Author Archives: Stephen Tall

Stephen was Editor (and Co-Editor) of Liberal Democrat Voice from 2007 to 2015, and writes at The Collected Stephen Tall. He writes a fortnightly column for ConservativeHome and 'The Underdog' column for Total Politics magazine. He edited the 2013 publication, The Coalition and Beyond: Liberal Reforms for the Decade Ahead, and is a Research Associate for the liberal think-tank CentreForum. He was awarded the inaugural Lib Dem ‘Blogger of the Year’ prize in 2006, was a councillor for eight years in Oxford, including a year as Deputy Lord Mayor, and appears frequently in the media in person, in print and online. Stephen combines his political interests with his professional life as Development Director for the Education Endowment Foundation, though writes here in a personal capacity.

Top of the Blogs: The Golden Dozen #22

Welcome to the 22nd of our weekly round-ups from the Lib Dem blogosphere, featuring the seven most popular stories according to click-throughs from the Aggregator (15th-21st July), together with a hand-picked quintet you might otherwise have missed.

As you might expect, this last week’s offerings have been rather dominated by the Ealing Southall and Sedgefield by-elections:

Posted in Best of the blogs | Tagged | 2 Comments

The Lib Dems on the floods

Quick round-up:

‘Lib Dem leader in flood-hit city’ (BBC Online)
Lib Dem leader Sir Menzies Campbell has criticised the government’s flood plans as he prepared to visit Hull to see the aftermath of last month’s deluge. He said a lack of government planning had led to a “summer of suffering”.

‘Row over disaster response deepens as flooding eases’ (The Scotsman)
Liberal Democrat environment spokesman, Chris Huhne, said: “The government has been far too slow to wake up to the potentially devastating effects of extreme rainfall overwhelming drains and sewers.”

Floodplains ‘not ruled out’ for new homes (24dash.com)
Liberal Democrat housing spokesman …

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Beware the curse of Rees-Mogg?

I’m feeling conflicted. A good rule-of-thumb is to believe the opposite of what Lord William Rees-Mogg, columnist for The Times, and one of the least acute of Tory political commentators, writes. Today he uses his column to praise the Lib Dems’ performance in last week’s by-elections as “excellent”. Twice. What’s going on?

Last week’s by-election results were satisfactory for Labour, excellent for the Liberal Democrats and a disaster for the Conservatives. That was the almost unanimous verdict of the weekend’s press, except for Alan Watkins in The Independent on Sunday, who warned Gordon Brown against an early election. This general assessment is not likely to be overturned, but it is mistaken. Although Labour held two of its safer seats, these by-election results should be regarded as satisfactory for the Conservatives, excellent for the Lib Dems and very bad for Labour.

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New Liberal Democrat House of Lords team announced

Lord Tom McNally, the Leader of the Liberal Democrats in the House of Lords, has unveiled his new frontbench team.

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Chris Rennard’s verdict

Commenting on Lib Dem Voice, Lib Dem chief executive and by-election supremo Lord Chris Rennard has posted the following assessment of how the party fared in the Ealing Southall and Sedgefield by-elections:

In Ealing Southall, our campaigns teams’ assesment of the state of play over the final weekend was not very far off the result. Of course, we hoped and thought that we could get even closer by polling day.

We published that assessment (inc on Lib Dem Voice). Our figures were Lab 37, LD 31, Con 22. The final result was Lab 41, LD 28

Posted in News and Parliamentary by-elections | Tagged and | 13 Comments

The morning after the night before

What to make of last night’s by-elections?

Well, for the Labour Party there is evident relief that they have held on to both Ealing Southall and Sedgefield, albeit with considerably reduced majorities, and swings to the Liberal Democrats of 6% and 11% respectively.

There is probably a nagging sense of disappointment among Lib Dems that our achievements were not more spectacular – but that is at least as much due to the very high expectations we set ourselves. No, neither Ealing Southall nor Sedgefield rank will alongside either Brent East or Dunfermline. But the circumstances were quite different, not least because …

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Ealing Southall result: 6% swing from Labour to Lib Dem

Results just in:

Labour Party: 15,188 (41%) -8% compared to 2005
Nigel Bakhai, Liberal Democrats: 10,118 (28%) +4%
David Cameron’s Conservatives: 8,230 (23%)

Huge congratulations to Nigel Bakhai, the Ealing Southall Lib Dems, and all those who helped the campaign, on achieving a 6% swing from Labour, and keeping David Cameron’s Tories firmly back in third place.

