The Merton Machine smashes it – another Lib Dem GAIN

What a fantastic result to wake up to! Honestly, I tried to stay awake, but I just couldn’t.

We got 8% last time!

Let’s hear it for the amazing Merton Machine and Cllr Jennifer Gould. Super Six now becomes Magnificent Seven!

And we had another amazing step forward in Furzedown ward in Wandsworth – up 18% for goodness sake.

Nice work from Jon Irwin and his team.

And another super increase in vote share from Julie Burridge in the Isle of Wight.

Thanks to Frank Little in Wales for flying the Lib Dem flag and giving people the chance to vote for us.

8.5% from a standing start in Wandsworth

And we held our own in South Ribble.

 

 

* Caron Lindsay is Editor of Liberal Democrat Voice and blogs at Caron's Musings

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24 Comments

  • Andrew Teal in his Previews predicted a close result between Labour and Conservatives –
    but I don’t think he meant for second place!

  • The Tory vote is not down by as much as I’d hoped. If we have a GE and the BXP don’t run against Tory leave MPs led by Boris then I’d worry that we’d only end up splitting the vote with Labour.

  • 2 hours time we should know the recall petition at Brecon result. Fingers crossed we get the 10%, being such a far flung constituency not easy to organise.

  • Peter Farrell-Vinay 21st Jun '19 - 9:38am

    The Isle of Wight result looks fake: no-one has lost any votes.

  • Chris Bertram 21st Jun '19 - 9:40am

    @Peter Farrell-Vinay: It’s taking account of the votes of independents not standing this time, though the tweet could have made it clearer.

  • Out of interest, there seems to be no sign of the Brexit Party standing candidates in these local elections. Is this correct? If so, is it a deliberate strategy or just a sign that they have not (as yet) organised themselves locally.

  • Jon McHugo
    I think it because they are a single issue pressure group, have no policies as such and want to make splashier impact than gaining a few local councillors. Also Peterborough dented them. It was supposed to be the big breakthrough that would give them a foothold in parliament. Yet, with endless coverage, poll after poll on their side, in the wake of a disgraced MP forced to stand-down and in a Brexit weighted seat they still couldn’t beat Labour. To me it said that a single issue protest vote will work in an Election not many people care about;the EU turnout was pretty much as low as ever. But it will struggle when things like local services and other concerns take over.

  • Isle of Wight does not show Independent who held seat had a whopping vote that appears to have split amonst several candidates.
    Latest You Gov poll Brexit 23, Lib Dems 21, Cons & Labour 20, Green 9, SNP/Plaid 5.
    Work out a result from that!

  • BRECON & RADNOR BYELECTION ANNOUNCED !!

  • Yeovil Yokel 21st Jun '19 - 12:00pm

    You beat me to it, David Raw.
    My credit card is poised…..

  • Walkden South in Salford isn’t in Wandsworth!

    The Tory councillor who resigned (triggering that by-election) is Iain Lindley, who was my opponent in the 2010 General Election. He is one of the very few pro-Remain Tories.

    I know he resigned partly because of health and work commitments, but I suspect he is very uncomfortable with the direction of the Conservative Party.

  • Joseph Bourke 21st Jun '19 - 12:15pm

    David Raw,

    this Brecon & Radnor Byelecton looks like perfect timing with Jane Dodds leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats in place.

    The only downside is it will compete with our own local council by-election in the London Borough of Hounslow for Heston West Ward where we have quite a bit of catch-up work to do with 3 labour concillors on 2000+ each and the Libdem candidate on 185 in 2018.

  • With 6 of the 7 contests declared the average Vote shares are
    Lab. 28%
    Con. 27%
    Libdem 17%
    roughly the same as on May 3rd.
    This is what we should expect, what has happened over the last 7 Weeks is that our Polling figures have caught up with the reality on the ground.

  • On the IOW a different independent got 57 per cent so there is that to share out in increases.

    On the Brexit party obv. Farage has to decide how to institute a local structure (if he does) but they are a potent force despite Peterborough expectations overrunning

    Excellent results for us which indicates opinion poll ratings are real.

  • @ Joe Bourke With all due respect Joseph, I would suggest the Brecon by-election is of more significance to the immediate future of the Liberal Democrat party than a byelection in Hounslow – or even digging up LL.G.’s land policy and the intricacies of economic policy.

  • David Becket 21st Jun '19 - 12:55pm

    Recovering from surgery I cannot make Brecon and Radnor, but I have made a donation. I trust every Lib Dem will donate, this is important for us. Brexit party is strong in Powys, but they are a single issue party and we have track record in that seat. I trust we will plug the damage a No Deal will do to the sheep industry.
    This is more important than any council by election, our best chance since Richmond.

  • @Paul Barker

    Actually I suspect our position is very much better than that. They key is to look at the increases and we are increasing in all areas except Ribble Valley where we are level and substantially in most.

    I suspect if you were to calculate a projected national share it would indicate above 25per cent for us. To be expected as normally our local vote share exceeds our Westminster poll rating by many points.

  • The last time that Con defended Brecon and Radnor…May 9th 1985, Lib Dem gain from Conservative majority 559, Con came third…

  • Mick Taylor 21st Jun '19 - 1:30pm

    We have a by-election in my council ward on 25th July. I suspect this may be the same day as B&R. So will come over with a team for 1 or 2 sessions, but we hope to make a gain from labour, so can’t neglect that.

  • Reports on Twitter that we have won 2 out of 3 in the forest of Dean a council where we didn’t have any councillors effectively 2gains off Tories although new boundaries

  • Martin,
    I hope members in Streatham will have a real chance to select the best Lib Dem as their parliamentary candidate in a contested selection process. I fear this is unlikely especially in the event of an early GE but the local members are in a far better position to judge Chuka Umunna on his record than the party hierarchy. I agree that the prospects of holding the seat for us are good in a 60+% remain voting area based on Euro Elections.

  • Paul Barker 21st Jun '19 - 2:53pm

    The Forest of Dean result really makes the case for Reform, we get 2 out of 3 Seats on a fifth of the Vote.
    On where we are, the big lesson of these 7 contests is that our Vote went up much more where we had stood before, consistency gets results.

  • Gordon King 22nd Jun '19 - 8:10pm

    Keep that machine well oiled.

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