Three constituency election polls put Lib Dems in touching distance of taking Dominic Raab’s Esher and Walton seat. This is great news for Lib Dem candidate Monica Harding.
The polling work was done before the announcement that Esher and Walton was part of the Unite to Remain arrangement.
Thank you to @TheGreenParty for standing aside in #EsherandWalton through the @unitetoremain agreement. This is a brave decision allowing me a clear run against a hardline Brexit Conservative. Together we can #RejectRaab, #StopBrexit and tackle the climate emergency. Join me. pic.twitter.com/79hN2VzeFj
— Monica Harding (@monicabeharding) November 7, 2019
Another poll put is on course to win South Cambridgeshire where Ian Sollom is our candidate
South Cambridgeshire, constituency voting intention:
LDEM: 40% (+21)
CON: 36% (-16)
LAB: 12% (-15)
BREX: 7% (+7)
GRN: 4% (+2)via @Survation, 04 – 05 Nov
Chgs. w/ GE2017 result— Britain Elects (@BritainElects) November 6, 2019
And with just under 5 weeks to go, Dr Phillip Lee is only 4 points behind John Redwood in Wokingham.
Wokingham, constituency voting intention:
CON: 42% (-15)
LDEM: 38% (+22)
LAB: 12% (-13)
BREX: 5% (+5)
GRN: 3% (+1)via @Survation, 01 – 04 Nov
Chgs. w/ GE2017 result— Britain Elects (@BritainElects) November 6, 2019
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4 Comments
At the last General Election I had a strange feeling quite early on in the contest that Labour were getting through to the electorate with their anti austerity message.
This time I don’t really think it’s happening and if anything Labours campaign feels like it’s stalling (at best) or imploding at worst.
My sense is the more it fails the stronger the Lib Dem’s get as Labour voters despair and switch mostly to the Lib Dem’s.
So can you imagine if I’m right a situation what the Lib Dem’s overtake Labour in the Polls on the eve of the BBCs debate between Corbyn or Johnson and start looking like they might win big? Any negative impact on the Lib Dem’s will mean the BBC faces calls for its immediate break up. I’m really not sure they’ve thought this through!
These polls plus the one earlier in Finchley & Golders Green show that in London and the south-east we are the competitive party against the Conservatives. Labour’s showing in 2017 was the zenith of the support in the south.
It’s now time to get this message out in local papers, social media and leaflets to show people that only the LibDems can beat the Conservatives in the south.
These polls seem to indicate that, whether the “Greens” or P.C. stand down makes little difference. There will probably be just as many people changing their votes the other way due to antagonism towards the “Break Up Britain” “Greens”/PC and the “Bankrupt Britain” “Greens”!!
As you can gather, I am another one who is sceptical about the agreement. I am a Member in Brighton Pavilion and in an area which has had “Green” Cllrs for about 25 years, I know what they are REALLY like, including their “Doctor of Spin” M.P.
Some FACTS:-
1. The Green Party are at 2 or 3% in most current Opinion Polls.
2. The Remain Agreement will put some people off voting Liberal Democrat, especially those who don’t agree with a Separate Scotland and Wales (the Green Party and Plaid both want this!).
3. Many people in the Party are annoyed about the lack of consultation about the unite to remain agreement.
4. The vote for the Liberal Democrats in the European elections was high in some of the Constituencies forced to stand down e.g. the vote for the Liberal Democrats was 23.43% in Brighton Pavilion! That was SECOND PLACE!