Tag Archives: economy

Clegg: time for “big, permanent and fair tax cuts”, not Tories’ “fake giveaway”

Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg has again pushed the party’s proposals of tax cuts for the poorest to stimulate the economy, while attacking the Tories’ promises of tax cuts for savers. Speaking on BBC News, Nick commented:

This is a fake giveaway. It only amounts at today interest rates to an extra 40p a year for someone saving £100. What people need is much more money back in their pockets now. That’s why we have a plan to deliver big, permanent, fair tax cuts.” (Source: PoliticsHome.com)

Posted in News | Also tagged and | 14 Comments

Opinion: Are we really going to learn anything at all from this mess?

The problems – however astonishing and severe – are symptoms of the financial sector alone.”
Financial Times leader, 28.12.08

At the moment I would hazard a guess that we are about one-fifth of the way through the current crisis of Zeitgeist. I read last week, on one of the more respectable financial websites, that, with so many companies financially weak, 2009 would see ‘a bonanza for mergers and acquisitions’. For the nth time, a member of the Cabinet parroted that “global problems require global solutions”. Two UK banks seemed unwilling to take the hit for £32 billion worth of losses in 2008: Alistair Darling thought they should absorb them from ample existing capitalisation, but the bankers failed to see why they couldn’t have more taxpayers’ money instead.

The day before, I listened to six property experts on BBC Radio 4 debating how to get the housing market moving again by loosening credit. Later on BBC News I heard Gordon Brown reaffirming his desire that nobody should be repossessed as a result of “overstretched” borrowing.

Everything you’ve read in inverted commas so far in this Opinion piece is about as wrong as wrong could be.

Our problems did not emanate from some oddly No-mates organic thing called ‘the financial sector alone’. They came from bankers forcing debt onto people who had in turn decided to suspend disbelief. And they, in turn, are the products of a dumbed-down Western culture fixated by material well-being, targets, the Office, bling and GDP.

But, apart from the more gullible suckers, long before there was any sub-prime debt (surely the euphemism of the Millennium) most articulate western consumers had accepted that dealing with any commercial manufacturing or service-providing concern of any size involves ignoring all the lies, noting the lack of ethics, and being prepared to threaten in order to get even minimal satisfaction or after-sales service.

Enormous global combines without a clear culture have exacerbated the problem by basing their business models solely on production output and the whims of remote shareholders. In that context, ethics are for wimps – and if the only answer to large-scale failure is yet more M&A activity to satiate even greedier shareholders, then I have news for us all: it can only make things worse. The bigger an organisation gets, the more remote the customer becomes.

Global problems most emphatically do not require global solutions: we’ve tried that to the current tune of $8.5 trillion, and it’s made no impact at all. What we need is to question the whole validity of globalism in an environmentally threatened world, and reject the Friedman/Levitt drivel that started all this nonsense in the first place.

We do not need to bail out any more bankers: we need to remain calm and tell the banks ‘no more bailouts until you start lending to sound young businesses’.

Posted in Op-eds | Also tagged , , , and | 10 Comments

Finance and economics: what we have learned, and what still needs to be done – part 6

This week Liberal Democrat Voice is running a series of articles from Tim Leunig about the economy – how we got here and what we should do next. So far the series has covered bank bailouts, bank lending, fiscal policy, interest rates and tax policy. Today’s final part looks to the long term future.

Getting the long term picture right

In its panic and determination to “do something now” government must not forget its role in securing the long-term underpinnings of the economy. There are three areas in which Britain has serious problems.

Our education system fails …

Posted in Op-eds | 11 Comments

Finance and economics: what we have learned, and what still needs to be done – part 5

This week Liberal Democrat Voice is running a series of articles from Tim Leunig about the economy – how we got here and what we should do next. So far the series has covered bank bailouts, bank lending, fiscal policy and interest rates.

Tax policy

The rapid deterioration in the fiscal position should worry us all. The British tax system is much more pro-cyclical than people previously thought, so that tax revenues fall dramatically even when the downturn is relatively small. (Remember, the economy has only just started to decline, so the fall in tax revenue so far …

Posted in Op-eds | 2 Comments

“This economic crisis could drag on for a decade” – Vince Cable

Writing in The Independent, Vince Cable said:

No one fully understands the scale of the complex but extreme economic crisis we face or has any simple, silver bullet, solution to it. The problems are partly international – the “credit crunch” – and partly national.

