Tag Archives: us presidential election 2024

Welcome to my day: 22 January 2024 – so, about those Presidential primaries…

Well, that was unexpected. Ron DeSantis is gone, and has endorsed Donald Trump. And, unless Nikki Haley gets a respectable showing in New Hampshire, it’s surely all over in the absence of any other opponent. Biden versus Trump it is then…

Meanwhile, nearer to home, the Post Office Horizon scandal continues to unfold. For what it’s worth, I do wonder whether or not the various ministers involved were persuaded that there was nothing wrong by the evidently unwise presumption that public officials will tell you the truth when pressed. After all, the Civil Service Code has at its core the values of integrity, honesty, objectivity and impartiality and, in my personal experience, most of us live up to that every day – we tend to take a dim view of those that are found to have fallen short. And politicians should be able to take that for granted – they need civil servants to provide them with a picture of what’s going on in their departments and of the impacts of political decisions, both before and after the event, and should be able to rely upon the advice they give, even if they don’t accept it.

Posted in Op-eds | Also tagged and | 1 Comment

US Presidential Election 2024: seconds out, round one…

The long-awaited (albeit nervously) US Presidential campaign gets underway in earnest today, with the Iowa caucuses, the first step in a winnowing process that formally ends in the US Virgin Islands on 8 June. It’s only the Republicans who are taking part this week, as the Iowa Democratic primary takes place on “Super Tuesday”, 5 March. There are 40 delegates up for grabs (out of 2,467 available overall) but it isn’t winner takes all – delegates are allocated according to the share of the vote achieved. So, what are we watching out for?

The opinion polling that has taken place in Iowa has shown Donald Trump polling steadily well ahead, with a strengthening of his position in recent months. FiveThirtyEight suggests that his average poll score is over 50%, with many individual polls showing him doing even better. But Iowa is a socially conservative state with a strong evangelical influence, where Trump lost to Ted Cruz in 2016 – will Iowa Republicans waver in the face of his legal problems? And, if they do, at what percentage does he begin to look vulnerable?

Posted in Europe / International | Leave a comment

Welcome to my day: 15 January 2024 – trying a little harder…

Today is, apparently Blue Monday, the most depressing day of the year. But not here at Liberal Democrat Voice. Whilst Christmas is just far enough behind us now to be becoming a distant memory, the shops are full of Valentines stuff and Easter eggs, and there are at least two more by-elections for the opposition parties to get their teeth into (with a double dip in Blackpool still to come?). The Conservatives continue to find ways of tripping over their own biases and the Telegraph (yes, really) seems determined to add to their woes with polling that suggest that Rishi …

Posted in Op-eds | Also tagged and | 3 Comments
Advert



Recent Comments

  • Steve Trevethan
    The inherent flaws in Neoliberalism are becoming ever more evident. They include homelessness, hunger, dangerous and collapsing schools etc., understaffed infra...
  • Tristan Ward
    @David Evans "Indeed if we just get out and talk to them, it is clear that they are traditional old school liberals" and are dropping like flies. My exp...
  • Geoff Reid
    Let's be thankful (1) for Caron's initial stance and (2) for small mercies! Ed did slip in a line about our local council by-election gains being streets ahead ...
  • Mary Fulton
    The most up-to-date figures (15th February, 2024) produced by the UNHCR record 253,160 refugees in the UK. This is tiny compared to the three largest countries ...
  • David Evans
    Apologies Tristran, my earlier comment should have been addressed to you and not Martin. Apologies to Martin as well....