Posted in News and Parliamentary by-elections | Tagged | 50 Comments

Sedgefield result: 11% swing from Labour to Lib Dem

Results just in:

Labour Party: 12,528 (45%) -14% compared to 2005
Greg Stone, Liberal Democrat: 5,572 (20%) +8%
Conservative Party: 4,082 (15%)
British National Party: 2,494 (9%)
Independent: 1,885 (7%)

Huge congratulations to Greg Stone, the Sedgefield Lib Dems, and all those who helped the campaign, on achieving a double-figure swing from Labour, and knocking David Cameron’s Tories back into third place.

Posted in News | 16 Comments

12.15 pm Ealing and Sedgefield update: Lib Dems second, Tories trail in third

This seems to be the consensus of speculation so far:

– the Lib Dems will come a good second in Ealing Southall, running Labour hard, and shrugging off the Tory challenge;

– and will leap-frog the Tories into second place behind Labour in Sedgefield.

Posted in News | 51 Comments

BBC: No charges on ‘cash for honours’

Here’s what the BBC Online report says:

The BBC understands that no-one is to face charges after the 16-month cash for honours investigation.

Four people were arrested – including two of Tony Blair’s aides – during inquiries into whether honours were sold and whether a cover-up followed. In total, 136 people were interviewed – including former Prime Minister Tony Blair and ex-Conservative leader Michael Howard.

All denied wrongdoing, but Mr Blair’s friends say his authority was weakened.

It is, of course, entirely co-incidental that this should be leaked just prior to the results being declared in Ealing Southall and Sedgefield. Because …

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Polls are closed – only a few hours of waiting left…

And I’ve absolutely no idea what the night will bring. Feel free to make your guesses below…

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Ashdown on Afghanistan

A sober assessment of the current situation from former Lib Dem leader, Lord Paddy Ashdown, in today’s Guardian. Here’s how it starts:

In July 2006, Britain’s highly respected commander of international forces in Afghanistan, General David Richards, issued a stark warning: “Afghanistan is a good and winnable war but, at the pace we are proceeding, we need to realise that we could actually fail here.” A year on, as yesterday’s defence committee report indicates, we are indeed beginning to fail in Afghanistan.

Failure is not yet inevitable. But it is now likely, and will remain likely until we increase resources and redress

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Grant Shapps in irony-is-dead shocker

Grant Shapps MP, the Tory by-election campaign manager in Ealing Southall, gained some level of infamy last week when he was caught red-handed pretending to be a Lib Dem member posting comments to YouTube.

Mr Shapps’ weak excuse – that his account password was set to ‘1234’, and hacked by opposition parties – was widely derided.

So it comes as some surprise to see this story in today’s Times:

The Conservatives claimed to have identified a woman who confronted Mr Cameron during a walkabout in the constituency as a Labour supporter involved in the party’s campaign. …

Referring to Mr Cameron’s

Posted in News and Parliamentary by-elections | Tagged and | 6 Comments

Police investigation into Ealing Southall postal votes ‘leak’

As if the Ealing Southall by-election needed another twist… news has broken tonight that police will be mounting an investigation following the leaking of alleged postal vote scores via the Telegraph’s Little and Large blog, authored by Daily Telegraph journalists Brendan Carlin and Jonathan Isaby.

As any fule kno, it’s a criminal offence to disclose the results of postal vote counts before polls close. The complaint to the police has come from Labour’s election agent, Ken Clarke (no, not him, a different one).

It is of course a complete mystery which party might have chosen to leak figures …

Posted in News and Parliamentary by-elections | Tagged | 6 Comments

How many times did Tony phone Rupert before declaring war on Iraq?

Thanks to Lib Dem peer Lord Avebury – aka Eric Lubbock, a famous by-election victor – we now know the answer: three times.

The BBC’s Martin Rosenbaum provides a good analysis here. The press notice from Lord Avebury’s solicitors, Bindmans, is here.