The latter is a legacy of a long period of economic growth built on debt financed household consumption and a grossly inflated bubble in house prices. Both of the international and home grown problems are difficult; together they are potentially lethal. I believe we face a real emergency. And it will not be over soon. This crisis

Posted in News | Also tagged | 4 Comments

Finance and economics: what we have learned, and what still needs to be done – part 4

This week Liberal Democrat Voice is running a series of articles from Tim Leunig about the economy – how we got here and what we should do next. So far the series has covered bank bailouts, bank lending and fiscal policy.

Interest rates and the Bank of England

The Bank of England’s monetary policy committee has done well. They did not rush to cut interest rates when inflation still looked to be a real threat (don’t forget that this summer saw the highest level of inflation for a decade). But as soon as there was a serious prospect of …

Posted in Op-eds | 17 Comments

Finance and economics: what we have learned, and what still needs to be done – part 3

This week Liberal Democrat Voice is running a series of articles from Tim Leunig about the economy – how we got here and what we should do next. So far the series has covered bank bailouts and bank lending.

Fiscal policy

Much has been written about the need for a fiscal boost. The debate has been poor, with politicians and the media muddling up underfunded tax cuts, tax cuts funded by spending cuts, and tax cuts funded by rises in other taxes. The last two have no impact in this context, and will not be considered.

Underfunded tax cuts, or unfunded …

Posted in Op-eds | 13 Comments

Finance and economics: what we have learned, and what still needs to be done – part 2

This week Liberal Democrat Voice is running a series of articles from Tim Leunig about the economy – how we got here and what we should do next. Yesterday was bank bailouts, and today…

Bank lending

It is important not to resume borrowing levels of two years ago. Indeed, we can calculate the optimal level of mortgage lending. Net lending should equal the value of new houses built, minus deposits on those houses, plus the same for houses bought by newly-formed households, and those moving to larger houses, minus regular capital repayments on the existing mortgage stock. Housebuilding rates are low …

Posted in Op-eds | 3 Comments

Pre-Budget Report – the live(ish) blog

15.31. The PBR has just got underway, with Darling solemnly recounting Labour’s received wisdom on how the credit crunch started (nowt to do with us) and being barracked accordingly.

So what with the pre-announcements to the pre-budget report, is there any more to come? Will we see any surprises on top of the pre-announced changes to VAT, the higher rate of tax, vehicle excise duty and the continuance of the 10p rebate? My feeling is that we will. Liberal Democrats were miraculously let off by the Tories’ non-announcement about giving tax breaks to

Posted in News | 27 Comments

Finance and economics: what we have learned, and what still needs to be done – part 1

This week Liberal Democrat Voice is running a series of articles from Tim Leunig about the economy – how we got here and what we should do next.

Bank bailouts

The economic downturn was precipitated by financial problems. This is a sign of a successful financial sector: they are there to bear risks other people do not want to bear, and are correspondingly prone to crises from time to time. Since the underlying rationale of a bank is to borrow short and lend long, the threat of bank runs will always be with us.

Banks in Britain needed government assistance to distinctive reasons. …

Posted in Op-eds | 9 Comments
Advert

Recent Comments

  • Peter Davies
    @Kira Collins You seem to have missed the bit about raising tax allowances. That primarily helps those on low wages....
  • David Wright
    According to this well-argued article (by Lib Dem councillor Mark Ellis), a simple wealth tax wouldn't work, but tax on TRANSFER of wealth could, if current tax...
  • Kira Collins
    @Peter Martin “ We should be encouraging them to use less energy. To do that, you should put standard rate VAT on energy and use the money to raise pensions,...
  • Simon Banks
    Why are we on the other side from the Tories? Because they stand for every kind of inequality, the gutting of local government and a narrow nationalism. We stan...
  • expats
    Vince Cable....Gordon Brown introduced formal fiscal rules in 1997 alongside the operational independence of the Bank of England: essentially, a commitment to b...