Tag Archives: rosie campbell

Stephen Tall

Why the ideal candidate is a local GP (who preferably left school at 18)

By Stephen Tall | Sun 16th November 2014 - 2:30 pm

There’s an interesting article in Political Studies journal by Rosie Campbell and Philip Cowley which attempts to find out ‘What Voters Want’. Published last year, it looks specifically what they want in terms of the characteristics of their candidates.

The core of the study consisted of six split-sample internet surveys. Each survey involved respondents reading two short profiles about hypothetical candidates, and then answering four questions about those candidates. Following Kira Sanbonmatsu, our research design included profiles of two candidates (Sanbonmatsu, 2002), whom we (initially) called John and George:


John Burns is 48 years old, and was born and brought up in your area, before going to university to study for a degree in physics. After university John trained as an accountant, and set up a company ten years ago; it now employs seven people. John has interests in the health service, the environment, and pensions, and is married with three children.

George Mountford is 45 years old; he lives in the constituency and studied business at university.He is a solicitor and runs a busy local practice. George is passionate about education, with two children in local schools and a wife who is a primary school teacher.

Continue reading »
Posted in What do the academics say? | Also tagged | 3 Comments
Stephen Tall

Bob Worcester forecasts Lib Dems to be reduced to 24 seats in 2015. I’ll run naked down Whitehall if that’s the result.

By Stephen Tall | Tue 17th September 2013 - 5:15 pm

At a conference fringe meeting on Monday evening, the pollster’s pollster Bob Worcester, MORI’s founder, made a forecast of how many seats the Lib Dems will win at the 2015 election: 24.

His prediction was based on current polling which he’d fed into the Electoral Calculus website and implied the number should be 17. His slightly higher punt allows for known Lib Dem strengths, such as our MPs’ habit of holding on tight in seats we win through sheer Stakhonovite grit.

Forecasting the next election is a bit of a mug’s game, as the Coalition means there’s no past precedent to …

Continue reading »
Posted in News | Also tagged , , , , , , and | 77 Comments
Mark Pack

Running for office? What voters think of your income

By Mark Pack | Tue 24th April 2012 - 10:20 am

Welcome to the latest in our occasional series highlighting interesting findings from academic research. Today – how voters prefer people who earn less rather than more.

The findings come from research presenting the details of two fictional candidates to voters and asking them what they thought of each. Details of one of the fictional candidates were then altered to see how that changed the reaction of voters.

Here is what voters were initially told about that person:

John Burns is 48 years old, and was born and brought up in your area, before going to University to study for a degree in mathematics. …

Continue reading »
Posted in What do the academics say? | Also tagged | 5 Comments
Advert

Recent Comments

  • Jana
    @Tim Roger’s “ Jana. Please do not assume that everybody in the party is pro trans. Just oppose violence towards them.” I know you are correct on this...
  • paul barker
    Reform continue their slow decline in the Polls, where they stand a second time their Vote share mostly falls, they are losing Councillors steadily. Even the mo...
  • GWYN WILLIAMS
    Burnham's gradualist approach is similar to past Labour Governments. In 1964 Jim Griffiths was the first Secretary of State for Wales. In the 1970s the Royal Mi...
  • Dr C de Vartavan
    Robin Ashby - Thank you for this comment. I was not aware that ASML - indeed one of the world's lead manufacturers of chips - is using Mistral. Apparently, ASML...
  • Robin Ashby
    Mistral deserves further investigation ASML the Dutch leader in advanced chip machine has just bought into it to create a European force in AI. We could buy f...