, donations etc.)
    2) Analytical, society orientated parliamentary procedures rather than the current party and ego self indulgences.
    3) Targets and assessments of democratic outputs based upon general life-realities, including rates of hunger/chronic semi-starvtion, homelessness etc. instead of party political point scoring and power retention ploys

  • Peter Martin 19th Nov '25 - 9:21am

    @ Steve,

    There’s quite a lot that hasn’t been mentioned in Paul’s articles. One point is that there isn’t any shortage of private money for growth inducing investment but it isn’t being utilised because the risks are perceived to be higher than the potential rewards. The social democrats, social liberals, or whatever you want to call them have come up with the idea of underwriting any losses but letting the capitalists keep their gains. See link below.

    Some of us think this is a bad idea!

    I’m not sure if he was right for the right reasons, but, Curiously, Marx predicted that capitalism would eventually fail because, over time, there would be a tendency for the profitability of capitalist enterprises to fall.

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/article/2024/jul/02/labour-plans-britain-private-finance-blackrock

  • Paul Reynolds 19th Nov '25 - 2:40pm

    Perhaps the greatest inhibitor to a beneficial reversal of the UK’s economic decline, is the poor quality of policymaking in the UK. Yes it’s true that these days all reform proposals are seen through the lens of a pecuniary ‘cui bono’, but the underlying problem is the current culture where the actual problems to be addressed remain undefined, interdependencies between reforms remain unexplored, and unintended consequences neglected.

  • Nigel Quinton 19th Nov '25 - 2:55pm

    I’m sure you will have read this already Paul, but Sam Freedman’s book Failed State echoes a lot of what you raise here. Well worth a read.

  • Peter Martin 19th Nov '25 - 7:50pm

    @ Nigel,

    I’m sure that Sam Freedman believes that the UK has its problems but not that the UK is a “failed state”. The shock title can only be to draw attention to his book.

    If it was a failed or failing state the problem would be people wanting to leave rather than wanting to come here. He himself has pointed out that UK immigrants do relatively well once settled!

    https://samf.substack.com/p/the-truth-about-integration

  • Steve Trevethan 20th Nov '25 - 7:45am
  • Paul Reynolds,

    Your article is good on general areas of travel but lacks details.

    You state that the banking sector needs reforming, but don’t set out how the changes you want would be brought about. What new regulations do you want? Would you break-up the banks and if so how? Do you want new banks created and if so how would they be created?

    With regard to trade you don’t state how you would:
    a) match UK tariff demands with evolving strengths and weaknesses in the UK economy;
    b) make the UK system of foreign business promotion professional;
    c) improve the procedures for cross-border transactions and international freight rail transport.

    With regard to commercial law you don’t state how you would:
    a) ensure transparency and accountability;
    b) align commerce with the public interest;
    c) reduce the benefits of cartels and monopolies;
    d) end investment fund fraud, and share price manipulation;
    e) stop small businesses closing down and then re-starting;
    f) stop the circumventing of minimum wage rules;
    g) reform the structure of legal entities (and their tax treatment) and make them flexible.

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