An interesting snippet from today’s Sunday Times reporting the latest YouGov tracker poll conducted on Friday and Saturday among nearly 1,500 voters showed that “Nick Clegg narrowly won the debate overall”.
You won’t find the figures in the paper’s report (and I can’t find them on the YouGov site) but the Times’s Samuel Coates reports that Clegg was judged to have most impressed by 35% of voters, compared with 32% for David Cameron.
Separately the paper also reports that Clegg continues to enjoy high personal popularity ratings:
A YouGov poll of nearly 1,500 people shows that the Liberal Democrat’s personal rating has risen by two points over the past week, with 79% saying he is doing a good job, close to his 81% high two weeks ago, when he ranked as the most popular leader since Winston Churchill in 1945.
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11 Comments
I am getting worried about the Tory bias on Sky News and even now on the BBC (esp the Andrew Marr Show this morning). The “instant” polls were generally biased towards more affluent viewers and failed to take account of proper weightings that are done in normal political opinion polls.
The revelation that YouGov’s normal polling showed Clegg win the third debate in contrast with their instant poll which showed a clear lead for Cameron just shows how skewed these instant polls were. I though Cameron did ok on the third debate but I was shocked by the lead those polls showed for him and seems to have started a perception that Cameron has a bounce (and reflected by Saturday’s polls).
We need fairer coverage on Sky and BBC so people can make better judgements.
I also have a distaste for “instant” polls as people need time to digest what they thought of the debate. We need a little more patience.
On the other hand it was the instant polls which prevnted the Tory press from claiming Cameron won the first debate.
Well, lets not forget Yougov is owned by Lord Ashcroft. And the Sunday Times is owned by Murdoch.
Daily Mail poll yesterday had Clegg leading on honesty – 36 – to Cameron, 22, Brown also 22.
It said Labour were “heading for their worst result in 92 years,” down to 24 per cent, with the Tories on 33 and Liberal Democrats on 32. There really are some quite big differences showing up in the polls now.
Tonights YouGov and ICM polls show the Conservative lead had slipped back to around 34% with the Lib Dems and Labour also neck and neck at around 28%.
I think the nations decided on a hung parliament….
But wouldn’t those percentages necessarily relate to _all_ the respondents, not just those who watched the debate?
ChrisD: Sky News website suggests ICM Guardian has Lib Dem and Labour on 28 per cent, and Tories on 33, the Sun Yougov Tracker poll shows Tories on 34, no change, but Lib Dem up one to 29, (not 28), with Labour on 28.
Two polls…Broadly similar…and both slightly different to some of todays in the Sunday papers suggesting the Tories inching upwards. (“Poll Blow For Clegg As Voters Think Twice” – Sunday Telegraph front page).
It seems possible that the Tories experienced a small boost for a couple of days following Cameron’s improved performance in the final debate, and that this has now faded away again. These numbers are similar to the ones reported in the middle of last week, just before the debate.
On a uniform swing they would leave Labour the largest party. And the fact that polls of the marginals are producing conflicting messages suggests to me that there aren’t going to be large systematic divergences from uniform swing.
Lib Dems ARE now only 3% from getting largest % of votes in UK on may 6th… according to two polls tonight ICM and YOUGOV !
Both highly respected..
3 days to go and a 3% swing from CONS and Lib Dems are the largest PARTY in UK come May 6th..
I agree about Sky News. Their level of journalism is so low. The anchor men and women come out with comments worthy of The Sun. On the night of the debate they had their own large graphic of the three leaders with Cameron in the centre and much further forward than the other two. Tonight while looking at the front pages the anchorman told a joke about a cartoon he had seen in which someone had said: “I’m scared to vote Lib Dem because they might win”. However, in spite of all this and the support of the rest of the Tory press, David Cameron is not hitting the mark. Tonight the polls show him in the mid- or even low-thirties. No-one can predict how things will change over the next few days, or how the polls will translate into votes and constituencies, but it doesn’t look as if he the Tories will win an overall majority. It’s exciting, but there’s so much at stake!
I dread the return of the YUPPIE and a new generation of capitalist market freeloaders……
Good luck Nick, I agree with you.
libdem is the only party not using language like “send them home” and “stop their benefits” of course theyl win 🙂