The government surprisingly decided to release the information – which had been denied to Lord Avebury since 2004 – the day after Gordon Brown became Prime Minister. No doubt the timing was a co-incidence.

Posted in News | 2 Comments

When will the Lib Dems have a London mayoral candidate?

The six Tory candidates – Boris plus five others – vying to become the party’s nominee to take on Labour’s Ken Livingstone for London mayor have been revealed on Conservative Home here.

Last week, we asked the question, who should be the Lib Dem nominee – which provoked a lively comment thread, with suggestions ranging from the possible, to the desirable, to the far-fetched.

This week, the question is, what’s the timetable for selecting the Lib Dems’ mayoral candidate? The election takes place in May 2008, in 10 months’ time. To the best of my knowledge, the vacancy …

Posted in News | Tagged | 14 Comments

Is Nick Clegg right – are traffic cams a ‘Trojan Horse’?

A new Home Office proposal, accidentally released today, suggests road pricing cameras could be used by police to track drivers’ movements in England and Wales.

The Lib Dem shadow home secretary, Nick Clegg, is quoted in this BBC Online report:

With this unintended act of open government the disingenuous attitude of ministers towards public fears about a creeping surveillance state is revealed for all to see.

Bit by bit vast computer databases are being made inter-operable and yet the government seems to be running scared of a full and public debate on the safeguards needed to make such information

Posted in News | 7 Comments

Chris Rennard: a re-count in Ealing Southall, challengers to Labour in Sedgefield

Lib Dem chief executive and by-election supremo, Lord Chris Rennard, has posted his thoughts on Lib Dem Voice on the current state of play for Thursday’s by-elections in Ealing Southall and Sedgefield:

By-elections can be fast moving in the last two days. I will not issue “final forecasts” here but have often been accurate to within a handful of votes in the past !

What I will say is that over the weekend I think that Ealing Southall was something like Labour 37, Lib Dem 31, Con 22. From this position Lib Dems can win but it should be close. I

Posted in News and Parliamentary by-elections | Tagged and | 2 Comments

Boris: I’ll spend more time in Oxfordshire now I’m London mayoral candidate

See if you can follow Boris’s tortuous logic in today’s online Oxford Mail:

Boris Johnson claimed his decision to run for London Mayor could lead to him spending more time in Oxfordshire. The Henley MP, confirming he would seek the Conservative nomination for next year’s mayoral race, insisted he could serve his constituents at the same time as battling it out with Labour’s Ken Livingstone in the capital.

In an attempt to placate local supporters, who had urged him not to turn his back on them, Mr Johnson said he had “freed up” time to dedicate to his constituency. But

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Razzall and Littlewood on Ming’s future

The Guardian reports on today’s BBC World at One interviews with former Lib Dem campaign manager, Lord Tim Razzall, and former head of communications, Mark Littlewood, here. Both suggest Ming Campbell’s future would come under the spotlight if the party were to under-perform in the Ealing Southall and Sedgefield by-elections this Thursday.

Posted in News and Parliamentary by-elections | Tagged , , , , and | 6 Comments

Prediction competition: place your free bets here

What do you think will happen this Thursday, 19th July, in the crunch by-elections in Ealing Southall and Sedgefield?

Will Labour cling on in one, both or neither seats? And which of the two main opposition parties, the Lib Dems or the Tories, will fare best? The political blogosphere has been humming these past couple of weeks with pundits on all sides arguing the toss.

But now’s the moment to put your credibility on the line, online, and to say what you think will actually happen this Thursday. There are no prizes on offer – merely the respect and admiration of friend …

Posted in Parliamentary by-elections | Tagged and | 16 Comments

How far will Brown go to protect BAE from corruption charges?

The Labour Government could soon be faced with a stark choice: to co-operate with the US department of justice’s investigations into the BAE bribery allegations, or risk reciprocal co-operation and intelligence-sharing with the US.

Those who’ve been following the biggest scandal of Labour’s time in office – and, if you haven’t, why not visit the Lib Dem’s Corruption is a Crime website – will know that the US authorities began an inquiry last year into the £2bn payments made by BAE to the Saudi royal family and its agents in the 1980s (with the complicit approval of …

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Clegg condemns police calls for indefinite detention of terror suspects

The call by Ken Jones, head of the Association of Chief Police Officers (Acpo), for the police to be given the powers to hold terror suspects indefinitely without charge has been condemned by Lib Dem shadow home secretary, Nick Clegg.

