Author Archives: Mark Pack

Mark was the Liberal Democrat Head of Innovations until June 2009 and is now at Blue Rubicon. He also lectures at City University and is co-author of 101 Ways To Win An Election. He blogs at www.markpack.org.uk and is on Twitter as @markpack. He likes chocolate. Lots of it.

Text of the Conservative / Lib Dem agreement

This document sets out agreements reached between the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats on a range of issues. These are the issues that needed to be resolved between us in order for us to work together as a strong and stable government. It will be followed in due course by a final Coalition Agreement, covering the full range of policy and including foreign, defence and domestic policy issues not covered in this document.

1. Deficit Reduction

The parties agree that deficit reduction and continuing to ensure economic recovery is the most urgent issue facing Britain. We have therefore agreed that there …

Posted in News | Tagged | 38 Comments

Why didn’t the Liberal Democrat election result match the polls?

First thoughts from ComRes on why the Liberal Democrat vote share last week, although up for the third general election in a row, was much lower than the polls had been predicting:

We along with many others were surprised by the eventual Lib Dem figure; but that’s not the whole story….. our Conservative Party vote share was, in the words of the BBC’s analysis, ‘bang on the button’ while we understated Labour support to the tune of 1.14% (incidentally the first time the Labour vote share has been understated since 1983). Along with every other polling company we

Posted in Polls | Tagged | 11 Comments

The deal is done

The deal negotiated with the Conservatives has been unanimously backed by the Liberal Democrat MPs. It’s also been backed by the party’s Federal Executive with just dissenting voice in the end. Both decisions were significantly helped by not only the successes of the party’s negotiating team but also by very impressive and persuasive appearances by Nick Clegg.

Talking shortly afterwards, Nick Clegg said,

I can your hopes and your aspirations with me … I want to assure you that I wouldn’t have entered into this agreement unless I was genuinely convinced that it offers a unique opportunity to deliver the kind of

Posted in News | Tagged | 59 Comments

Labour weren’t serious about keeping the Conservatives out of office

So much for all the Labour rhetoric about how only a vote for Labour could keep the Tories out of power. Turns out Labour was quite willing to see David Cameron become Prime Minister as you can see from tonight’s statement from ‘a Liberal Democrat spokesperson’:

It is clear that the Labour Party never took seriously the prospects of forming a progressive, reforming government with the Liberal Democrats. Key members of Labour’s negotiating team gave every impression of wanting the process to fail and Labour made no attempt at all to agree a common approach with the Liberal Democrats on issues

Posted in News | 177 Comments

Will it have been a case of “Vote Labour, get Cameron”?

Having said yesterday that Labour needs to seriously up its game if it wants to woo the Liberal Democrats, Gordon Brown most certainly did that. It’s clear also that many in the Labour Party are willing to consider a major offer that would include very substantial electoral reform. Many, but by no means all – which brings us to the irony of the situation.

Although Labour campaigned in many areas on the claim “Vote Lib Dem, get Cameron”, many in Labour are now willing to make it a case of “Vote Labour, get Cameron”. They are willing to see Cameron …

Posted in Op-eds | 20 Comments

Welcome to the new bloggers…

Four blogs have recently joined Ryan’s Liberal Democrat Blogs aggregator:

Good luck to all the new bloggers, and why not take a moment to pop over to their blogs, take a read and post a comment?

Whether you are a new or experience blogger yourself, you may also find our compilation of “how to blog” posts useful:

Posted in Online politics | Tagged | 2 Comments

A day to be proud of our party

Whatever final deal is negotiated, it won’t contain everything Liberal Democrats will want. It will involve some major compromises – and so it should in a democracy, given that we didn’t win a majority or the most seats.

But from what we’ve seen today and over the weekend, Liberal Democrats should be proud of just how well our negotiating team is working on our behalf.

They have a tough job – the issue that many members hold most dear (electoral reform) is also the one that it is hardest to win concessions on from from the Conservatives and is the one on …

Posted in Op-eds | 78 Comments

How not to woo the Liberal Democrats, lesson no.94

A Guardian story shows perfectly how badly the Labour Party is approaching the question of trying to persuade Liberal Democrats that a deal should be done with it:

One of the most enthusiastic proponents of electoral reform in the Labour cabinet argued: “The Liberals have got to realise two things. First, the chances of winning a referendum with a Cameron-led government are minimal. Labour will sit on its hands, the media will be against, and so will the Tory party.

