By-election success – 28th March

We have not received a by-election report directly from ALDC today – it is a Bank Holiday, after all – but they have given the results on their website.

Somerset Council, Somerton

Liberal Democrats (Stephen Page): 1212 (50.1%, -1%)
Conservative: 878 (36.3%, -2.2%)
Labour: 174 (7.2%, -0.5%)
Green Party: 154 (6.4%, new)

Liberal Democrat HOLD

Many congratulations to Stephen Page and the campaign team.

We did not put up candidates in the other two elections yesterday.

Neath Port Talbot Council, Neath East

Labour: 409 (43.8, +10.6%)
Independent: 247 (26.4%, new)
Plaid Cymru: 157 (16.8%, -17.7%)
Independent: 121 (13%, new)

Labour HOLD

Orkney Islands Council, Stromness and South Isles

Independent: 757 (85.8%, new)
Independent: 125 (14.2%, +8.2%)

Independent GAIN from Independent

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  • Kevin Hawkins 30th Mar '24 - 9:32am

    For those interested in a longer term view rather than one week’s results here is my monthly data for the last fifty local by-elections up to the end of March:

    Liberal Democrats 34.0%, Conservatives 28.1%, Labour 22.2%, Greens 7.2%, Reform UK 0.4%, Others 8.1%

    Gains and losses are:
    Lib Dems: Net gain of seven: 8 gains, 15 held, 1 lost
    Green: No change: 1 gain, 1 held, 0 lost
    Plaid Cymru: Net loss of one 1 gain, 0 held, 2 lost
    Independents: Net loss of one: 2 gains, 3 held, 3 lost
    Labour: Net loss of one: 3 gains, 5 held, 4 lost
    Conservatives: Net loss of five: 3 gains, 9 held, 8 lost

    Liberal Democrats won 23 seats, Conservatives 12, Labour 8, Independents 5, Greens 2, Plaid Cymru 1. (Does not add up to 50 because of a double-election in one ward)

    This data is for the most recent 50 by-elections in England & Wales (7th December 2023 to 28th March 2024). Parish/Town councils are not included.

  • And on the Polling front its fairly steady at –
    Lab 43%
    Con 23%
    Ref. 11%
    Libdem 10%

    The trend for the last 4 Years has been a slow but steady decline in The Tory vote share – absolutely no sign of recovery or “Swingback.”

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