Stephen Tall

LDV party president polls – not so very far off

By | Sat 8th November 2008 - 3:51 pm

Well, I’m not going to pretend that the Lib Dem Voice members’ surveys predicted the outcome of the party presidential race within a statistical margin of error. But it is interesting to see – in the first test of the surveys in an internal election – that they were reflective of how the wider membership actually voted.

October survey:
Chandila Fernando – 3%
Lembit Opik 10%
Ros Scott – 61%
I don’t know yet, but will definitely vote 23%
I won’t be voting – 3%

There is one measure on which the LDV members’ surveys are certainly unrepresentative of the membership (sadly): while in October only 4% of LDV-reading party members said you wouldn’t vote at all, in the actual ballot some 50% of the party membership chose not to.

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This entry was posted in LDV Members poll, News and Party Presidency.
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4 Comments

  • crewegwyn 8th Nov '08 - 4:48pm

    “50% of the party membership chose not to [vote]”

    Well, except that some of the non-voters will:
    have moved house
    have failed to receive the ballot papers
    be working away/ on holiday
    have died

    Most organisations would be thrilled to have 50% of their members voting in an internal election.

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