The Election rumour mill is buzzing….

Speculation is growing that the Prime Minister is about to call an election on the back of the inflation figures this morning. Jeremy Hunt certainly seemed very smug as he did the media round.

This is either everyone getting over excited on the basis of a bit of chatter, or something more substantial.  The Sunday Times’ Tim Shipman had this to say on Twitter:

Once again there are snap election rumours. I have been a sceptic every time so far. More importantly, people I trust who are in the loop have told me it’s nonsense. This time, those people are silent

If he asked the King to  dissolve Parliament today, the election would be on 27th June, next week, 4th July. Scottish schools break up in the last week of June and no doubt those children whose schools are polling stations would be delighted with an extra day off. An election in the first week of July would see many Scots away on holiday, though. But he did say at PMQs that the election would be in the second half of the year, so 4th July meets that criteria.

I suspect most of us would be relieved to have the election out of the way so we can enjoy the Summer. Certainly, every held and target seat has been ready for any eventuality for a while. On the other hand, some people will already have booked holidays on the basis that he wasn’t going to call an election till after the Summer recess.

We should probably just stay calm and wait and see, but already speculation is reaching fever pitch. So we’ll all be on podium watch this afternoon. Does the lectern have a Government badge on it or not?

Alistair Carmichael took to Twitter to say:

As all the rumours swirl, it has to be said: It would be absolutely “peak Sunak” to call an election not because the polls have improved for the Tories, but because economic figures have shifted just enough so the public “ought” to be happy with him.

Our CEO Mike Dixon tweeted:

We are ready to go. Bring it on.

Whenever the election is, there’s a lot of hard work ahead. Let’s all look after each other in the weeks and months to come.

 

* Caron Lindsay is Editor of Liberal Democrat Voice and blogs at Caron's Musings

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13 Comments

  • Laurence Cox 22nd May '24 - 12:47pm

    Whilst headline inflation is down to 2.3%, it is primarily caused by energy prices being much lower than April last year. The worrying underlying inflation is in services, which accounts for most of our economy, and is almost unchanged at 5.9%. The Bank of England cannot afford to start reducing interest rates yet.

  • Bring it on, it would improve the mental health of the Nation & we would get our Conference back.

  • It’s quite ridiculous to act as is lower inflation by itself means that things are getting better it just means things are getting worse more slowly. Things won’t start getting better until wage growth exceeds inflation, and won’t be fully better unless and until wages have fully caught up with higher prices.
    Except the government has ensured that even this won’t be enough because those higher wages with be taxed more heavily due to the real terms cuts to tax thresholds.

  • Tristan Ward 22nd May '24 - 5:29pm

    Good luck to all our candidates.

  • Chris Moore 22nd May '24 - 5:38pm

    The timing avoids one potential source of negative publicity: Ed is due to appear before the PO Enquiry on 18th July.

  • Paul Barker 22nd May '24 - 5:41pm

    To quote Mrs Thatcher – “Rejoice !”

  • Neil Hickman 22nd May '24 - 5:43pm

    @Martin Bennett:
    A correspondent with the Express (ok, not the most reliable source I grant you) reports one Tory backbencher responding to an inquiry “What do you think of an immediate General Election?” with “I’m writing a letter of no confidence…”

  • @ Martin Bennett. Oh for a Jo Grimond who could march his troops towards the sound of the gunfire.

  • Chris Moore 22nd May '24 - 7:18pm

    Ed was lied to and believed the lies: but in that he was no different to any of the other Postal Affairs ministers during the two decades post-installation of Horizon. Unfortunately, none of them went the extra mile.

    I agree with your other remarks: Vennells and other Post Office bigwigs + investigators+ lawyers behaved appallingly.

    Also agree about Ed’s unnecessary timidity and lack of bite in interviews. What I like about him on the other hand is his stolidity and decency; his impressive history of caring for dying and sick parents and child.

    Our plans for carers are worth promoting as a point of difference with Lab plus Tory.

  • Chris Moore 22nd May '24 - 7:21pm

    I am happy to have recovered my vote and will be over in the UK and will help in my seat, which could fall to us ona good ight.

  • Chris Moore 22nd May '24 - 7:22pm

    …on a good night.

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