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The defence of International Law in an age of impunity (John Kelly)
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Social care and the triple lock (Gordon Lishman)
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Tom Arms’ World Review (Tom Arms)
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Ukraine‘s plight means UK must rearm for war now, and not by ten years’ time (George Cunningham)
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Observations of an Expat: Ukraine in Trouble (Tom Arms)
The Joy of Six 1593
Do shouty politicians gain long term votes?
Farage let off Reform staffer accused of racist slur
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Paul Barker: you are right, Paul, in the wider world we do seem largely invisible. That was for instance clear in today's Laura Kuennsberg show when, you could ...
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The first known use of the phrase "May you live in interesting times" was towards the end of the 19th century when Joseph Chamberlain used it in several speech...
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John is, of course, right to remind us all of the need to uphold international law. Today we've seen Trump congratulate the man he had previously distanced h...
6 Comments
Ahem. Would you kindly shrink that bloody great big graphic? 🙂
Oh, if I must…
Can you really assess popularity in this way? Doesn’t opinion polls look at the electability of parties?And yes I know that this ie effected by the standing of the party leader. Therefore, there cannot be a true a comparision between 1989 and 2006.
What you can say is that each party leader has had a positive inpact on the fortuntes of the party. Paddy (+6) helped achieve this more than Charles (+4).
Ming does have the great advantage of having had Paddy and Charles before him. He is seeking to leave a similar increase when he leaves (whenever that is, which I think will be a while), and a party in fit shape for government.
People thought that we’d have massive poll drops with the trouble at the beginning of the year, but we’ve shown them to be wrong.
I’d be interested in the changes in poll ratings over the 9 months and the personal ratings.
(and of course, these are also affected by outside events…)
I’m always keen to remember what Mark Twain said about statistics 🙂
Comparable satisfaction ratings for how X is doing as leader of the Liberal Democrats
Ashdown -6
Kennedy +18
Campbell -9
Healthcheck warning though – At one stage Paddy was at -24 – by the 1992 election he was on +25 so how much weight you can attach to these figures I don’t know. I suspect very little.
If you look at Mori’s long term leader attributes statistics Charles never significantly bettered Paddy’s performance on the positive attributes – even in his “stong” areas like “down to earth” or in overall figures.
Like Charles and Paddy before him Ming has strengths and flaws. I didn’t vote for him but he was clearly the best performer at the hustings I went to for example. The key thing is to play to his strengths and they will overcome his flaws.
Sorry – source for those figures is Mori – http://www.mori.co.uk – Leader satisfaction ratings.