“Secondly, the Lib Dems have to realise they cannot have anything more than the alternative vote – if they ask for

Posted in Op-eds | 39 Comments

Looks like Lord Ashcroft flopped again

Back in March I doubted how good Lord Ashcroft’s target seat operation for the Conservatives might actually be, pointing out:

Here’s his own account of his record supporting target seats at the 2005 general election:

The national swing from Labour to Conservatives was 3.2 per cent, yet the swing in the seats which we supported was 3.8 per cent.
Dirty Politics, Dirty Times by Michael Ashcroft, p.296

You read that right: by his own admission, all his expertise and money achieved was a paltry o.6 per cent extra swing.

Looks like my doubts were right because, as Anthony Wells points out:

The Conservatives performed

Posted in General Election | Tagged | 3 Comments

It’s administrative blunders, not fraud, which should worry us most

The problems with electoral administration ranged far wider than those which caught the headlines. Perhaps the weirdest came in one polling station in Burnley where the caretaker was getting everyone turning up to vote to sign in and out of the building “for health and safety” reasons.

More seriously, there were queues of people left wanting to vote when the polls closed at 10pm last Thursday in Birmingham, Chester, Hackney, Islington, Leeds, Lewisham, Liverpool, Manchester, Newcastle, Sheffield and Weybridge. (If you were a voter caught up in these problems, the Electoral Commission wants to hear from you as part of …

Posted in Election law, Online politics and Op-eds | Tagged and | 10 Comments

Hung Parliament talks: what will be proposed to Monday’s meetings?

The Liberal Democrat Parliamentary Party and the Federal Executive are scheduled to meet again on Monday. If a firm proposal is coming out from the talks today, expect it to be put to them both tomorrow. The big question is what might be proposed…?

Right across the party, both from senior to grassroots levels and from social through to economic liberals, there is very strong feeling that significant movements on electoral reform are a must for any arrangement. Given the country’s current economic woes, there is widespread agreement that PR isn’t the only issue at stake, but – for example – …

Posted in News | Tagged and | 38 Comments

Nadine Dorries: expense claims questioned in Sunday Times

Welcome shortly to the new Parliament, where not everything has changed:

NADINE DORRIES, the Conservative MP, faces the first expenses complaint of the new parliament after a row about a £10,000 claim she paid to a friend’s company.

Her former Commons researcher, Peter Hand, is writing to John Lyon, the parliamentary commissioner for standards, questioning whether the claim can be justified.

The complaint will undermine hopes that the expenses controversy can be consigned to the last parliament.

Dorries, who last week retained her mid-Bedfordshire seat, claimed the money for an annual report in 2007 on her performance as an MP, and consultancy services, but

Posted in News | Tagged , and | 3 Comments

A selection of blogger responses

Here’s a selection of what Liberal Democrat bloggers have been saying this afternoon and evening about the prospects for this coming Parliament:

All Four of Our Cast-Iron Priorities: Deal. Anything Less: No Deal. (Alex Wilcock) – ” If we do a deal, it has to be for a formal coalition, for a fixed term, published out in the open. Otherwise the Prime Minister can just cut and run with a new election for party advantage, and we’re stuffed.”

Selling STV in multi member constituencies to tribal Tories (Jennie Rigg) – “Multi member constituencies are the traditional British way of doing …

Posted in News | 28 Comments

The party’s formal statement on talks

From David Laws:

“We have had a very positive discussion. The Parliamentary party and shadow cabinet have fully endorsed the position set out by Nick Clegg.

“We will continue to put the national interest first and play a constructive role in providing the stable and good government people deserve.

“We have heard what the Labour Party and Gordon Brown are saying but in line with the position Nick Clegg outlined yesterday we are continuing discussions with the Conservative Party as the party with the most seats and votes..

“We want to complete this process as soon as possible but people will recognise that …

Posted in News | 31 Comments

Welcome to the new bloggers…

Two blogs have recently joined Ryan’s Liberal Democrat Blogs aggregator:

Good luck to the new bloggers, and why not take a moment to pop over to their blogs, take a read and post a comment?

