ALDC By-Election Report, 4th December

This week, there were six local by-elections, of which three were Liberal Democrat defences.

In Watford, we secured a decisive win and defended this borough council seat. Congratulations are due to Councillor Callum Robinson and the local team for winning in Watford.

Watford Borough Council, Tudor
Liberal Democrats (Callum Robertson): 821 (52.6%, +4.3)
Reform UK: 433 (27.2%, +17.8 )
Conservative: 148 (9.3%, -10.5)
Labour: 111 (7.0%, -16.4)
Green Party: 77 (4.8%, new)

Liberal Democrats HOLD

In East Devon, we were able to ensure this seat remained Liberal Democrat, with a solid win over Reform UK. Congratulations are also due to Councillor Fran McElhone and the local team.

East Devon District Council, Exmouth Halsdon
Liberal Democrats (Fran McElhone): 551 (35.9%, -3.9)
Reform UK: 438 (28.5%, new)
Conservative: 393 (25.6%, -4.1)
Green Party: 153 (10.0%, new)

Liberal Democrats HOLD

Staying in Devon, we were able to gain this seat off the Conservatives, who were pushed down to third place. Congratulations too to Stephen Middleton and the local team for gaining another council seat for the Lib Dems.

Torridge District Council, Winkleigh
Liberal Democrats (Stephen Middleton): 325 (42.3%, +8.7)
Reform UK: 252 (32.8%, new)
Conservative: 191 (24.9%, -23.7)

Liberal Democrats GAIN from Conservative

In Middlesbrough, we came agonisingly close, but lost out to Reform UK by just thirteen votes. We are once again reminded that every vote counts. Commiserations to Adrian Walker and the team. You’ll get them next time!

Middlesbrough Council, Nunthorpe
Reform UK: 563 (35.8%, new)
Liberal Democrats (Adrian Walker): 550 (35.0%, +4.0)
Conservative: 328 (20.9%, -9.1)
Green Party: 79 (5.0%, new)
Labour: 52 (3.3%, -5.2)

Reform UK GAIN from Liberal Democrats

We move now to the East Midlands, where there were two by-elections this week. Beginning in Nottinghamshire, the Broxtowe Alliance were able to successfully defend the seat they obtained from a Labour defection. Thank you to Simon Roche and the local team for putting up a good fight.

Broxtowe Borough Council, Stapleford South East
Broxtowe Alliance: 388 (34.6%, new)
Reform UK: 245 (21.9%, new)
Liberal Democrat: 149 (13.3%, -8.2)
Labour: 128 (11.4%, -14.7)
Conservative: 108 (9.6%, -9.5)
Independent: 102 (9.2%, new)

Broxtowe Alliance GAIN from Labour

Across the railway line, on Tuesday, there was another by-election in Long Eaton. Reform narrowly held off the Conservatives in this county division. Thank you to Samuel Briggs and the local team for flying the Liberal Democrat flag.

Derbyshire County Council, Long Eaton North
Reform UK: 745 (28.1%, – 7.7)
Conservative: 722 (27.2%, +4.2)
Labour: 579 (21.8%, -2.7)
Green Party: 314 (11.8%, +4.5)
Liberal Democrats (Samuel Briggs): 154 (5.8%, -3.6)
Derbs. Community Party: 141 (5.3%, new)

Reform UK HOLD

Thank you to all of our candidates, agents, and campaign teams. A full summary of these results, and all other principal council by-elections, can be found on the ALDC by-elections page here.

 

* Liam Yip is the Campaigns and Communications Intern at ALDC

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7 Comments

  • Not a bad week. We seem to be doing especially well in West Devon with a surprisingly large turnout for a cold wet dark December night.

  • Kevin Hawkins 5th Dec '25 - 6:16pm

    As regular readers of these local by-election results know I post at the end of each month a summary of the most recent 50 by-elections in England & Wales. Although I don’t normally post these summaries every week I do calculate the results after each date on which by-elections take place for my own amusement. Reform UK have consistently led in these results since 12th June this year. Reform reached a peak of 30.45% share of the vote on 24th July. They also reached a maximum lead of 12.33% (over Labour) on the same date.
    Since then their lead has narrowed and following this weeks by-elections Reform are no longer at the top. The current position is Liberal Democrats 25.54%, Reform UK 25.53%, Conservatives 18.29%, Labour 10.64%, Greens 10.43%.
    Admittedly our lead is narrow – it equates to just fifteen votes separating us and Reform and it could easily be reversed in coming weeks. Nevertheless, it is clear that Reform are not doing as well as they were a few months ago.
    It is also worth noting that Labour are at an all-time low and are only just ahead of the Green party.

  • paul barker 5th Dec '25 - 7:05pm

    Thanks to Kevin Hawkins for his useful work.
    TheReform decline is parallel to their fall in The Polls if a little lower.
    We, as usual get about twice the share in real Votes as in The Polls while Labour get about half.

  • Tristan Ward 6th Dec '25 - 3:29pm

    Thanks to Kevin Hawkins for his useful work.

    Seconded.

    Is it correct to say that Reform have a slight advantage over us in terms of vote share in they may be fighting more seats?

  • Kevin Hawkins 6th Dec '25 - 6:31pm

    @Tristan Ward
    You are correct. Reform contested 49 out of the last 50 by-elections, whereas we contested only 44. We averaged 525 votes for each by-election we contested whereas Reform got 471,

  • Kevin Hawkins 6th Dec '25 - 6:35pm

    Furthermore the Greens got an average of 286 votes in the 33 by-elections they contested compared with Labour who average just 224 votes in the 43 by-elections they contested.

  • David Blake 7th Dec '25 - 8:43am

    Callum Robertson in Watford, not Robinson.

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