In a round of media interviews, Mr Jones has stated: “We are arguing for judicially supervised detention for as long as it takes. We understand people will be concerned and nervous, but we need to create a system with sufficient judicial checks and balances which holds people, but no longer than a day necessary.”

Nick Clegg has branded the call, “bizarre”, …

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Top of the Blogs: The Golden Dozen #21

Welcome to the 21st (yes! – we’ve finally come of age) of our weekly round-ups from the Lib Dem blogosphere, featuring the seven most popular stories according to click-throughs from the Aggregator (8th-14th July), together with a hand-picked quintet you might otherwise have missed.

For some reason, events in Ealing seem to have dominated the blogs this week – as I suspect they might do next week, too. Here we go, then, in descending order of popularity:

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Who will take on Ken & Boris?

Ken Livingstone will be seeking a third term as Mayor of London in 2008. According to today’s Telegraph, Oxfordshire MP Boris Johnson will seek the Tory nomination. Simon Hughes, the Lib Dem candidate in 2004, is thought unlikely to run again. (See his comments reported here at MayorWatch.)

So, if the 2008 London Mayoral election is set to become dominated by the Ken & Boris show – a media-circus in the making – who do you think will be best placed to fight the Lib Dem corner?

Posted in News | Tagged | 38 Comments

To robe or not to robe?

That’s the question in Edinburgh, where Lib Dem Provost George Grubb is seeking to revive the tradition of councillors wearing cermonial dress for civic occasions.

Full story over at The Scotsman.

Posted in News | 8 Comments

Lib Dems propose lowest rate of income tax since last Liberal government

Ming Campbell has today announced the Lib Dems would cut income tax by 4p in the pound, to 16p, the lowest rate of income tax since the 1916 Asquith government.

The full party press release – with further details of the proposals, and comments from both Ming and Lib Dem shadow Chancellor Vince Cable – is on Ming’s website here.

In his analysis of the announcement, the BBC’s Nick Assinder concludes (albeit, in typically tired left-right terms):

… what the Lib Dem policy offers is a genuine shift in the basis of taxation which will create many more winners than

Posted in News | Tagged and | 22 Comments

Paddy on the ’97 Lib-Lab ‘Project’

Former Lib Dem leader, Paddy Ashdown, was interviewed by Iain Dale last night on Internet TV politics channel, 18 Doughty Street.

Here’s a clip in which Paddy talks about his ‘Project’ negotiations with Tony Blair before the ’97 election, as well as his views on the current state of the party.

http://www.18doughtystreet.com/on_demand/597

The full interview is available via the 18 Doughty Street website here.

Lib Dem bloggers Gavin Whenman and Paul Walter have posted their thoughts on the interview here and here.

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OFFICIAL: Gordon Brown names Ming Campbell Leader of the Opposition at PMQs

If it’s in Hansard, then it must be true:

Sir Menzies Campbell (North-East Fife) (LD): What is the Prime Minister’s assessment of the sums wasted by fraud, error and overpayment in the tax credit system he set up three years ago?

The Prime Minister: It is very interesting that the leader of the Conservative party did not ask anything about the married couple allowance or tax credits and that it has been left to the leader of the Liberal party to pick up the baton. Tax credits are the most successful policy in removing child poverty in this country: 6 million

Posted in News and PMQs | Tagged | 1 Comment

Lib Dem councillor denies tactical vote slur

The Lib Dem Voice posting on Monday, ‘Five Labour councillors switch to the Tories in Ealing’, provoked a large response – 54 comments at the last count.

Four of these comments (Nos 16, 20, 23 and 24) purported to be from Cllr Abid Latif Chohan, a Lib Dem city councillor in Manchester, claiming he would be supporting the Tory candidate in the Ealing by-election: “I have many friends in Southall, mainly muslim, who plan to vote for Mr Lit. I really hate Labour. Could we withdraw at this stage to give Lit a free run? We could devide

Posted in News and Parliamentary by-elections | Tagged | 9 Comments
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