8.00 am
Here’s where we’re at:
The Lib Dems have made SEVEN GAINS: Bradford East, Burnley, Norwich South, Eastbourne, Redcar, Solihull and Wells.
And THIRTEEN LOSSES: Camborne and Redruth, Chesterfield, Cornwall South East, Harrogate & Knaresborough, Hereford & Herefordshire South, Montgomeryshire, Newton Abbot, Oxford West & Abingdon, Richmond Park, Romsey & Southampton North, Truro and Falmouth, Winchester and York Outer.
The Tories are projected to score 37% (+4%) of the vote and win 308 (+98) MPs; Labour to score 30% (-6%) of the vote and win 260 (-89) seats; and the Lib Dems to score 23% (n/c) and win 53 (-9) MPs.
8.08 am
Lib Dem HOLD Manchester Withington confirmed:
John Leech Liberal Democrat 20,110 44.6% (+2.4)
Labour 18,260 40.5% (-0.4)
Conservative 5,005 11.1% (+0.7)
8.14 am
Glenda Jackson fends off Lib Dem challenge in Hampstead & Kilburn.
8.21 am
Stephen Williams HOLDS Bristol West with fantastic 9% swing from Labour:
Stephen Williams Liberal Democrat 26,593 48.0% (+9.0)
Labour 15,227 27.5% (-9.0)
Conservative 10,169 18.4% (+2.0)
8.26 am
Here’s that Hampstead result – Lib Dems come third in oh-so-tight three-way marginal:
Labour 17,332 32.8% (-3.5)
Conservative 17,290 32.7% (+9.8)
Ed Fordham Liberal Democrat 16,491 31.2% (-4.0)
8.30 am
Bad luck to Jo Shaw whose challenge to Labour’s Frank Dobson proved unsuccessful:
Labour 25,198 46.1% (+1.0)
Jo Shaw Liberal Democrat 15,256 27.9% (+1.8)
Conservative 11,134 20.4% (-0.5)
8.51 am
Very disappointing result in Watford – Sal Brinton beat Labour, but the Tories beat us:
Richard Harrington Conservative 19,291 34.9% (+5.3)
Sal Brinton Liberal Democrat 17,866 32.4% (+1.1)
Claire Ward Labour 14,750 26.7% (-6.8)
9.11 am
Official: it is now a hung parliament – the Tories cannot win an outright majority.
9.21 am
Quick update of where we’re at …
- The seat gains/losses remain Lib Dem SEVEN gains and THIRTEEN losses – details at the head of the page;
- 6.4 million people voted Lib Dem, that’s 22.9% of the popular vote;
- That means it took 125,000 Lib Dem voters to elect a single Lib Dem MP. It took just 33,000 Labour voters to elect a single Labour MP.
- Turnout at 65% is 4% higher than in 2005, but nowhere near the predicted 70%+ turnout.
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36 Comments
We’re projected to win 53? We already have 51 confirmed with St Ives, Westmorland, Oldham E & Saddleworth, Cheltenham, Watford, Berwick, Brent Central, Ealing Central and Hampstead & Kilburn all still to come. That doesn’t sound good.
Groan, morning after and the election is still undecided.
From previous thread: apologies, I meant 6.3 million frustrated and disefranchised Lib Dem voters, not 5.5 million.
Watford was a miss. (re above).
What was the outcome in Solihull, anyone??
Philip – Solihull is amongst the gains as it was notionally a tory seat after boundary changes.
Well done to Vince Cable who held his seat and gained 0.5% from the Tories. Labour will never win here and neither will the Tories. Shame about Richmond Park seat, more work was clearly needed there, perhaps more specific targeting on campaigns there. Certain ppl there will only vote Tory to protect their pockets, the undecided are those that were clearly missed :-(. On a positive note, held in Kingston, Sutton Cheam and Carshalton Wallington area. Still the latter have creeping Tory swings but not wins! ROCK ON VINCE!
> Philip – Solihull is amongst the gains as it was notionally a tory seat after boundary changes.
And likewise Rochdale doesn’t show among the losses as notionally it wasn’t ours. I’m sure that’s some comfort to Paul Rowen. 🙁
Richmond park had Zac Goldsmith campaigning full time, and spent half a million in getting himself elected, and policies that write his leaflets for him like “this will let in a million immigrants” and “this will force up new house prices by 17.5 per cent” and “this mansion tax hits every home in the constituency” stuff helped him greatly.
