Tom Arms’ World Review

United States

Lost in the blizzard of President Trump’s presidential decrees was the throwaway line that he plans to build an Israeli-style “iron dome” over the United States.

There are problems with such an ambition. For a start, the United States is 50 times bigger than Israel. Next problem is that Israel’s iron dome protects against drones, artillery attacks and short to intermediate-range missiles. Any American system would have to add long-range hypersonic intercontinental ballistic missiles to that list.

Next is the cost. Israel’s iron dome is estimated to cost $4-5 billion a year. Using the same technology, an American iron dome would cost about $120 billion. At the moment America’s entire missile defense budget is $29 billion and the total defense budget for 2025 is projected to be $852.3 billion.

The above figures are for a ground and sea-based iron dome. One of Trump’s greatest first-term boasts was the creation of the US Space Force (USSF). The force is 8,400-strong and under the command of General John Raymond. It would seem likely that Trump would want his USSF to at least contribute to the proposed iron dome.

This would involve basing satellites in space which would be armed with laser guns and kinetic missiles. There would also have to be a huge fleet of satellites based over enemy territory to spot missile launches. The advantage of a space-based system would be that the missiles could be intercepted before they reach US territory.

The disadvantages are that it would likely be construed as a breach of the 1967 UN treaty on Outer Space which prohibits the basing or use of nuclear weapons or weapons of mass destruction in space. There is also the problem of the price tag—an estimated $1 trillion.

But a space-based system cannot do the job alone. Some missiles will inevitably sneak past the laser guns. For protection against them there will need to be a complementary ground-based system as well.

Gaza

Trump is nothing if not stubborn. You could also say obstinate, inflexible, mulish, or, if you want to be kind, persistent.

His suggestion that the Gazan Palestinians be relocated in brand new homes somewhere in Jordan and/or Egypt is the latest manifestation of the first administration’s “Peace to Prosperity” programme which was negotiated by Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner.

Kushner’s January 2020 plan did not explicitly call for the resettlement of Palestinians. But it hinted that the US would provide financial incentives for them to move– $50 billion over ten years. But where? Kushner privately proposed Jordan, Egypt and Lebanon. But before publishing those thoughts he contacted the leaders of those countries and was told: “No way!!!”

Resettlement of Palestinian refugees is not a new idea. It is, literally, as old as the founding of the modern state of Israel. David Ben-Gurion proposed it almost as soon as the Israeli flag was first raised. Others who have resurrected it periodically over the past 76 years include: John Foster Dulles, John Bolton, Ariel Sharon, Leader of Lebanon’s Phalange Party Bashir Gemayel, Menahem Begin, Benjamin Netanyahu, all of Israeli’s far-right religious leaders and even an Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Said.

Each time the suggestion has been raised it has been knocked down by the Palestinians and the wider Arab world. For them it has always been a non-starter

Jordan has historically been touted as the most likely home for resettled Palestinians. This is because the British Mandate included the present-day Jordan and Israel. After the 1948 war a number of Palestinian refugees fled to Jordan and were granted Jordanian citizenship. Currently about 50-70 percent of Jordan’s citizens are classified as Palestinian. But problems arose in the late 1960’s when the PLO used Jordan as its main base for guerrilla attacks on Israel. The Israelis responded in kind.

The result was that in 190-71, Jordan’s King Hussein expelled the PLO in what became known as “Black September.” Palestinians are welcome in Jordan, but not those that would antagonise Israel as many who are currently in Gaza and the West Bank might do.

As for those in Gaza and the West Bank, their views were forcefully expressed, by displaced Gazan Abu Yahya Rashid. “We are the ones who decide our fate and what we want,” he said. “This land is ours and the property of our ancestors throughout history. We will not leave it accept as corpses.”

Palestinians and Gazans are holding out for the two-state solution. Once again, Trump is consistent—this time in his opposition to what every other western country supports.  The 2020 Peace to Prosperity plan proposed only a fragmented Palestinian state with limited sovereignty. The Palestinians rejected it. Mike Huckabee, Trump’s newly-appointed evangelical ambassador to Israel, has taken a step further than Kushner. “There will never,” he insisted, “be a Palestinian state.”

United States air crash

Trump has claimed that the air crash in Washington DC was likely the result of the Biden’s Administration Diversity, Equality, Inclusion (DEI) programme. The implication was that the responsible air traffic controller at Reagan National Airport was hired because they were from an ethnic minority group, transgender, gay, bisexual or seriously disabled in some way.

He then went on to quote a passage from the website of the Federal Aviation Authority which said that the FAA was recruiting people with “missing extremities, partial paralysis, complete paralysis, epilepsy, severe intellectual disability, psychiatric disability or dwarfism.”

The passage did not say that such applicants would become air traffic controllers. In fact, it was highly unlikely that they would. The FAA employs 45,000 people. About a third of them are air traffic controllers.

It is a tough job, and it is difficult to get. Only 3.2 percent of those who apply to become air traffic controllers are accepting for the training programme. Of those who are accepted, only five percent make it to the level of fully certified controller which allows them to work unsupervised.

To become an American air traffic controller you have to attend a degree course in air traffic control at one of 30 FAA-approved colleges. Then you are put through a rigorous medical exam with special emphasis on hearing, sight and spatial awareness as well as general health. Any history of drug use rules out applicants and they can’t be over 31 unless they have worked in air traffic control for the military. They must retire at 56. Starting salary for an American air traffic controller is $40,000 to $50,000. Top salary is about $100,000.

At the moment the FAA is short of the necessary number of air traffic controllers by about 3,000.  The Biden Administration asked Congress for money to hire an additional 2,000 controllers. They did not specify that they had to be African-American, Hispanic, Indian, gay, bisexual, transgender or disabled. But they did have to pass the rigorous scholastic and medical requirements.

 

* Tom Arms is foreign editor of Liberal Democrat Voice. He also contributes to “The New World” magazine and lectures on world affairs. He is the author of “America Made in Britain,” two editions of “The Encyclopaedia of the Cold War” and “The Falklands Crisis.”

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5 Comments

  • Steve Trevethan 2nd Feb '25 - 5:28pm

    Thank you for a timely article.

    Might Mr Trump’s recent words and actions show that the “Western Alliance” is, in reality, an American Empire?

    If so, might it be appropriate to discuss distancing from it and/or leaving it?

  • Daniel Stylianou 2nd Feb '25 - 9:28pm

    What Trump failed to mention – and was subsequently called out on – is that that passage on the FAA website was present during the entirety of his first term and he didn’t take issue with it then.

  • Nonconformistradical 3rd Feb '25 - 8:28am

    “Might Mr Trump’s recent words and actions show that the “Western Alliance” is, in reality, an American Empire?”

    Yes. Or maybe a trump empire….

  • Mark Frankel 3rd Feb '25 - 8:29am

    The Palestinians and Gazans are not holding out for the two-state solution. They’re holding out for the Zionist enemy to commit suicide.

  • @Mark Frankel, it seems unlikely that you’re qualified to speak for the Palestinians, and what they are “holding out for”, but you might be right about the way many people see the vastly damaging overreaction by Israel to the Hamas attack in October 2023. The truth is that Palestinians want what virtually the whole world has promised them – freedom to live in their own country without being harassed by their Israeli neighbours.

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