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Observations of an Expat: Bonds and the World (Tom Arms)
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Burnham, Andy: Could do better (Simon Banks)
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Could Andy Burnham rival William Beveridge in impact? (Katharine Pindar)
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World Suicide Prevention Day, 10th September (Ron Aitken)
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What can we really do to influence the situation in the West Bank? (Alan Juriansz)
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The Joy of Six 1572
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Why Ofcom and the government need to up their game on parcel deliveries
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Giant's Grave, Gower
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John Rogers takes us on a fantastic stroll around South Kensington
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Latest voting intention and leadership ratings opinion polls
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Assorted Maxims
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Richard O'Sullivan's This is Your Life from 1974
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The Death of Stalin: Armando Iannucci's 2017 black comedy
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Lib Dems gain majority control of Oxfordshire County Council
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6 Comments
Ahem. Would you kindly shrink that bloody great big graphic? 🙂
Oh, if I must…
Can you really assess popularity in this way? Doesn’t opinion polls look at the electability of parties?And yes I know that this ie effected by the standing of the party leader. Therefore, there cannot be a true a comparision between 1989 and 2006.
What you can say is that each party leader has had a positive inpact on the fortuntes of the party. Paddy (+6) helped achieve this more than Charles (+4).
Ming does have the great advantage of having had Paddy and Charles before him. He is seeking to leave a similar increase when he leaves (whenever that is, which I think will be a while), and a party in fit shape for government.
People thought that we’d have massive poll drops with the trouble at the beginning of the year, but we’ve shown them to be wrong.
I’d be interested in the changes in poll ratings over the 9 months and the personal ratings.
(and of course, these are also affected by outside events…)
I’m always keen to remember what Mark Twain said about statistics 🙂
Comparable satisfaction ratings for how X is doing as leader of the Liberal Democrats
Ashdown -6
Kennedy +18
Campbell -9
Healthcheck warning though – At one stage Paddy was at -24 – by the 1992 election he was on +25 so how much weight you can attach to these figures I don’t know. I suspect very little.
If you look at Mori’s long term leader attributes statistics Charles never significantly bettered Paddy’s performance on the positive attributes – even in his “stong” areas like “down to earth” or in overall figures.
Like Charles and Paddy before him Ming has strengths and flaws. I didn’t vote for him but he was clearly the best performer at the hustings I went to for example. The key thing is to play to his strengths and they will overcome his flaws.
Sorry – source for those figures is Mori – http://www.mori.co.uk – Leader satisfaction ratings.