More campaigns? Lib Dems could not have worked it harder.
+1% and we lose seats this is a joke.
A disappointing night, but some good results as well. Glad to see so many of our MPs increased their share of the vote (Vince; David Laws; Jeremy Browne) and really glad that Duncan Hames has won Chippenham.
OTOH, gutted about Julia.
Still going through them one by one. Sigh!
Just noticed: More votes; fewer seats.
One might suggest that some sort of electoral reform is needed!
I hope Nick Clegg is going to major on serious electoral reform (i.e. STV, not joke AV) in his statement at 1030. As Tom Papworth has pointed out, we’ve gone from 96k votes needed to elect a LD MP to 124k!
Chippenham a new constituency was it nominally Conservative or Lib Dem
right then, where do i sign up for the fightback…?
Brilliant endurance-effort by Stephen and Mark to keep all this up after a hard four weeks….(what are you on?) well done and thank you…. but can someone ask him to do a summary of where we are at so far?
anyone done a calculation comparing % votes cast and seats won? System has robbed the Lib Dems and several parties of seats, UKIP no seats (so far) but nearly 4 times as many votes as greens on one. LDs on 23% up 1% but lose seats!
In other countries people will be demonstrations on the streets that the big two had stitched up the result between them
@Abelard
Chippenham was a notional LD seat. So it goes down as a hold.
Why did a 64% turnout cause such problems at polling stations?
There were IIRC no such problems (at least on that scale) in 1992 when turnout was 75-80% – and the process of handing out papers was more involved as they needed stamping with the official mark perforations.
We have a hung Parliament, Conservatives are confident with Westmorland as they would be.
I can’t help but think that ‘cleggmania’ – since it never materialsed in the way polls were saying, will be a hindrance. It will let the lazy media (i.e. them all) to say we did badly – when in fact our vote went up by 1%. It is just the system that destroyed us. IN a fully PR system wouldn’t we have about 100 more seats?
Anyway, some of this injustice can be hidden in the “lib dems didn’t do so well” line. So the call for reform will be less…
Jon Sopel is looking very pleased with himself, i’m sure the guy is a Tory.
If there’s a chance of some form of grand coalition with Labour and others that can deliver the political reform that Britain needs then Glegg has to bite the bullet and go for it.
Gordon Brown digging in, i reckon we will have a general election within the next two years
I know Chippenham is technically a LibDem hold, but given the visiccistudes of last night, I think Duncan Hames deserves enormous plaudits for winning the seat by such a clear majority.
Pro PR Demo Trafalgar Square 2pm tomorrow Saturday.
David Cameron was right – we do have a “Broken Britain”.
But what is broken is:
1/ A broken electoral system that gives Lib Dems one, Tories two, Labour three seats per 1% of votes won.
2/ A corrupt political funding system with Non-dom multi-millionaire tax avoider pours millions into Tory target seats.
3/ A foreign billionaire controlled press pours vile lies onto non-Tory parties.
This is banana republic democracy and a stain on our Britain.
Without PR the environmental crises that need dealing with so urgently will not get the political backing they so desperately need. Was delighted to see Caroline Lucas MP and Duncan Hames MP elected despite the above.
Please spread the word on Facebook.
Donnachadh
Now I really AM disappointed with Nick. He should have stayed quiet and thought about it a bit longer before declaring support for Cameron.
He didn’t support Cameron: he set him up to try – and be seen to fail – to put a workable Government together.
Brent Central gain from Labour
As the site administrators appear sensibly to have gone to bed, be it noted that we just lost in Oldham East and WON!! In Brent Central
David – not asleep (yet) – posted here:
https://www.libdemvoice.org/bbc-reports-sarah-teather-has-won-brent-central-19372.html
David,
I hope you are right, but it is rather easy to interpret as implicit support and that is how the press will take it I expect.
Apparently some Conservatives will speak out against Cameron. No ones happy.
Respect doing badly in this election a busted flush.
Still waiting for Cheltenham.
“A broken electoral system that gives Lib Dems one, Tories two, Labour three seats per 1% of votes won.”
What about independents? Martin Bell did not have a national percentage yet the current system allowed him to get in.
There is more to it than percentages
congratulations to Lib Dem candidate Ajmal Masroor in Bethnal Green and Bow who managed a 8% swing and doubled the number of votes to come in second. This after barely a year of campaigning…