The detail behind the YouGov poll showing Ed Davey ahead in the leadership stakes – thanks to @ProfTimBale

Last Tuesday, I referred to a New Statesman article about a YouGov poll showing Ed Davey well ahead in the future Liberal Democrat leadership contest.

I mentioned in the piece that I was unable to find the data behind the poll.

Julian Heather (@JulianHeather1) kindly messaged Professor Tim Bale at Queen Mary, University of London.

Professor Bale then kindly tweeted a link to the data for the poll, which is here.

The slide shows that 1028 Liberal Democrat members were interviewed between “20th – 6th January 2020”. I am not sure whether that should say “20th December 2019 – 6th January 2020” or “6th – 20th January 2020”.

The group of members was made up of 703 males and 325 females, which seems surprising.

15% of respondents (which is 154 people) said “don’t know”.

Many thanks to both Professor Tim Bale and Julian Heather for their help.

* Paul Walter is a Liberal Democrat activist and member of the Liberal Democrat Voice team. He blogs at Liberal Burblings.

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10 Comments

  • Tony Greaves 1st Feb '20 - 3:31pm

    Just shows that more males waste their time messing about on the internet than females so.

  • With all the issues over data security where on earth do such polling agencies get membership lists and telephone numbers from?

  • The New Statesman reported the other day that Christine Jardine is going to stand. https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2020/01/christine-jardine-stand-liberal-democrat-leadership

  • David – the polling companies may well have details of people they’ve polled previously who have identified themselves as LD members.

  • David: Dan M-B is correct. If you are on the YouGov panel, as I am, you will have been asked multiple times about your political views, party membership etc. The latest poll also asked whether I was a registered supporter of a party.

  • Steve Magner 4th Feb '20 - 2:21pm

    I think Christine Jardine standing for the leadership is a worrying sign of self aggrandisement. After the salutary example of Jo Swinson’s pretty disastrous term in office somebody with experience is badly needed.

  • Steve Magner 4th Feb '20 - 3:25pm

    It is not just Christine Jardine, the same applies to Wera Hobhouse and Daisy Cooper. I think that political experience is absolutely crucial to success. One only has to look at the different approaches adopted by Vince Cable and Jo Swinson to see how Jo’s lack of experience and political nous showed up big time. Sadly perhaps the same could be said of Tim Farron although personally I have always been a fan of his political perspective.

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