Last night it looked good, today it’s not looking bad either :-)


The BBC summarises the local election results so far as follows:

Labour 1837 seats – up 58
Conservative 1230 seats – up 7
Liberal Democrats 444 seats – up 49
Greens 34 seats – up 5
UKIP 3 seats – down 121
Other 142 seats – up 16

#LE2018 projected national vote share:

Con: 35% (+6)
Lab: 35% (+4)
LDem: 16% (+3)
Oth [incl. UKIP]: 14% (-13)

Chgs. w/ 2014

Sir John Curtice says that if the votes on Thursday are projected forward to a general election we would have: Lab on 283 (+21) seats, Con 280 (-38), Lib Dem 22 (+10), Others, 65 (+7).

Some highlights:

  • Kingston: With counting in progress, so far the Lib Dems have won 12 seats against the Tories’ 3. We’ve got 51% of the vote so far to the Tories’ 29%. Many congratulations to Jaesung Ha on being elected in Beverley ward, from the Borough’s sizeable population of Korean ethnicity.
  • Watford: Congratulations to Peter Taylor on becoming Watford’s new mayor! Peter received more first preferences than even his very popular predecessor, Dorothy Thornhill. Peter paid generous tribute to Dorothy in his victory speech.
  • Richmond: Lib Dems seize Richmond from the Conservatives with a huge leap in seats – from 15 to 39!
  • Sutton: We held control of the council.
  • Sheffield: We won nine seats, gaining three seats, with Labour dropping down by four.
  • Three Rivers: We took control of the council from “no overall control”.
  • South Cambridgeshire: We took control of the council from the Tories.
  • South Lakeland: Counting is continuing. So far we’re on 9 seats against the Tories’ 10 with 32 seats still to come.
  • Hull: We increased our seats by 7 to 24, reducing the Labour majority to seven.
  • By the way, believe it or not, there was a parliamentary by-election yesterday:



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    * Paul Walter is a Liberal Democrat activist. He is one of the Liberal Democrat Voice team. He blogs at Liberal Burblings.

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9 Comments

  • Mick Taylor 4th May '18 - 5:06pm

    We now (17.05) have more gains than any other party according to BBC and are certain to take Kingston. These results are far better than anyone predicted. OK, it’s not uniform and it’s patchy but hey let’s celebrate the gains we’ve made.

  • John Marriott 4th May '18 - 5:06pm

    The Lib Dems’ percentage of the votes cast yesterday is currently standing around 16. What a pity they won’t be getting 16% of the Council seats. On a proportional basis that would have given them around 700, nearly 200 more than they are likely to end up with.

  • Some additional points:

    As I posted earlier – independent analysis from Dr Michael Thrasher on Sky News: “You would have to say the Lib Dems have done well.. The Lib Dems have a strong basis for saying they are back.”

    Beth Rigby, Senior Political Correspondent for Sky News: “The people with the biggest frowns are on the Labour side. As people begin to digest the result what is happening is a realisation on how badly Labour have actually done.”

    Manchester City Council we gain a seat and become a “group” (you need two or more to be a group under the legislation)

    According to https://twitter.com/election_data/status/992310083433381888 we move from 3% to 30% in Bolton West constituency

    We “win” Winchester and Eastleigh parliamentary constituencies based on the local election results

    We move to within 1% of Labour in Portsmouth South constituency (with Tories on 26%).

  • John Roffey 4th May '18 - 5:29pm

    It is good to see that all parties are viewing the results as encouraging – thanks to the magnanimity of UKIP – who kindly did not stand in the majority of seats that they won 4 years ago [prior to the referendum when they were standing high in the polls].

    Even so, UKIP are highlighting that they did receive 4-5% of the vote in the places where they did stand – which demonstrates that given the their recent history – these results were promising for them too! Although, personally, I preferred the claim by one of their members that UKIP was similar to the Black Death!

    So a promising result for all parties – which seems to fit the current PC ideals.

  • Bernard Aris 4th May '18 - 5:39pm

    In my 40 years experience as a D66 activist in proportional Dutch politics, I’ve lived through just about 3 campaigns of clawing back local support after participation in national coalitions had decimated our local teams (“to govern means getting halved” is a famous D66 phrase, so I know how hard it can be).
    I am so proud about how my second party (ever since around 1992) has performed in these elections.
    Pity you don’t have a proportional system; these results would have meant that Theresa May (or is it Mayday?) would have been forced to look for a much more substantial coalition party than Ian Paisley’s dogmatic Brexiteer splinter (and would have made us such a substantial option; just look at the Commons seats if this had been a General Election).That would have forced her to come clean about her practical solutions for the Ulster-Ireland border and the Common Market.

    With Corbyns blindness for antisemitism in extreme leftwing thinking and murals,
    and May as Home Secretary causing (and as prime minister ignoring ) the Windrush scandal,
    it once again (like in the 1960’s, pioneering Anti-Apartheid solidarity, and fighting daily racism in housing and in the workplace) falls to the Liberals to plead, unblemished, for resepect for all minorities in governing British society.

    Have a nice relaxing weekend, and then back to the front (the Renew party proved not much more than David Owens rump SDP in the early 1990’s: an irritant that will fade away) to give Britain rational, pragmatic thinking about her place in a world that is turning ugly, and doesn’t favor striking out on your own.

  • The Lib Dem’s should aggressively target more seats in London. There is a big remain, pro immigrant population there who want better policing and housing. Hit these areas hard and the Tories could be in all kinds of trouble. As would Labour!

  • Mick Taylor 4th May '18 - 6:21pm

    Latest. We have overall control of South Lakeland with 29 seats out of 51 with 19 for the Tories and 3 Labour. A good result on new boundaries.
    As a complete aside, it appears it is now possible for mets not to have seats in multiples of 3 and to go for all outs every four years, because that’s what has happened in Birmingham.

  • @Mick Taylor

    For clarity Birmingham had new ward boundaries so there the whole council is up for election when that happens – https://www.birmingham.gov.uk/info/20097/elections_and_voting/1054/local_government_boundary_review/1

  • Mick Taylor 4th May '18 - 7:06pm

    Michael 1. I knew that but this is the first time since the creation of Mets in 1974 that any met council has had anything but 3 members seats retiring 1 every year with a fallow year. Now there are arguments both ways on four yearly elections. but their major advantage is being able to carry out a programme over the life of the council. If I was ever leading an LD council having four years to change the local setup would be wonderful, rather than always having to think about the election next May.

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