Whether you are a new or experience blogger yourself, you may also find our compilation of “how to blog” posts useful:

Posted in Online politics | Tagged | 3 Comments

1,000+ protesters gather outside Lib Dem meeting to demand PR

By the looks of it over a thousand demonstrators have gathered in Smith Square, outside the building being used today for party talks, demanding the party sticks to its guns on PR:
PR protest

Photo via Will Straw.

Meanwhile, the latest news on the inter-party talks is that Liberal Democrat and Conservative teams will meet at 11am on Sunday morning in the Cabinet Office. The Liberal Democrat team includes a broad cross-section of political views from the Parliamentary party along with deep experience of similar negotiations at other levels of government: …

Posted in News | 21 Comments

What should the party do next? Have your say by 2pm on Saturday

On Saturday afternoon the party’s Federal Executive is meeting to discuss how the party should handle the Parliamentary situation. There’s no pre-set, universally supported answer to this so the FE’s discussion is going to be meaningful and important. It’s only one part of the party’s consultative process, which also includes – for example – a meeting of the Parliamentary Party. But it does mean that now is an excellent time to let the FE know your views.

Because many members of the Federal Executive are scattered around the country – sleeping, travelling back from election counts, making their way to …

Posted in News | 396 Comments

Cameron offers … er, not very much really

Update: the party’s Federal Executive and Parliamentary Party are both meeting on Saturday to discuss what the party should do next. As I understand it there’s no intention of the party leadership publicly proposing a position until before then.

David Cameron has just made his pitch to the TV cameras outlining the approach he wants to take to forming a government and reasons the Liberal Democrats should have for supporting it.

He outlined several areas of possible policy agreement. Some are ones where the parties clearly already agrees, such as in opposing ID cards. Some are one where although the parties have …

Posted in News | 74 Comments

Seat we just missed / just won

Thanks to Duncan Brack of the Liberal Democrat History Group for pulling this list together so near wins / misses spotted so far and to various commenters who have added to it:

NEAR MISSES

Ashfield 192 (0.4%)
Edinburgh South 316 (0.7%)
Hampstead & Kilburn 799 (1.6%)
Hull North 641 (1.9%)
Oldham East & Saddleworth 103 (0.2%)
Sheffield Central 165 (0.4%)
Swansea West 504 (1.4%)

Camborne & Redruth 66 (0.2%)
Chesterfield 549 (1.2%)
Oxford West & Abingdon 176 (0.3%)
Rochdale 889 (1.9%)
Truro & Falmouth 435 (0.9%)

ONLY JUST HELD/GAINED

Bradford East 365 (0.9%)
Mid Dorset & Poole North 269 (0.6%)
Norwich South 310 (0.7%)
Solihull 175 (0.3%)
Wells 800 (1.4%)

Posted in General Election | 11 Comments

The significance of May 27th

One of the tragedies of the general election campaign was the death of John Boakes, UKIP candidate for Thirsk & Malton. As a result polling in the general election there has been delayed until May 27th.

These sorts of delayed polls happen thankfully rarely and are not usually of wider political significance. However, if the election result is as close as the polls suggest it will be, May 27th could turn into one of the first significant political tests for whoever is Prime Minster and whatever arrangements they’ve made (or not made) to get that post.

The notional result in 2005 …

Posted in General Election | Tagged and | 10 Comments

So why didn’t this teller just say, “Yes, I’m a Conservative”?

Rather odd behaviour by a Conservative teller in South West Surrey today who turned out to be very reluctant to admit they were telling on behalf of the Conservative Party, as the following video shows:

Posted in Election law | Tagged and | 13 Comments

Wrong ballot papers supplied on polling day in Brent

Not a good start to the day in Brent Central, where ballot papers for the wrong Parliamentary constituency had been supplied to all three polling stations Willesden Green ward. Result? Proper voting didn’t actually start until nearly two hours late.

