The autumn statement on 17th November will probably provide reassurance for the markets, but bad news in other respects. We don’t yet know how the unpleasant ‘medicine’ will be mixed, but it will include higher taxes (including stealth tax rises through long term freezes to personal allowances), cuts to services and to government investment, and real terms cuts to some welfare payments.
Elements of our response to the forthcoming statement are easy. 1 The Tories got us into this mess through the Truss shambles, through Brexit, and through the lack of policies to build a decent economy over many years of poor stewardship. 2 We don’t want cuts to services and to welfare. 3 We should increase levies on companies which have happened to have benefitted from the war in Ukraine. But when it comes to any tax rises that may be proposed in the statement, we need to think carefully. We need to balance the short term expediency of pointing out everything the government is doing which could be unpopular, against longer term considerations of how to deliver a better society.