UPDATE: Another problem, this time reported from York: polling cards issued which said polls were open 7am to 10am (i.e. for just three hours). Ooops:

Poll card error - York

Posted in Election law | Tagged and | 2 Comments

How to vote

A few key pieces of information for polling day:

  • Polling stations are open between 7am and 10pm today. No votes can be cast after 10pm; it’s not like the shops where being in the queue at closing time is enough.
  • You don’t need your polling card to vote.
  • You have to vote at your local polling station, which is indicated on the card. If you’ve lost your card and aren’t sure where to vote, you can contact your local council.
  • Postal ballots can be handed in at polling stations today. Make sure all the paperwork is completed and put inside the (outer) sealed envelope.

Posted in General Election | 4 Comments

Labour in legal hot water over poll cards

Dating back to times when unscrupulous campaigns issues fake poll cards directly people to the wrong places to vote, the law says:

No person shall for the purpose of promoting or procuring the election of any candidate at a parliamentary election issue any poll card or document so closely resembling an official poll card as to be calculated to deceive (1983 Representation of the People Act)

Although the original motivation for that legislation is now long in the past, it’s still the law in force – and so the law campaigns have to follow. As The Times has pointed out, using …

Posted in Election law | Tagged , , and | 9 Comments

Make history tomorrow

High opinion poll ratings are enjoyable to see.

Big turnouts at meetings can give you a real buzz.

New offers of help can warm the heart.

But what really matters is voters and seats. You certainly don’t have to hold elected office to make a difference in your community, but the possibilities that come with winning elections provide so many routes to change your local community and our country.

For all the fun of the last four weeks, it’s the election results that roll out tomorrow night and Friday morning which will really shape the future of our government and our political system.

They’ll determine …

Posted in News | 3 Comments

Thursday’s extra bonus: the local elections

Put a backbench MP and a ruling group councillor together and they’ll often tease each other about who really has the more power – with the councillor often coming off the better. “I’ll see your ministerial questions and raise you a £500m budget” and so on.

So we certainly shouldn’t forget the other elections on Thursday:

  • All the seats in the 32 London boroughs
  • One third of the seats in the 36 Mets
  • One third of the seats in 20 unitary authorities
  • Half the seats in 7 district councils
  • One third of the seats in 70 district councils
  • Four Mayors

A happy side-effect of the strong general …

Posted in Local government | Tagged | 6 Comments

Former Blair speechwriter says “Vote Lib Dem”

Another interesting straw in the wind is the column in today’s Evening Standard from Andrew Neather, speechwriter to Tony Blair 2001-2. It ends:

PR is what we need, for future elections not to render results as illogical as 1983, 2005, or, I fear, this Thursday. Nick Clegg is right: only such thoroughgoing reform will break up the cosy Labour-Conservative duopoly of power. And if you doubt that deep down it’s cosy, check out those expenses receipts.

The system is rigged. There is only one real option for voters who want to change it – and as a lifelong Labour and Green voter,

Posted in General Election | Tagged | Leave a comment

Police asked to investigate Young Britons’ Foundation

The leafleting and press advertising campaign against a hung Parliament by the Young Britons’ Foundation has run into a mini-blizzard of legal queries and complaints

Given at least one newspaper advertisement today and how widespread the leafleting campaign has been (as partly documented by Paul Walters), including several reports that at least some of the leafleting is being carried out by paid-for delivery firms, it is extremely likely that the YBF has incurred costs in excess of the £10,000 limit.

However, whilst this would require registration as a “third party” with the Commission, and the Young Britons’ Foundation Chief Executive …

Posted in News | Tagged , and | 10 Comments

Xbox owners back Lib Dems over Conservatives and Labour

The Times has the story:

Naturally, when every conversation you hear in the real world seems to have something to do with the General Election, Microsoft are getting in on the act online too.

Their far from rigorous voting preference poll is open to gamers of any age, and as far as we can tell in any country.

Nevertheless, as these screengrabs show, it’s clear that Cleggmania is intensely powerful among the young web-literate demographic that populates the virtual worlds of Twitter, Facebook and Xbox Live.

You can read the full story here.

Posted in News | 1 Comment

Second Bournemouth Conservative councillor switches

Paul Hughes has become the second Bournemouth Conservative councillor to switch to the Liberal Democrats in a matter of weeks. In late April Michael Griffiths switched, criticising a “ruling clique”. Today it’s been the turn of Paul Hughes.

Posted in News | Tagged and | 1 Comment
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